Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 INDEX in June.</li>
<li>The surprise inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global (WTC AU)</a> means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.</li>
<li>There will be one adhoc inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). </li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ASX 20/50/100 index changes for the June 2024 index rebal event was announced after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs and the trends in short interest buildup for these names.</li>
<li>Separately, the completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> M&amp;A deal could trigger an intra-review deletion in June 2024 and the potential replacement name could have very high-impact.</li>
</ul>


The ASX 20/50/100 index changes for the June 2024 index rebal event was announced after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs and the trends in short interest buildup for these names.
Separately, the completion of the CSR Ltd (CSR AU) M&amp;A deal could trigger an intra-review deletion in June 2024 and the potential replacement name could have very high-impact.


Quiddity ASX Jun 24 Rebal: Regular Index Changes + One Potential Intra-Review Replacement

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we take a look at the potential index changes at the June rebalance as well as potential index inclusions due to M&amp;A.</li>
<li>Timing is key for the ad hoc inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> with an ad hoc inclusion being announced prior to the regular announcement.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 1.3-27x ADV on the expected adds and have 0.8-4.7x ADV to sell on the expected deletes. Shorts have built up on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we take a look at the potential index changes at the June rebalance as well as potential index inclusions due to M&amp;A.
Timing is key for the ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) with an ad hoc inclusion being announced prior to the regular announcement.
Passive trackers will need to buy 1.3-27x ADV on the expected adds and have 0.8-4.7x ADV to sell on the expected deletes. Shorts have built up on the potential deletes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.</li>
<li>For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.
For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a> merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.
The Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) / Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU) merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.
There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Australia

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

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Codan (CDA AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There is 1 change for the ASX20, 1 change for the ASX50, 2 changes for the ASX100 in June. Codan and Judo Capital are locked in a race to replace...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Jun 24 Rebal: Regular Index Changes + One Potential Intra-Review Replacement

We see Judo Capital (JDO AU) as the potential ASX 200 intra-review replacement for CSR (CSR AU). Coda (CDA AU) is a close-second.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

There should be changes for the ASX20, ASX100, ASX200 in June. Timing of the ASX200 inclusions is key with 2 M&A events leading to ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There is 1 change for the ASX20, 1 change for the ASX50, 2 changes for the ASX100 in June. Codan and Judo Capital are locked in a race to replace...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Jun 24 Rebal: Regular Index Changes + One Potential Intra-Review Replacement

We see Judo Capital (JDO AU) as the potential ASX 200 intra-review replacement for CSR (CSR AU). Coda (CDA AU) is a close-second.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

There should be changes for the ASX20, ASX100, ASX200 in June. Timing of the ASX200 inclusions is key with 2 M&A events leading to ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June