Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A major global index provider will announce its quarterly review results on 10th February 2026. There could be tens of billions of dollars of flows during this event.</li>
<li>This insight shows our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for all 47 markets in the index universe for the upcoming rebal event.</li>
<li>The Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the end of February 2026.</li>
</ul>


A major global index provider will announce its quarterly review results on 10th February 2026. There could be tens of billions of dollars of flows during this event.
This insight shows our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for all 47 markets in the index universe for the upcoming rebal event.
The Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the end of February 2026.


Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Over past year the price of Silicon Carbide wafers has declined by 50-60%, leading to the bankruptcy of Wolfspeed. The Western media tends to blame Chinese over-capacity and price cuts. </li>
<li>But all SiC firms have massively increased capacity: Infineon, Onsemi, STMicro. The vertical integration of the majors is also to blame: over-investments in a small market (rapidly growing, but small). </li>
<li>Who benefits? Nominally the big integrated vendors Infineon, Onsemi, Rohm, STMicro – but Power SiC is a small fraction of their revenues.</li>
</ul>


Over past year the price of Silicon Carbide wafers has declined by 50-60%, leading to the bankruptcy of Wolfspeed. The Western media tends to blame Chinese over-capacity and price cuts. 
But all SiC firms have massively increased capacity: Infineon, Onsemi, STMicro. The vertical integration of the majors is also to blame: over-investments in a small market (rapidly growing, but small). 
Who benefits? Nominally the big integrated vendors Infineon, Onsemi, Rohm, STMicro – but Power SiC is a small fraction of their revenues.


Automotive Power SiC: The Bankruptcy of Wolfspeed

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>Coherent Corp. is a maker of optical components with a focus on optical connectivity within GPU clusters</li><li>Predicted 20%+ internal rate of return over a 3-year holding period due to secular adoption trends</li><li>Emphasis on addressing interconnect bandwidth wall issue in data centers to improve data movement speed in relation to compute speeds</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Coherent Corp. is a maker of optical components with a focus on optical connectivity within GPU clustersPredicted 20%+ internal rate of return over a 3-year holding period due to secular adoption trendsEmphasis on addressing interconnect bandwidth wall issue in data centers to improve data movement speed in relation to compute speedsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Coherent Corp (COHR) - Monday, Apr 15, 2024

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>'s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement on 26 June, the gross spread has averaged 6.4%.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. JIC, unusually can waive all or part of the conditions precedent.</li>
<li>The wild card is geopolitical developments. There are three China approval scenarios. The likely scenario is the deal approval under a normal procedure with a delay to the tender start.</li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP)'s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement on 26 June, the gross spread has averaged 6.4%.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. JIC, unusually can waive all or part of the conditions precedent.
The wild card is geopolitical developments. There are three China approval scenarios. The likely scenario is the deal approval under a normal procedure with a delay to the tender start.


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

United States

Coherent Corp. designs engineered materials and optoelectronic components. The Company offers products to industrial, optical communications, military, life sciences, semiconductor equipment, and consumer markets. Coherent also manufactures semiconductor lasers and optics for high power industrial lasers, optical communications systems, datacenter connectivity, and 3D sensing.

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Coherent (COHR US)

Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

There were 124 changes confirmed for the Feb26 rebal. We correctly predicted 108 changes which is 87% of the confirmed changes. We achieved hit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Automotive Power SiC: The Bankruptcy of Wolfspeed

The decline in Silicon Carbide wafer price led to bankruptcy of Wolfspeed. Blame placed on Chinese over-capacity but the vertical integration of...

Nicolas Baratte

Coherent Corp (COHR) - Monday, Apr 15, 2024

Emphasis on addressing interconnect bandwidth wall issue in data centers to improve data movement speed in relation to compute speeds

Value Investors Club (VIC)

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. In this note, we...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

There were 124 changes confirmed for the Feb26 rebal. We correctly predicted 108 changes which is 87% of the confirmed changes. We achieved hit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Automotive Power SiC: The Bankruptcy of Wolfspeed

​The decline in Silicon Carbide wafer price led to bankruptcy of Wolfspeed. Blame placed on Chinese over-capacity but the vertical integration of...

Nicolas Baratte

Coherent Corp (COHR) - Monday, Apr 15, 2024

Emphasis on addressing interconnect bandwidth wall issue in data centers to improve data movement speed in relation to compute speeds

Value Investors Club (VIC)

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. In this note, we...

Arun George

The decline in Silicon Carbide wafer price led to bankruptcy of Wolfspeed. Blame placed on Chinese over-capacity but the vertical integration of...