Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:98:1" rel="noopener">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)</a> Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.</li>
<li>Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.</li>
<li>With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.</li>
</ul>



Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.
Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.
With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.


Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

Torrent Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/torrent-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15762:1" rel="noopener">Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)</a> reported 17% YoY increase in net profit to INR4.5B on  9% YoY growth in revenue to INR28.9B in Q2FY25. EBITDA margin expanded 150bps YoY to 32.5%.</li>
<li>Domestic market revenue increased 13% YoY to INR16B, led by outperformance in focus therapies aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent’s chronic business grew 14% versus IPM growth of 9%.</li>
<li>Torrent has been reporting improvement in EBITDA margin. Going ahead, the company expects 50–100bps annual margin improvement, driven by solid pricing power in the branded business and operating leverage.</li>
</ul>



Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN) reported 17% YoY increase in net profit to INR4.5B on  9% YoY growth in revenue to INR28.9B in Q2FY25. EBITDA margin expanded 150bps YoY to 32.5%.
Domestic market revenue increased 13% YoY to INR16B, led by outperformance in focus therapies aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent’s chronic business grew 14% versus IPM growth of 9%.
Torrent has been reporting improvement in EBITDA margin. Going ahead, the company expects 50–100bps annual margin improvement, driven by solid pricing power in the branded business and operating leverage.


Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could see passive outflows in November.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could see passive outflows in November.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-the-nifty-potential-upside-from-here" target="_blank" rel="noopener">last insight</a> predicted quite precisely what happened to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).</li>
<li>After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> pulled back - <strong>the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG</strong>?</li>
<li>The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...</li>
</ul>


Our last insight predicted quite precisely what happened to the NIFTY Index during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).
After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the NIFTY pulled back - the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG?
The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akums-drugs-and-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40915:1" rel="noopener">Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN)</a> raised around US$222m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR679/share.</li>
<li>Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (ADP) is a pharmaceutical contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) offering a comprehensive range of pharmaceutical products and services in India and overseas.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN) raised around US$222m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR679/share.
Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (ADP) is a pharmaceutical contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) offering a comprehensive range of pharmaceutical products and services in India and overseas.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.


Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO Trading - Strong Demand and a Decent Margin of Safety

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

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Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 4...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO Trading - Strong Demand and a Decent Margin of Safety

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN) raised around US$222m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR679...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

​Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

​Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 4...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

​The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals IPO Trading - Strong Demand and a Decent Margin of Safety

Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals (0200361D IN) raised around US$222m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR679...

Ethan Aw

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...