Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Sacra estimates that Databricks hit $2.4B in annualized revenue in June 2024, up 60% year-over-year, for a 18x multiple on their $43B valuation (from September 2023), challenging the narrative of a slowdown in enterprise tech spending.</li><li>Databricks' $1.3B acquisition of MosaicML in 2023 (which trains LLMs at 40% of the price of OpenAI) has further positioned the company as a formidable player in the enterprise AI market, while their open source LLMs are increasingly gaining traction on Hugging Face, from DBRX Instruct (40K+ downloads per month) to Dolly v2 3B (350K+).</li><li>Databricks' Unity Catalog is the wedge product that’s become core to their AI strategy, becoming a category leader in the sparsely-populated data-governance-for-AI space with 10,000+ enterprise customers in less than two years after launch.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates that Databricks hit $2.4B in annualized revenue in June 2024, up 60% year-over-year, for a 18x multiple on their $43B valuation (from September 2023), challenging the narrative of a slowdown in enterprise tech spending.Databricks' $1.3B acquisition of MosaicML in 2023 (which trains LLMs at 40% of the price of OpenAI) has further positioned the company as a formidable player in the enterprise AI market, while their open source LLMs are increasingly gaining traction on Hugging Face, from DBRX Instruct (40K+ downloads per month) to Dolly v2 3B (350K+).Databricks' Unity Catalog is the wedge product that’s become core to their AI strategy, becoming a category leader in the sparsely-populated data-governance-for-AI space with 10,000+ enterprise customers in less than two years after launch.

<ul><li>Sacra estimates that Together AI hit $44M in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in April with their developer experience-centric layer built on top of CoreWeave and Lambda Labs’s GPU cloud products.</li><li>Companies use cloud GPU hosts Together AI, CoreWeave, and Lambda Labs to use Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) graphics processing units (GPUs) to train AI models on their datasets, fine-tune them, and deploy them into production.</li><li>Sacra estimates that Together AI hit $44M in annualized revenue in April 2024, up 2095% year-over-year, with 90% of revenue coming from sales of bundled on-demand GPU compute and training via Together Inference and ~45% gross margin.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates that Together AI hit $44M in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in April with their developer experience-centric layer built on top of CoreWeave and Lambda Labs’s GPU cloud products.Companies use cloud GPU hosts Together AI, CoreWeave, and Lambda Labs to use Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) graphics processing units (GPUs) to train AI models on their datasets, fine-tune them, and deploy them into production.Sacra estimates that Together AI hit $44M in annualized revenue in April 2024, up 2095% year-over-year, with 90% of revenue coming from sales of bundled on-demand GPU compute and training via Together Inference and ~45% gross margin.

Together AI: The $44M/year Vercel Of Generative AI

<ul><li>Anthropic positioned itself as the large language model (LLM) for businesses with their mid-2023 update to Claude, adding a 100K token context window (versus the 8K of OpenAI’s GPT-4) so companies could do the now-standard process of RAG plus zero-shot prompting to retrieve proprietary data and inject it into their prompts.</li><li>With Anthropic’s March launch of Claude 3 Opus, OpenAI’s GPT-4 has competition for its crown as the state of the art LLM for B2B, with Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas deeming Opus the best LLM on the market.</li><li>Sacra estimates that Anthropic is at $316M annual recurring revenue (ARR), up 1,341% year-over-year from $22M ARR in March 2023 with a 61x forward revenue multiple on their last valuation of $18.4B, monetizing like OpenAI both with its developer tools API via usage and offering a prosumer chat experience on subscription.</li></ul>

Anthropic positioned itself as the large language model (LLM) for businesses with their mid-2023 update to Claude, adding a 100K token context window (versus the 8K of OpenAI’s GPT-4) so companies could do the now-standard process of RAG plus zero-shot prompting to retrieve proprietary data and inject it into their prompts.With Anthropic’s March launch of Claude 3 Opus, OpenAI’s GPT-4 has competition for its crown as the state of the art LLM for B2B, with Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas deeming Opus the best LLM on the market.Sacra estimates that Anthropic is at $316M annual recurring revenue (ARR), up 1,341% year-over-year from $22M ARR in March 2023 with a 61x forward revenue multiple on their last valuation of $18.4B, monetizing like OpenAI both with its developer tools API via usage and offering a prosumer chat experience on subscription.

