Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a> 1Q21 Business Updates – SG / AUS residential the bright spot; Gradual reopening of hotels should lift sentiment</h3>
<ul>
<li>Property Development: In Singapore, CIT sold 319 units with total sales value of S$513.6m in 1Q21, +72% YoY in units sold and +84.7% YoY in total sales value. Amber Park performed strongly with sales of around 100 units</li>
<li>In Feb, The Tapestry obtained its TOP (all 861 units are fully sold). Meanwhile, construction activities have resumed at all ongoing development projects. However, due to labour shortage which has affected the entire industry, activities have not returned to pre-COVID levels. CIT does not have any projects due for completion in 2021. To date, 324 units (60%) of Irwell Hill Residences have been sold. Acquisition of site at Northumberland Road will also be developed into a mixed-use project with 408 residential apartments of up to 23 storeys and commercial retail space on the ground floor</li>
<li>Meanwhile in Australia, fuelled by domestic demand, sales increased across CIT’s launched project. The Marker in Melbourne has pre-sold 80% of its 198 units and construction is on track to complete in 2022, while Brickworks Park in Brisbane has achieved pre-sales for 44% of the 132 released units. Waterbrook Bowral, a luxury retirement project in New South Wales that the Group has collaborated with Waterbrook Lifestyle Resorts on, has pre-sold 92% of the 77 townhouses launched and construction is in progress</li>
<li>Investment Properties: 1Q21 committed occupancy for SG office remains resilient at 91.4%, above island-wide occupancy of 88.1%, with positive rental reversion. SG retail portfolio continues to face headwinds. Footfall in the malls for the quarter has been relatively stable, though it is still lower than pre COVID-19 levels. Despite lower footfall, gross turnover sales (GTO) of CIT malls remain strong with 1Q21 GTO registering an increase of over 5% YoY compared to 1Q20 levels. As of 31Mar21, committed occupancy for retail space remains strong at 92.1%, above island-wide occupancy of 91.5%. In Thailand, since Mar21, part of Jungceylon, the Group’s major retail mall in Phuket has been temporarily closed to reduce operational cost. In China, while tenants remain cautious and slow to commit, office leasing demand is gradually returning. In Suzhou, Hong Leong City Center’s Grade-A office tower is now 85% occupied. In Japan, residential rental apartment portfolio within Osaka and Yokohama continues to show stable occupancy and healthy leasing demand</li>
<li>Hotel Operations: 1Q21 global occupancy dropped to 36.8% (1Q20: 52.5%) and global RevPAR decreased by 51.7% YoY to S$44.6 (1Q2020: S$92.4). Singapore continues to face challenges in 2021 until border restrictions are lifted. The UK was severely impacted, particularly in London. The US saw the country gradually reopening with the vaccine roll-out. New York and regional hotels achieved stronger occupancies in 1Q21 particularly with the weekend business. CIT’s M Social New York property in Times Square is expected to open in 2Q21. A community outbreak in Feb21 in Auckland led to lockdowns in New Zealand, which disrupted business and leisure travel in NZ over most of Feb and the early part of Mar</li>
<li>In Feb21, CIT acquired a 55% effective interest in Shenzhen Longgang Tusincere Tech Park in China’s high-growth Silicon Valley from its China JV, Sincere Property Group, and two entities of China Ping An for RMB850m (~S$174m). CIT now holds an 84.6% equity interest in the holding company, Shenzhen Tusincere Technology Park Development, which holds a 65% interest in the project. The remaining 35% interest in the project is held by the Shenzhen Longgang District state-owned enterprise</li>
<li>Net gearing ratio (factoring in revaluation surplus from investment properties) stands at 65% with interest cover at 1.7 times. Cash reserves stands at S$3.4bn with cash and available undrawn committed bank facilities amounts to a total S$5.5bn</li>
<li>CIT currently trades at 19.8x FY21E P/E and 0.8x P/B.  </li>
</ul>

