Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coforge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8639:1" rel="noopener">Coforge (COFORGE IN)</a>'s $1.56 billion deal with Sabre positions it as a major player in travel technology, but concerns over Sabre’s financial stability create potential risks for long-term execution.</li>
<li>Acquisitions of Rythmos and TMLabs align with Coforge’s strategy to enhance cloud, data, and enterprise IT capabilities, strengthening its market position in airline and ServiceNow implementation services.</li>
<li>While analysts recognize strong revenue visibility, Sabre’s $5.1 billion debt and negative net worth raise cash flow concerns, leading to a divided outlook on Coforge’s future profitability and risk exposure.</li>
</ul>



Coforge (COFORGE IN)'s $1.56 billion deal with Sabre positions it as a major player in travel technology, but concerns over Sabre’s financial stability create potential risks for long-term execution.
Acquisitions of Rythmos and TMLabs align with Coforge’s strategy to enhance cloud, data, and enterprise IT capabilities, strengthening its market position in airline and ServiceNow implementation services.
While analysts recognize strong revenue visibility, Sabre’s $5.1 billion debt and negative net worth raise cash flow concerns, leading to a divided outlook on Coforge’s future profitability and risk exposure.


Coforge’s $1.56 Billion Bet: A Game-Changer or a Risky Move?

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q2FY26 results show a "stabilizing" sector, but this was a illusion. The 30-90 bps margin beat was gifted almost entirely by a 3.6% INR depreciation.</li>
<li>The aggregate numbers hide a structural bifurcation. Tier-1 players like TCS face GenAI "productivity headwinds", forcing "involuntary attrition". Agile Mid-Tiers like Coforge and Persistent are monetizing AI and winning share.</li>
<li>Investors can no longer buy "the IT sector." The Q2 results prove it's a tale of two industries, a choice between leaders facing a painful transition and high-growth, high-premium challengers.</li>
</ul>


Q2FY26 results show a "stabilizing" sector, but this was a illusion. The 30-90 bps margin beat was gifted almost entirely by a 3.6% INR depreciation.
The aggregate numbers hide a structural bifurcation. Tier-1 players like TCS face GenAI "productivity headwinds", forcing "involuntary attrition". Agile Mid-Tiers like Coforge and Persistent are monetizing AI and winning share.
Investors can no longer buy "the IT sector." The Q2 results prove it's a tale of two industries, a choice between leaders facing a painful transition and high-growth, high-premium challengers.


Thematic Report on The Great IT Bifurcation: Why TCS Is Downsizing While Coforge Soars

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN)</a> will report Second Quarter FY 2026 Results on Thursday, 9 October 2025, after market close.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Typically a low-volatility stock, TCS has seen notable post-earnings swings in the past. Option markets now anticipate a move larger than its historic average.</li>
<li>
Why it matters: TCS is a top constituent of the Nifty 50 and Sensex. TCS’s commentary on the new H-1B visa fee could influence sentiment across India’s IT services sector.</li>
</ul>



Context:Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN) will report Second Quarter FY 2026 Results on Thursday, 9 October 2025, after market close.

Highlight: Typically a low-volatility stock, TCS has seen notable post-earnings swings in the past. Option markets now anticipate a move larger than its historic average.

Why it matters: TCS is a top constituent of the Nifty 50 and Sensex. TCS’s commentary on the new H-1B visa fee could influence sentiment across India’s IT services sector.


Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN) Q2 FY2026 Results: Options Signal Larger-Than-Usual Move

India

Coforge Limited provides information technology services. The Company serves customers in India.

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Coforge (COFORGE IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

There are 19 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Coforge’s $1.56 Billion Bet: A Game-Changer or a Risky Move?

Coforge's $1.56 billion deal with Sabre boosts its travel tech presence, but concerns over Sabre's financial stability pose risks for long-term...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report on The Great IT Bifurcation: Why TCS Is Downsizing While Coforge Soars

Q2FY26 results reveal a deceptive stability in the IT sector, with Tier-1 players facing challenges while agile Mid-Tiers capitalize on AI,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN) Q2 FY2026 Results: Options Signal Larger-Than-Usual Move

TCS will report Q2 FY2026 results on 9 October 2025 amid potential for larger-than-usual post-earnings swings. Commentary on H-1B visa fees could...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

There are 19 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Coforge’s $1.56 Billion Bet: A Game-Changer or a Risky Move?

​Coforge's $1.56 billion deal with Sabre boosts its travel tech presence, but concerns over Sabre's financial stability pose risks for long-term...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report on The Great IT Bifurcation: Why TCS Is Downsizing While Coforge Soars

​Q2FY26 results reveal a deceptive stability in the IT sector, with Tier-1 players facing challenges while agile Mid-Tiers capitalize on AI,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN) Q2 FY2026 Results: Options Signal Larger-Than-Usual Move

TCS will report Q2 FY2026 results on 9 October 2025 amid potential for larger-than-usual post-earnings swings. Commentary on H-1B visa fees could...

Gaudenz Schneider

Coforge's $1.56 billion deal with Sabre boosts its travel tech presence, but concerns over Sabre's financial stability pose risks for long-term...

Q2FY26 results reveal a deceptive stability in the IT sector, with Tier-1 players facing challenges while agile Mid-Tiers capitalize on AI,...