<ul><li>Mid 2022, Scale’s bread-and-butter of autonomous vehicle (AV) data labeling workloads went into a decline alongside falling R&amp;D investment and VC funding, with GM’s Cruise (2021 valuation: $30B) suspending operations and Argo AI (2021 valuation: $7.B), Lyft (NASDAQ: LYFT), and Uber (NYSE: UBER) shutting down their AV programs.</li><li>In 2023, Scale’s revenue exploded to $760M ARR, up 162% YoY, with $18B in capital inflows to foundational model companies like OpenAI ($1.3B ARR in 2023), Anthropic ($200M ARR in 2023) and Cohere and generative AI apps like Runway ($237M raised) and Harvey ($106M raised) alongside the integration of gen AI-features into every app.</li><li>The very source of Scale’s near-term revenue re-acceleration poses the gravest long-term existential threat to its business, with LLMs getting closer to parity with humans on data-labeling tasks while being cheap and 20x as fast.</li></ul>

Mid 2022, Scale’s bread-and-butter of autonomous vehicle (AV) data labeling workloads went into a decline alongside falling R&amp;D investment and VC funding, with GM’s Cruise (2021 valuation: $30B) suspending operations and Argo AI (2021 valuation: $7.B), Lyft (NASDAQ: LYFT), and Uber (NYSE: UBER) shutting down their AV programs.In 2023, Scale’s revenue exploded to $760M ARR, up 162% YoY, with $18B in capital inflows to foundational model companies like OpenAI ($1.3B ARR in 2023), Anthropic ($200M ARR in 2023) and Cohere and generative AI apps like Runway ($237M raised) and Harvey ($106M raised) alongside the integration of gen AI-features into every app.The very source of Scale’s near-term revenue re-acceleration poses the gravest long-term existential threat to its business, with LLMs getting closer to parity with humans on data-labeling tasks while being cheap and 20x as fast.

<ul><li>The surprise consumer success of ChatGPT and the compute needed to support it put OpenAI on track to build the most capital-intensive startup in Silicon Valley history: so far, they’ve raised roughly $13.3B en route to $1B of (unprofitable) revenue in 2023.</li><li>This level of capital investment and cash burn necessitated a deep-pocketed, long-term partner like Microsoft—making it the single most influential stakeholder in OpenAI despite its minority ownership in the for-profit entity and lack of board seat in the controlling non-profit board.</li><li>Developers have raised $5B+ to build startups on top of OpenAI in 2023 alone, making an ecosystem bet on OpenAI as the latest platform shift—now, it’s even more clear that they need to design for optionality between OpenAI and competitors.</li></ul>

The surprise consumer success of ChatGPT and the compute needed to support it put OpenAI on track to build the most capital-intensive startup in Silicon Valley history: so far, they’ve raised roughly $13.3B en route to $1B of (unprofitable) revenue in 2023.This level of capital investment and cash burn necessitated a deep-pocketed, long-term partner like Microsoft—making it the single most influential stakeholder in OpenAI despite its minority ownership in the for-profit entity and lack of board seat in the controlling non-profit board.Developers have raised $5B+ to build startups on top of OpenAI in 2023 alone, making an ecosystem bet on OpenAI as the latest platform shift—now, it’s even more clear that they need to design for optionality between OpenAI and competitors.

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API for fast, cost-effective large language models tailored to enterprise deployments

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Cohere (COHERE CA)

Databricks At $2.4B ARR Growing 60%

TL;DR: Sacra estimates that Databricks hit $2.4B in annualized revenue in June 2024, up 60% year-over-year, as it retools as an AI company to take...

Sacra

Together AI: The $44M/year Vercel Of Generative AI

TL;DR: Sacra estimates that Together AI hit $44M in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in April with their developer experience-centric layer built on...

Sacra

Anthropic At $316M ARR

TL;DR: With the launch of Claude 3 Opus, Anthropic has cemented itself alongside OpenAI, Mistral and Google as one of the small handful of LLM...

Sacra

Scale At $760M ARR

TL;DR: Sacra estimates that Scale grew annual recurring revenue (ARR) 158% to $760M in 2023 riding the LLM wave just as their previous bread-and...

Sacra

OpenAI Governance By Force

TL;DR: Two weeks ago, a power struggle at OpenAI laid bare the tangle of incentives behind the $86B organization’s complex corporate structure. The...

Sacra

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