Singapore

City Developments (CIT SP) 1Q21 Business Updates – SG / AUS residential the bright spot; Gradual reopening of hotels should lift sentiment

Property Development: In Singapore, CIT sold 319 units with total sales value of S$513.6m in 1Q21, +72% YoY in units sold and +84.7% YoY in total sales value. Amber Park performed strongly with sales of around 100 units
In Feb, The Tapestry obtained its TOP (all 861 units are fully sold). Meanwhile, construction activities have resumed at all ongoing development projects. However, due to labour shortage which has affected the entire industry, activities have not returned to pre-COVID levels. CIT does not have any projects due for completion in 2021. To date, 324 units (60%) of Irwell Hill Residences have been sold. Acquisition of site at Northumberland Road will also be developed into a mixed-use project with 408 residential apartments of up to 23 storeys and commercial retail space on the ground floor
Meanwhile in Australia, fuelled by domestic demand, sales increased across CIT’s launched project. The Marker in Melbourne has pre-sold 80% of its 198 units and construction is on track to complete in 2022, while Brickworks Park in Brisbane has achieved pre-sales for 44% of the 132 released units. Waterbrook Bowral, a luxury retirement project in New South Wales that the Group has collaborated with Waterbrook Lifestyle Resorts on, has pre-sold 92% of the 77 townhouses launched and construction is in progress
Investment Properties: 1Q21 committed occupancy for SG office remains resilient at 91.4%, above island-wide occupancy of 88.1%, with positive rental reversion. SG retail portfolio continues to face headwinds. Footfall in the malls for the quarter has been relatively stable, though it is still lower than pre COVID-19 levels. Despite lower footfall, gross turnover sales (GTO) of CIT malls remain strong with 1Q21 GTO registering an increase of over 5% YoY compared to 1Q20 levels. As of 31Mar21, committed occupancy for retail space remains strong at 92.1%, above island-wide occupancy of 91.5%. In Thailand, since Mar21, part of Jungceylon, the Group’s major retail mall in Phuket has been temporarily closed to reduce operational cost. In China, while tenants remain cautious and slow to commit, office leasing demand is gradually returning. In Suzhou, Hong Leong City Center’s Grade-A office tower is now 85% occupied. In Japan, residential rental apartment portfolio within Osaka and Yokohama continues to show stable occupancy and healthy leasing demand
Hotel Operations: 1Q21 global occupancy dropped to 36.8% (1Q20: 52.5%) and global RevPAR decreased by 51.7% YoY to S$44.6 (1Q2020: S$92.4). Singapore continues to face challenges in 2021 until border restrictions are lifted. The UK was severely impacted, particularly in London. The US saw the country gradually reopening with the vaccine roll-out. New York and regional hotels achieved stronger occupancies in 1Q21 particularly with the weekend business. CIT’s M Social New York property in Times Square is expected to open in 2Q21. A community outbreak in Feb21 in Auckland led to lockdowns in New Zealand, which disrupted business and leisure travel in NZ over most of Feb and the early part of Mar
In Feb21, CIT acquired a 55% effective interest in Shenzhen Longgang Tusincere Tech Park in China’s high-growth Silicon Valley from its China JV, Sincere Property Group, and two entities of China Ping An for RMB850m (~S$174m). CIT now holds an 84.6% equity interest in the holding company, Shenzhen Tusincere Technology Park Development, which holds a 65% interest in the project. The remaining 35% interest in the project is held by the Shenzhen Longgang District state-owned enterprise
Net gearing ratio (factoring in revaluation surplus from investment properties) stands at 65% with interest cover at 1.7 times. Cash reserves stands at S$3.4bn with cash and available undrawn committed bank facilities amounts to a total S$5.5bn
CIT currently trades at 19.8x FY21E P/E and 0.8x P/B.  


