Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11776:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Financial Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-fire-marine-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20468:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.
There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Securities and Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.
Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range and offering amount in order to list on the KOSDAQ market.</li>
<li>The company lowered the IPO price range to 10,000 won to 13,000 won from 15,000 won to 18,000 won range previously.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 11,268 won per share, which is 2% lower than the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range and offering amount in order to list on the KOSDAQ market.
The company lowered the IPO price range to 10,000 won to 13,000 won from 15,000 won to 18,000 won range previously.
Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 11,268 won per share, which is 2% lower than the mid-point of the IPO price range.


<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  </li>
<li>We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  
We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).


<ul>
<li>Sungeel Hitech is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in July. This is one of the market leaders in the recycling of rechargeable battery materials in Korea. </li>
<li>It has experienced excellent growth in sales and profits. It had revenue of 147.3 billion won (up 123.3% YoY) and operating profit of 16.9 billion won in 2021.</li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 40,700 won to 47,500 won. The IPO base deal size ranges from $86 million to $100 million.</li>
</ul>


Sungeel Hitech is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in July. This is one of the market leaders in the recycling of rechargeable battery materials in Korea. 
It has experienced excellent growth in sales and profits. It had revenue of 147.3 billion won (up 123.3% YoY) and operating profit of 16.9 billion won in 2021.
The IPO price range is from 40,700 won to 47,500 won. The IPO base deal size ranges from $86 million to $100 million.


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
The rebalancing cycle of the KODEX Secondary Battery ETF was changed from semi-annual to quarterly. Also, the rebalancing trading takes place for three trading days instead of one trading day.</li>
<li>
This passive impact will be different from the previous rebalancing. LG Energy and SK Innovation will likely experience a significant passive outflow. Then, most small-cap constituents will receive an inflow. </li>
<li>
Among the top weighting stocks, Samsung SDI and SKIET deserve attention. Sangsin Energy, E&amp;D, and TSI will face exclusion, while C&amp;I, Sang-A Frontec, and Enchem will likely join the ETF.</li>
</ul>



The rebalancing cycle of the KODEX Secondary Battery ETF was changed from semi-annual to quarterly. Also, the rebalancing trading takes place for three trading days instead of one trading day.

This passive impact will be different from the previous rebalancing. LG Energy and SK Innovation will likely experience a significant passive outflow. Then, most small-cap constituents will receive an inflow. 

Among the top weighting stocks, Samsung SDI and SKIET deserve attention. Sangsin Energy, E&amp;D, and TSI will face exclusion, while C&amp;I, Sang-A Frontec, and Enchem will likely join the ETF.


KODEX Battery ETF Rebalancing Cycle Changed to Quarterly: Preview for March Rebalancing

South Korea

COSMOAM&T Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, and exports blank video & audio recording tapes including back-coated tapes, high speed recordable tapes, and video head cleaners.  The Company also produces recordable and rewritable optical discs, such as compact discs (CD), mini discs (MD), and digital video discs (DVD).

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CosmoAM&T (005070 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

There could be two changes in Jan & April and then another 3 changes in June. Impact on the stocks is not excessive and short interest is minimal....

Brian Freitas

JEIO Lowers IPO Price Range

JEIO, a manufacturer of carbon nanotubes for rechargeable batteries, has lowered its IPO price range by 33% at the low end.

Douglas Kim

JEIO IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

Sungeel HiTech IPO Preview

Sungeel Hitech is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in July. This is one of the market leaders in the recycling of rechargeable battery...

Douglas Kim

KODEX Battery ETF Rebalancing Cycle Changed to Quarterly: Preview for March Rebalancing

The rebalancing cycle of the KODEX Secondary Battery ETF was changed from semi-annual to quarterly. This post previews the upcoming rebalancing...

Sanghyun Park

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