Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.</li>
<li>Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.</li>
<li>Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.</li>
</ul>


Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.
Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.
Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.


Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite an overwhelming response and a 26-30% surge in the grey market, at 8.3x FY26 PER,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chuangxin-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45636:1" rel="noopener">Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK)</a>'s IPO price does not generate much excitement for us. </li>
<li>Heavy reliance on connected transactions with the controlling shareholder, pressure on margins in the future, and a highly leveraged balance sheet are concerns. </li>
<li>We do not think it justifies trading at a premium to peers, hence, limited upside from now. The small free float, however, will increase the share price volatility.</li>
</ul>


Despite an overwhelming response and a 26-30% surge in the grey market, at 8.3x FY26 PER,  Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK)'s IPO price does not generate much excitement for us. 
Heavy reliance on connected transactions with the controlling shareholder, pressure on margins in the future, and a highly leveraged balance sheet are concerns. 
We do not think it justifies trading at a premium to peers, hence, limited upside from now. The small free float, however, will increase the share price volatility.


Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Broad declines set a cautious tone as only a handful of single stocks avoided losses last week amid rising option volumes.</li>
<li>Market breadth deteriorated sharply, marking the weakest showing of the past year and highlighting the pressure across Hong Kong equities.</li>
<li>We highlight companies reporting next week in what shapes up as a busy week ahead with Baba and Meituan both reporting.</li>
</ul>


Broad declines set a cautious tone as only a handful of single stocks avoided losses last week amid rising option volumes.
Market breadth deteriorated sharply, marking the weakest showing of the past year and highlighting the pressure across Hong Kong equities.
We highlight companies reporting next week in what shapes up as a busy week ahead with Baba and Meituan both reporting.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Nov 17 – 21): Breadth Collapses, Put Volumes Rise

Equity Capital Markets

CNGR Advanced Material / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cngr-advanced-material-co-ltd-47ff2856-4dc1-492a-8394-03d69de02ce4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45994:1" rel="noopener">CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)</a>'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.</li>
<li>Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.</li>
<li>By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.</li>
</ul>



CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.
Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.
By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.


CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

China

CMOC Group Limited operates as a mineral mining and exploration company. The Company focuses on non-ferrous metal mining. CMOC Group specializes in mining and trading of base and rare metals.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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CMOC Group (603993 CH)

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Nov 17 – 21): Breadth Collapses, Put Volumes Rise

Hong Kong single stocks faced sharp declines and the weakest breadth of the year, while option flows strengthened and implied vols softened.

John Ley

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

​Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

​Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Nov 17 – 21): Breadth Collapses, Put Volumes Rise

Hong Kong single stocks faced sharp declines and the weakest breadth of the year, while option flows strengthened and implied vols softened.

John Ley

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

​CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...