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (20May21) - CIT resi the bright spot

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;"> </td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">PRIME (US$)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">KORE (US$)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">MUST (US$)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Period</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">1Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">35.9 (+2.5% YoY)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">34.6 (-2.1% YoY)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">23.0 (-2.0% YoY)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">20.4 (-2.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">0.730</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">0.99(Based on 4Q20 NAV)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">0.90 (Based on 4Q20 NAV)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">1.030 (Based on 4Q20 NAV)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">91.7</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">91.6</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">92.0</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">8.5</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">5.7</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">2.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">33.6</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">37.5</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">41.3</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">2.8</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">2.82</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">3.18</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">8.24</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">8.3</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">8.00</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">90.0</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">84.7</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 141.25pt;">Rating</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 141.2pt;">NA</td></tr></tbody></table><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prime-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28144" rel="noopener">Prime US REIT (PRIME SP)</a> 1Q21 Business Update – Robust operations metrics; Trading at an attractive 8+% USD yield  </h3><ul><li>1Q21 revenue and NPI came in +2.5% YoY and -2.0% YoY, respectively, to US$35.9m (25.2% BB est) and US$23.5m (26.7% BB est). 1Q21 DI came in -1.2% YoY at US$17.6m, which benefitted from lower interest cost. 1Q21 DPU was undisclosed</li><li>Leasing momentum remained robust with a positive rental reversion of +8.5% in 1Q21 (vs +8.7% in 4Q20 and +8.9% in 3Q20). Focusing on long-term leases – 57,647sqft of long-term leases were executed in 1Q21 at a rental reversion of +9.5%. Below-market portfolio in place rents (by 6.5%) also provide a buffer for rental reversion potential</li><li>Overall portfolio committed occupancy fell to 91.7% in 1Q21 (vs. 92.4% in 4Q20 and 92.6% in 3Q20). PRIME has ~100% of cash rental income with built-in rental escalations averaging over +2% pa. Portfolio occupancy still well above Class-A office average of 84.3%. Rent collections remained robust at 99% with minimal rent concessions. Portfolio WALE stood at 4.3%</li><li>Portfolio gearing stands at 33.8% (vs. 33.5% in 4Q20 and 32.7% in 3Q20) with average cost of debt of 2.8% pa. (vs. 2.7% in 4Q20 and 2.7% in 3Q20) and 90.0% of debt hedged</li><li>PRIME currently trades at 8.24% FY21E yield and 0.99x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) PRIME (US$)KORE (US$)MUST (US$)Period1Q211Q211Q21Gross Revenue (S$ m)35.9 (+2.5% YoY)34.6 (-2.1% YoY)NANPI (S$ m)23.0 (-2.0% YoY)20.4 (-2.8% YoY)NADPU (S$ c)Not DisclosedNot DisclosedNANAV per Unit (S$)Not DisclosedNot Disclosed0.730P/B (x)0.99(Based on 4Q20 NAV)0.90 (Based on 4Q20 NAV)1.030 (Based on 4Q20 NAV)Occupancy (%)91.791.692.0Reversion (%)8.55.72.1Gearing (%)33.637.541.3Cost of Debt (%)2.82.823.181 Yr Fwd Yield (%)8.248.38.00Debt Hedged (%)90.084.7NATarget PriceNANANARatingNANANAPrime US REIT (PRIME SP) 1Q21 Business Update – Robust operations metrics; Trading at an attractive 8+% USD yield  1Q21 revenue and NPI came in +2.5% YoY and -2.0% YoY, respectively, to US$35.9m (25.2% BB est) and US$23.5m (26.7% BB est). 1Q21 DI came in -1.2% YoY at US$17.6m, which benefitted from lower interest cost. 1Q21 DPU was undisclosedLeasing momentum remained robust with a positive rental reversion of +8.5% in 1Q21 (vs +8.7% in 4Q20 and +8.9% in 3Q20). Focusing on long-term leases – 57,647sqft of long-term leases were executed in 1Q21 at a rental reversion of +9.5%. Below-market portfolio in place rents (by 6.5%) also provide a buffer for rental reversion potentialOverall portfolio committed occupancy fell to 91.7% in 1Q21 (vs. 92.4% in 4Q20 and 92.6% in 3Q20). PRIME has ~100% of cash rental income with built-in rental escalations averaging over +2% pa. Portfolio occupancy still well above Class-A office average of 84.3%. Rent collections remained robust at 99% with minimal rent concessions. Portfolio WALE stood at 4.3%Portfolio gearing stands at 33.8% (vs. 33.5% in 4Q20 and 32.7% in 3Q20) with average cost of debt of 2.8% pa. (vs. 2.7% in 4Q20 and 2.7% in 3Q20) and 90.0% of debt hedgedPRIME currently trades at 8.24% FY21E yield and 0.99x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (19May21) - PRIME robust operations metrics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), UOB Kay Hian

