Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.</li>
<li>Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.</li>
<li>Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).</li>
</ul>


Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.
Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.
Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).


Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Technical Analysis

<p>Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.</p>

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 26th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy, Computershare.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 26th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy, Computershare.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ, Pro Medicus.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ, Pro Medicus.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jun): Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Computershare, Stockland, ASX, Brambles, GPT.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Computershare, Stockland, ASX, Brambles, GPT.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Computershare, Stockland, ASX, Brambles, GPT

Australia

Computershare Limited operates share registries and computer bureaus which includes the administration of employee share and option plans and the provision of software that specializes in share registry, financial and stock markets. The Company also provides corporate trust services and acts as a trustee for clients' debt offerings in certain markets.

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Computershare Ltd (CPU AU)

Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

Hong Kong's Hang Seng and China's $MCHI and $KWEB are near major base breakouts. We are watching is 22,700 on Hang Seng and $56.60 on MCHI; we are...

Vermilion Research

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity....

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jun): Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Computershare, Stockland, ASX, Brambles, GPT

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Computershare, Stockland, ASX, Brambles, GPT.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)