Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.</li>
<li>KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.
KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.
In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.


Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>No surprise: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway (9009 JP)</a> shareholders voted down Palliser's proposal. If the vote was close, Palliser may ups its rhetorical game, and takes a harder stance.</li>
<li>Argyle failed to boot one <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">CMCDI (133 HK)</a> director. They'll next target the management agreement renewal; and agitate the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV.</li>
<li>The Offeror now has 90.16% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> - so this will get suspended at the close of the Offer.</li>
</ul>


No surprise: Keisei Electric Railway (9009 JP) shareholders voted down Palliser's proposal. If the vote was close, Palliser may ups its rhetorical game, and takes a harder stance.
Argyle failed to boot one CMCDI (133 HK) director. They'll next target the management agreement renewal; and agitate the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV.
The Offeror now has 90.16% in Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) - so this will get suspended at the close of the Offer.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC

<ul>
<li>The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.</li>
<li>Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.</li>
<li>The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.</li>
</ul>


The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.
Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.
The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.


Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

Lotte Non Life Insurance Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.</li>
<li>With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.</li>
<li>Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.</li>
</ul>


There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.
With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.
Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.


Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/classys" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29688:1" rel="noopener">Classys (214150 KS)</a> started 2024 on a strong note with highest ever quarterly revenue and operating profit in 1Q24. Faster-than-expected consumables orders from overseas markets drove the overall performance.</li>
<li>The proportion of consumable sales rose to 53% (1Q23: 48% and 4Q23: 43%), increasing by 42% and 32% QoQ. Increasing contribution from high-margin consumables sales improved the profitability substantially.</li>
<li>Favorable industry tailwind, global expansion, and new launches remain main growth drivers. Classys still expects 2024 revenue of KRW225B, up 25% YoY. In April, Classys obtained FDA approval for Volnewmer.</li>
</ul>



Classys (214150 KS) started 2024 on a strong note with highest ever quarterly revenue and operating profit in 1Q24. Faster-than-expected consumables orders from overseas markets drove the overall performance.
The proportion of consumable sales rose to 53% (1Q23: 48% and 4Q23: 43%), increasing by 42% and 32% QoQ. Increasing contribution from high-margin consumables sales improved the profitability substantially.
Favorable industry tailwind, global expansion, and new launches remain main growth drivers. Classys still expects 2024 revenue of KRW225B, up 25% YoY. In April, Classys obtained FDA approval for Volnewmer.


Classys (214150 KS): Beautiful Journey Continues; Record High Revenue and Operating Profit in 1Q24

South Korea

Classys Inc. operates as a medical equipment manufacturing company. The Company develops and sells non surgical painless fat reduction instruments, fat freezing fat reduction instruments, and other products. Classys markets its products worldwide.

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Classys (214150 KS)

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