Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Compass Group PLC has released its full-year 2024 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 16% increase in operating profit and an 11% growth in organic revenue.</li><li>The company reported a margin progression of 30 basis points, taking it to 7.1%.</li><li>This has been complemented by a net new business growth of 4.2%, further gaining momentum in the second half of the year.</li></ul>

Compass Group PLC has released its full-year 2024 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 16% increase in operating profit and an 11% growth in organic revenue.The company reported a margin progression of 30 basis points, taking it to 7.1%.This has been complemented by a net new business growth of 4.2%, further gaining momentum in the second half of the year.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure</li>
<li>And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure
And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.


Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dsm-firmenich-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43730:1" rel="noopener">DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post (DHL GR)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN)</a> are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intesa-sanpaolo-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21200:1" rel="noopener">Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener">Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM)</a> .</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cap-gemini-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21411:1" rel="noopener">Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/compass-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21880:1" rel="noopener">Compass (CPG LN)</a> are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. </li>
</ul>



Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA). 

Deutsche Post (DHL GR) &amp; Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN) are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM) &amp; Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM) .

Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP) and Compass (CPG LN) are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. 


STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>After a multi-year drop in ownership, UK fund exposure in HSBC Holdings is on the rise. </li>
<li>Over the last 6-months, average fund weights have increased by +0.33% as new positions outnumbered closing positions by a factor of 2.</li>
<li>With increasing active fund ownership and rising benchmark weights, UK Equity funds need higher conviction to omit HSBC from their portfolio.</li>
</ul>


After a multi-year drop in ownership, UK fund exposure in HSBC Holdings is on the rise. 
Over the last 6-months, average fund weights have increased by +0.33% as new positions outnumbered closing positions by a factor of 2.
With increasing active fund ownership and rising benchmark weights, UK Equity funds need higher conviction to omit HSBC from their portfolio.


United Kingdom

Compass Group PLC provides catering and support services. The Company offers services to offices, factories, hospitals and care homes, schools and universities, sports venues, military facilities, offshore platforms, and other remote locations. Compass Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Compass (CPG LN)

Compass Group: Initiation of Coverage

Compass Group PLC has released its full-year 2024 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 16% increase in operating profit and...

Baptista Research

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

HSBC Holdings: Conviction Returns

After years of decline, UK active managers are buying back into HSBC. Increased fund ownership and rising index weights make it more difficult for...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Compass Group: Initiation of Coverage

Compass Group PLC has released its full-year 2024 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 16% increase in operating profit and...

Baptista Research

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

​In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

HSBC Holdings: Conviction Returns

After years of decline, UK active managers are buying back into HSBC. Increased fund ownership and rising index weights make it more difficult for...

Steven Holden

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...