Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.</p>
<p>The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.</p>
<p>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.
The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Headline Developments China has likened online computer games to opium, causing shares in Tencent (700.HK) and NetEase (9999.HK) to drop 10% and 15% respectively.  The article, which appeared in state-run Economic Information Daily (before being removed), said more than half of China’s children were nearsighted and online games affects their education; adding that gaming addiction is widespread and could negatively impact their growth.</p>

Headline Developments China has likened online computer games to opium, causing shares in Tencent (700.HK) and NetEase (9999.HK) to drop 10% and 15% respectively.  The article, which appeared in state-run Economic Information Daily (before being removed), said more than half of China’s children were nearsighted and online games affects their education; adding that gaming addiction is widespread and could negatively impact their growth.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors, if taken as a separate allocation from their non A-Share peers.  Average holding weights of 4.74% puts them sandwiched between Russia and Brazil, and inline with the benchmark iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight.</p><p>Industrials and Consumer Discretionary are the most widely held sectors, as well as being the largest allocations and biggest overweights in active EM portfolios.  Financials are the key underweight holding.</p><p>The most widely held stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, both held by 23% of the funds in our analysis.  There is a reasonable gap to the 2nd tier, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> held by 14% of funds at much lower average weights.</p><p>Over the last 6-months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)</a> saw the largest increase in the percentage of EM Funds invested (+6.3%), followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)</a>.</p>

China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors, if taken as a separate allocation from their non A-Share peers.  Average holding weights of 4.74% puts them sandwiched between Russia and Brazil, and inline with the benchmark iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight.Industrials and Consumer Discretionary are the most widely held sectors, as well as being the largest allocations and biggest overweights in active EM portfolios.  Financials are the key underweight holding.The most widely held stocks are Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), both held by 23% of the funds in our analysis.  There is a reasonable gap to the 2nd tier, with Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH), Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) and CATL (A) (300750 CH) held by 14% of funds at much lower average weights.Over the last 6-months, Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) saw the largest increase in the percentage of EM Funds invested (+6.3%), followed by CATL (A) (300750 CH) and LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH).

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We view the FY21 (Year end Mar) result of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang Group Co (3818 HK)</a> positively, despite a dividend payout ratio which is lower than expected. As we wrote in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-dongxiang-3818-hk-what-can-we-expect-from-the-final-result" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53174" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK): What Can We Expect from the Final Result?</a>, its sportswear business in China has recorded good turnaround, with gross profit soared 46.3% YoY and 27.9% HoH. Meanwhile, its investment business also registered an income of Rmb2.1bn for full-year, or Rmb759.7m for 2H21, up 88.7% YoY.</p><p>Going forward, we expect CNDX's strategy to bring about further improvement in its sportswear business in China. It has also disclosed more names of listed equity that it hold both directly and indirectly and they are all of good quality, in our view. The stock is trading on 47% discount to book value which made up of 14% of net cash, 73% of investment portfolio and 13% of other net assets. Frankly, we think such valuation is too depressed and believe there is more upside room even after a 52% rally in share price YTD.</p>

We view the FY21 (Year end Mar) result of China Dongxiang Group Co (3818 HK) positively, despite a dividend payout ratio which is lower than expected. As we wrote in China Dongxiang (3818 HK): What Can We Expect from the Final Result?, its sportswear business in China has recorded good turnaround, with gross profit soared 46.3% YoY and 27.9% HoH. Meanwhile, its investment business also registered an income of Rmb2.1bn for full-year, or Rmb759.7m for 2H21, up 88.7% YoY.Going forward, we expect CNDX's strategy to bring about further improvement in its sportswear business in China. It has also disclosed more names of listed equity that it hold both directly and indirectly and they are all of good quality, in our view. The stock is trading on 47% discount to book value which made up of 14% of net cash, 73% of investment portfolio and 13% of other net assets. Frankly, we think such valuation is too depressed and believe there is more upside room even after a 52% rally in share price YTD.

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Lower-Than-Expected Dividends but Still A Marvelous FY21

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<h2>Preliminary review application</h2><p>The KRX announced that it had received an application for preliminary examination for the listing of LG Energy Solution. LG Energy Solutions aims to be listed on the KOSPI within this year.</p><p>LG Energy Solutions was established on December 1st last year through a physical spin-off of LG Chem's battery business division. <strong>Currently, LG Energy Solution is LG Chem's wholly-owned subsidiary. As of 2020, its sales were ₩1.46T, with a net loss of ₩451.8B.</strong></p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Energy Solution financials for 2020"}'>LG Energy Solution financials for 2020</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sales"}'><strong>Sales</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1461.1}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>₩1,461.1B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Operating loss"}'><strong>Operating loss</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-475.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>-₩475.2B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Net loss"}'><strong>Net loss</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-451.8}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>-₩451.8B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Assets</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">₩19,941.8B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">₩7,565.4B</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>Listing schedule</h2><p>The preliminary examination for listing is a process of reviewing whether a company wishing to be listed meets the listing requirements specified in the listing regulations. For local companies, the preliminary examination for listing takes 45 days.</p><p>A listing applicant who has received approval for the preliminary examination for listing shall submit a registration statement (commonly called IPO book) to the Financial Services Commission. This process takes about 15 days.</p><p><strong>So, we will likely see an IPO book from LG Energy Solution in early August. Then, another 4 weeks should pass until listing, meaning that LG Energy Solution will likely make its public market debut in early September.</strong></p>

Preliminary review applicationThe KRX announced that it had received an application for preliminary examination for the listing of LG Energy Solution. LG Energy Solutions aims to be listed on the KOSPI within this year.LG Energy Solutions was established on December 1st last year through a physical spin-off of LG Chem's battery business division. Currently, LG Energy Solution is LG Chem's wholly-owned subsidiary. As of 2020, its sales were ₩1.46T, with a net loss of ₩451.8B.





LG Energy Solution financials for 2020

Sales
₩1,461.1B


Operating loss
-₩475.2B


Net loss
-₩451.8B


Assets
₩19,941.8B


Equity
₩7,565.4B

Source: KRX

Listing scheduleThe preliminary examination for listing is a process of reviewing whether a company wishing to be listed meets the listing requirements specified in the listing regulations. For local companies, the preliminary examination for listing takes 45 days.A listing applicant who has received approval for the preliminary examination for listing shall submit a registration statement (commonly called IPO book) to the Financial Services Commission. This process takes about 15 days.So, we will likely see an IPO book from LG Energy Solution in early August. Then, another 4 weeks should pass until listing, meaning that LG Energy Solution will likely make its public market debut in early September.

LG Energy Solution KOSPI IPO: Listing Schedule & Valuation Issues

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Half way through the review period, we see 26 changes to the CSI300 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 9%+ & would result in a one way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #43

Headline Developments: China has likened online computer games to opium, causing shares in Tencent (700.HK) and NetEase (9999.HK) to drop 10% and...

Granite Bay Capital

China A-Shares - EM Fund Ownership Guide

China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors. In this analysis, we analyse the current set up of A-Shares in...

Steven Holden

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Lower-Than-Expected Dividends but Still A Marvelous FY21

China Dongxiang has delivered impressive FY21 result with good recovery in sportswear and surge in investment income. At 47% discount to book...

Osbert Tang, CFA

LG Energy Solution KOSPI IPO: Listing Schedule & Valuation Issues

This post looks into the IPO schedule and valuation issues of LG Energy Solution, which applied for a preliminary listing review yesterday.

Sanghyun Park

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