IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a> is Vietnam’s leading, homegrown digital ecosystem. VNG has filed for a Nasdaq listing to raise US$300 million.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vng-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112269" rel="noopener">VNG IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on the Communications and Media business' faltering fundamentals, the Fintech business' uncertain path to profitability and VNG’s underlying cash burn.</li>
</ul>



VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US) is Vietnam’s leading, homegrown digital ecosystem. VNG has filed for a Nasdaq listing to raise US$300 million.
In VNG IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on the Communications and Media business' faltering fundamentals, the Fintech business' uncertain path to profitability and VNG’s underlying cash burn.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a> is Vietnam’s leading, homegrown digital ecosystem. VNG has filed for a Nasdaq listing to raise US$300 million.    </li>
<li>VNG is the number one mobile games publisher in Vietnam. VNG’s Zalo, Zing MP3 and Bao Moi applications are Vietnam’s leading messaging, music streaming and online news applications. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on the core games business’ improving KPIs, return to growth, good revenue visibility, and reducing dependence on critical partners combined with VNG’s improving margin.</li>
</ul>



VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US) is Vietnam’s leading, homegrown digital ecosystem. VNG has filed for a Nasdaq listing to raise US$300 million.    
VNG is the number one mobile games publisher in Vietnam. VNG’s Zalo, Zing MP3 and Bao Moi applications are Vietnam’s leading messaging, music streaming and online news applications. 
The bull case rests on the core games business’ improving KPIs, return to growth, good revenue visibility, and reducing dependence on critical partners combined with VNG’s improving margin.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Xpeng, CNOOC, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Xpeng, CNOOC, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 1st): Meituan, Xpeng, CNOOC, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, CCB, Xpeng, China Mobile, Meituan, CNOOC, Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd.-Hkd Traded Shares.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, CCB, Xpeng, China Mobile, Meituan, CNOOC, Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd.-Hkd Traded Shares.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 25th): Tencent, CCB, Xpeng, China Mobile, Meituan, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 21st): Tencent, HSBC

China

CMGE Technology Group Limited is an investment holding company primarily engaged in mobile game publishing, game development, and the licensing of intellectual property (IP). The company specializes in developing and publishing IP-based games, leveraging cultural IPs from animations, novels, and motion pictures, and notably holds the licensing rights to the "Legend of Sword and Fairy" IP. It was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, People's Republic of China.

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CMGE Technology (302 HK)

VNG IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on the Communications and Media business' faltering fundamentals, the Fintech business' uncertain path to profitability and...

Arun George

VNG IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the core games business’ improving KPIs, return to growth, good revenue visibility, and reducing dependence on critical...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 1st): Meituan, Xpeng, CNOOC, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Meituan, Xpeng, CNOOC, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 25th): Tencent, CCB, Xpeng, China Mobile, Meituan, CNOOC

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, CCB, Xpeng, China Mobile, Meituan, CNOOC, Ping An Insurance...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 21st): Tencent, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holdings Limited and, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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