Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>On 6 March, the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Korea Exchange (KRX) jointly announced revisions and guidelines to spin-offs and double listings in Korea.</li>
<li>The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the corporate governance of companies in Korea.</li>
<li>On the other hand, one of the consequences of these changes could be that the parent companies may take more time to complete IPOs of their promising affiliates.</li>
</ul>


On 6 March, the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Korea Exchange (KRX) jointly announced revisions and guidelines to spin-offs and double listings in Korea.
The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the corporate governance of companies in Korea.
On the other hand, one of the consequences of these changes could be that the parent companies may take more time to complete IPOs of their promising affiliates.


FSC and KRX Jointly Announce Revisions to Spinoffs and Double Listings in Korea

<ul>
<li>There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.</li>
<li>The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. </li>
<li>The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.</li>
</ul>


There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.
The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. 
The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.


Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Another thing to consider in strategic trades aimed at the buying trend for yearend dividend hunting is the ₩1B majority shareholder transfer tax-triggered selling trend.</li>
<li>But the degree of direct conflict between the buying force targeting dividends and this factor at the point close to the ex-dividend date should not be as large as expected.</li>
<li>Considering a gradual preemptive sale of yearend tax evasion until the ex-dividend, we should consider shortening the trading time frame of the yearend dividend play close to the ex-dividend.</li>
</ul>


Another thing to consider in strategic trades aimed at the buying trend for yearend dividend hunting is the ₩1B majority shareholder transfer tax-triggered selling trend.
But the degree of direct conflict between the buying force targeting dividends and this factor at the point close to the ex-dividend date should not be as large as expected.
Considering a gradual preemptive sale of yearend tax evasion until the ex-dividend, we should consider shortening the trading time frame of the yearend dividend play close to the ex-dividend.


Yearend Dividend-Hunt Buying Vs. Majority Shareholder Transfer Tax-Triggered Selling

<ul>
<li>In Korea's local stock market, intense short-covering at the yearend dividend season has been consistently observed since mid-November. So, this post screens potential short-covering stocks.</li>
<li>KOSPI stocks meeting these screening factors include Kumho Petro Chemical, SK Inc, Lotte Shopping, Mirae Asset Securities, CJ Corp, and HiteJinro.</li>
<li>In the KOSDAQ, we can obtain the following results if the same screening factors are applied: LX Semicon, BH Co Ltd, and Seegene.</li>
</ul>


In Korea's local stock market, intense short-covering at the yearend dividend season has been consistently observed since mid-November. So, this post screens potential short-covering stocks.
KOSPI stocks meeting these screening factors include Kumho Petro Chemical, SK Inc, Lotte Shopping, Mirae Asset Securities, CJ Corp, and HiteJinro.
In the KOSDAQ, we can obtain the following results if the same screening factors are applied: LX Semicon, BH Co Ltd, and Seegene.


Potential Yearend Short-Covering Stocks in Korea

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

CJ Corp. is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures processed food products.  The subsidiaries' products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.

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CJ Corp (001040 KS)

FSC and KRX Jointly Announce Revisions to Spinoffs and Double Listings in Korea

The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the...

Douglas Kim

Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming...

Douglas Kim

Yearend Dividend-Hunt Buying Vs. Majority Shareholder Transfer Tax-Triggered Selling

This post looks at the yearend dividend-hunt buying versus the ₩1B majority shareholder transfer tax-triggered selling trend.

Sanghyun Park

Potential Yearend Short-Covering Stocks in Korea

In Korea's local stock market, intense short-covering at the yearend dividend season has been consistently observed since mid-November. So, this...

Sanghyun Park

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

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