External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

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<ul><li>Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.</li><li>On a segmental basis at a systemic level, consumer durables/personal loans/credit card outstanding have shown a robust growth of 39/21/30% YoY respectively.</li><li>Banks that have so far reported their provisional numbers for the quarter have witnessed a pick-up deposit growth, led by TD growth outpacing CASA deposit growth. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.On a segmental basis at a systemic level, consumer durables/personal loans/credit card outstanding have shown a robust growth of 39/21/30% YoY respectively.Banks that have so far reported their provisional numbers for the quarter have witnessed a pick-up deposit growth, led by TD growth outpacing CASA deposit growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bfsi Q4fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

<ul><li>India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locations</li><li>Driven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segment</li><li>Affordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensity</li><li>Going forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locationsDriven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segmentAffordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensityGoing forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>M&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3</li><li>Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here on</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimatesM&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here onContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

<ul><li>The credit growth momentum has continued to remain robust as is visible from the near decadal high systemic growth of ~17% YoY, driven by the continued traction in the Retail and SME segments.</li><li>On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well.</li><li>Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery, albeit on a weaker base.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The credit growth momentum has continued to remain robust as is visible from the near decadal high systemic growth of ~17% YoY, driven by the continued traction in the Retail and SME segments.On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well.Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery, albeit on a weaker base.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BFSI Q3FY23 Result Preview – Earnings Growth to Remain Strong!

India

City Union Bank Limited is an Indian private sector bank that offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial services, including personal, corporate, and NRI banking, as well as digital services and loans. The bank serves a diverse clientele, focusing on the MSME sector, retail traders, and agriculturalists. Headquartered in Kumbakonam, Tamil Nadu, India, the bank was founded on October 31, 1904.

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City Union Bank (CUBK IN)

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations

HDFC Securities

Bfsi Q4fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.

Axis Direct

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

M&M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its...

HDFC Securities

BFSI Q3FY23 Result Preview – Earnings Growth to Remain Strong!

On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well. Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery,...

Axis Direct

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