Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to 13,000 won.</li>
<li>There were 1,174 institutional investors that participated in this IPO survey. The demand ratio was 352.6 to 1.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,575 won per share, which is 3.3% lower than the IPO price 13,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to 13,000 won.
There were 1,174 institutional investors that participated in this IPO survey. The demand ratio was 352.6 to 1.
Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,575 won per share, which is 3.3% lower than the IPO price 13,000 won.


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.</li>
<li>SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.</li>
<li>Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.</li>
</ul>


NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.
SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.
Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.


Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11776:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Financial Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-fire-marine-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20468:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.
There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Securities and Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.
Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

<ul>
<li>JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range and offering amount in order to list on the KOSDAQ market.</li>
<li>The company lowered the IPO price range to 10,000 won to 13,000 won from 15,000 won to 18,000 won range previously.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 11,268 won per share, which is 2% lower than the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range and offering amount in order to list on the KOSDAQ market.
The company lowered the IPO price range to 10,000 won to 13,000 won from 15,000 won to 18,000 won range previously.
Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 11,268 won per share, which is 2% lower than the mid-point of the IPO price range.


<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  </li>
<li>We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  
We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).


South Korea

COSMOAM&T Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, and exports blank video & audio recording tapes including back-coated tapes, high speed recordable tapes, and video head cleaners.  The Company also produces recordable and rewritable optical discs, such as compact discs (CD), mini discs (MD), and digital video discs (DVD).

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CosmoAM&T (005070 KS)

JEIO IPO: Book Building Results Analysis

Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to...

Douglas Kim

Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

This post investigates the 50 additional KOSPI stocks that Korea NPS has reportedly chosen for its benchmark index for direct management, called...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

There could be two changes in Jan & April and then another 3 changes in June. Impact on the stocks is not excessive and short interest is minimal....

Brian Freitas

JEIO Lowers IPO Price Range

JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range by 33% at the low end.

Douglas Kim

JEIO IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

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