UOB Kay Hian

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Backed by the UOB Group, UOB Kay Hian is one of Asia’s largest brokerage firms. Headquartered in Singapore, we are supported by more than 80 branches worldwide including a growing network of offices across Southeast Asia, Greater China, the United Kingdom and North America. Our global footprint and strong international presence have enabled us to feel the pulse of key financial markets and deliver incisive intelligence across industry sectors and asset classes. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Impact of latest property cooling measures manageable with most of its launches in the mid-tier and mass market segments.</li><li>The Myst remains on track for launch in 2H23.</li><li>Hospitality segment continues to benefit from travel recovery with RevPAR surging 65.4% y-o-y to S$131.2 in 1Q23, driven by increases in room rates and occupancy in Asia and Australia.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Impact of latest property cooling measures manageable with most of its launches in the mid-tier and mass market segments.The Myst remains on track for launch in 2H23.Hospitality segment continues to benefit from travel recovery with RevPAR surging 65.4% y-o-y to S$131.2 in 1Q23, driven by increases in room rates and occupancy in Asia and Australia.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

City Developments - Hospitality Segment To Drive Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>City Developments's share price has corrected 16% year-to-date, weighed down by cooling measures.</li><li>Despite a moderated residential outlook, we believe the impact to City Developments’s bottomline is manageable, as its inventory is substantially sold and the remaining landbank is mostly in mass/mid-tier segments.</li><li>City Developments's global hospitality portfolio (~one-third of RNAV) should continue to see a good recovery.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

City Developments's share price has corrected 16% year-to-date, weighed down by cooling measures.Despite a moderated residential outlook, we believe the impact to City Developments’s bottomline is manageable, as its inventory is substantially sold and the remaining landbank is mostly in mass/mid-tier segments.City Developments's global hospitality portfolio (~one-third of RNAV) should continue to see a good recovery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

City Developments - Still Cheap Despite Cooling Measures; Keep BUY

Singapore

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a Singaporean multinational real estate operating company. It develops, owns, and manages a diversified portfolio of residential, commercial, and hospitality properties, including offices, hotels, serviced apartments, shopping malls, and integrated developments. CDL was founded on September 7, 1963, and is headquartered in Singapore.

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City Developments (CIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (20May21) - CIT resi the bright spot

CIT resi the bright spot, hotels reopening key catalyst; MINT acquires US$1.32bn US Data Centre; Luxury landed homes market on uptrend; SREIT no...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (19May21) - PRIME robust operations metrics

PRIME robust operations metrics; CIT plans for GBP500m SREIT IPO; FIRT completes restructuring; Retail landlords roll out tenants support; China...

SCCM Asia Research

City Developments - Hospitality Segment To Drive Growth

Impact of latest property cooling measures manageable with most of its launches in the mid-tier and mass market segments. The Myst remains on track...

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments - Still Cheap Despite Cooling Measures; Keep BUY

Despite a moderated residential outlook, we believe the impact to City Developments’s bottomline is manageable, as its inventory is substantially sold

RHB Invest

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