Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

Emcure Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B in upcoming IPO through a fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. IPO price band has been set at INR960–1,008.</li>
<li>The issue will open for subscription on July 3 and close on July 5. Bidding for anchor investors will open on July 2. Lot size for bidding is 14 shares.</li>
<li>IPO proceeds will be used to repay debt. As at March 31, 2024, the company’s outstanding borrowings stood at INR21B against cash balance of INR2B.  </li>
</ul>


Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B in upcoming IPO through a fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. IPO price band has been set at INR960–1,008.
The issue will open for subscription on July 3 and close on July 5. Bidding for anchor investors will open on July 2. Lot size for bidding is 14 shares.
IPO proceeds will be used to repay debt. As at March 31, 2024, the company’s outstanding borrowings stood at INR21B against cash balance of INR2B.  


Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> has signed a definitive agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haleon-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36122:1" rel="noopener">Haleon (HLN LN)</a> to acquire latter’s global portfolio of consumer healthcare brands in the nicotine replacement therapy outside US.</li>
<li>The company will acquire the portfolio for a total consideration of £500M ($633M). In 2023, the portfolio generated ~£217M ($274M) revenue. Purchase consideration values the business at EV/sales of 2.3x.</li>
<li>The acquisition will not stretch the balance sheet as Dr. Reddy’s has a cash balance of $990M as on March 31, 2024. The transaction is expected to complete in 4Q24.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) has signed a definitive agreement with Haleon (HLN LN) to acquire latter’s global portfolio of consumer healthcare brands in the nicotine replacement therapy outside US.
The company will acquire the portfolio for a total consideration of £500M ($633M). In 2023, the portfolio generated ~£217M ($274M) revenue. Purchase consideration values the business at EV/sales of 2.3x.
The acquisition will not stretch the balance sheet as Dr. Reddy’s has a cash balance of $990M as on March 31, 2024. The transaction is expected to complete in 4Q24.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Nicotinell Acquisition to Fortify Consumer Healthcare Business

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock</li>
<li>These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price</li>
<li>Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity</li>
</ul>


Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock
These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price
Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity


Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With a week left in the review period, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-grid-corporation-of-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12621:1" rel="noopener">Power Grid Corporation Of India (PWGR IN)</a> in the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index in June.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 6.4% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 2.3bn.</li>
<li>The flows on the stocks are not very large but there will be same side and offsetting flows from other index trackers at the same time.</li>
</ul>


With a week left in the review period, Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) could replace Power Grid Corporation Of India (PWGR IN) in the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index in June.
Constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 6.4% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 2.3bn.
The flows on the stocks are not very large but there will be same side and offsetting flows from other index trackers at the same time.


NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: Bharti Could Replace Power Grid

<ul>
<li>In Q4FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.</li>
<li>New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.</li>
<li>Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.</li>
</ul>


In Q4FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.
New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.
Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.


Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

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Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B through fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. The issue will open for subscription on...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Nicotinell Acquisition to Fortify Consumer Healthcare Business

Dr. Reddy's is acquiring Haleon’s global portfolio of consumer healthcare brands in the nicotine replacement therapy outside US for £500M ($633M)....

Tina Banerjee

Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

Block deals causing supply over-hang on stocks initially have a negative impact, but historically lead to a positive stock reaction, creating a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: Bharti Could Replace Power Grid

Bharti Airtel could replace Power Grid in the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index in June. Constituent, volatility and capping changes result in 1-way...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B through fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. The issue will open for subscription on...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Nicotinell Acquisition to Fortify Consumer Healthcare Business

Dr. Reddy's is acquiring Haleon’s global portfolio of consumer healthcare brands in the nicotine replacement therapy outside US for £500M ($633M)....

Tina Banerjee

Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

​Block deals causing supply over-hang on stocks initially have a negative impact, but historically lead to a positive stock reaction, creating a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: Bharti Could Replace Power Grid

Bharti Airtel could replace Power Grid in the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index in June. Constituent, volatility and capping changes result in 1-way...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

​Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Block deals causing supply over-hang on stocks initially have a negative impact, but historically lead to a positive stock reaction, creating a...

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...