Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> is trading at a 6.9% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a> - if that is due to expectations of Fast Entry, that premium could drop.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> has not announced the overallotment option as exercised and that puts Fast Entry at risk. An announcement prior to the close tomorrow could lead to Fast Entry.</li>
<li>The earliest inclusion could be at the close on 30 May while the other global index inclusion looks likely in December.</li>
</ul>



CATL (3750 HK) is trading at a 6.9% premium to Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) - if that is due to expectations of Fast Entry, that premium could drop.

CATL (3750 HK) has not announced the overallotment option as exercised and that puts Fast Entry at risk. An announcement prior to the close tomorrow could lead to Fast Entry.
The earliest inclusion could be at the close on 30 May while the other global index inclusion looks likely in December.


CATL (3750 HK): Reassessing Index Fast Entry; Need Overallotment Exercised by Tomorrow

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$263 to raise HK$35,657.2 million (US$4.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 6.6% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a>'s AH discount of 4.7%.</li>
<li>CATL had the highest oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) priced its H Share at HK$263 to raise HK$35,657.2 million (US$4.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 6.6% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Midea Group (300 HK)'s AH discount of 4.7%.
CATL had the highest oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.


CATL H Share Listing (3750 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> will remain in the spotlight in the coming week as well.</li>
<li>On the placements front, Japan deals appear to be picking up again.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) will remain in the spotlight in the coming week as well.
On the placements front, Japan deals appear to be picking up again.


ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With two days left in the review period, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">FXI</a> ETF in June.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> will add to the potential inclusion of the stock in other indices.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing in both stocks. Multiple index inclusions could result in short covering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart</a> while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group</a>'s stock price has been bouncing off its lows.</li>
</ul>


With two days left in the review period, Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could replace China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK) in the FXI ETF in June.
The inclusion of Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) in the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) will add to the potential inclusion of the stock in other indices.
Short interest has been increasing in both stocks. Multiple index inclusions could result in short covering in Pop Mart while China Railway Group's stock price has been bouncing off its lows.


FXI Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Pops Up Again

Hong Kong

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK)

CATL (3750 HK): Reassessing Index Fast Entry; Need Overallotment Exercised by Tomorrow

At HK$304/share, CATL (3750 HK) fails Fast Entry to both global indices. If CATL announces the overallotment option as fully exercised by COB 21...

Brian Freitas

CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing....

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Pops Up Again

Pop Mart could replace China Railway in the FXI ETF. Pop Mart is also a potential inclusion to other indices. Shorts have been increasing in both...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CATL (3750 HK): Reassessing Index Fast Entry; Need Overallotment Exercised by Tomorrow

At HK$304/share, CATL (3750 HK) fails Fast Entry to both global indices. If CATL announces the overallotment option as fully exercised by COB 21...

Brian Freitas

CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing....

Sumeet Singh

CATL H Share Listing (3750 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

CATL had the highest oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Pops Up Again

Pop Mart could replace China Railway in the FXI ETF. Pop Mart is also a potential inclusion to other indices. Shorts have been increasing in both...

Brian Freitas