Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSI added <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> and deleted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a>. HSCEI added <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a> deleted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> </li>
<li>HSTECH had no changes, but lots of flow. The index team sets capping levels, then resets them a three days before the actual rebalancing. There were some capping/recapping changes.</li>
<li>Below we offer tables showing all the changes and flows across the indices for each stock, ranked by Flows, ADV, and Ticker. And a spreadsheet with all the relevant data.</li>
</ul>


The HSI added BYD Electronics (285 HK) and deleted Country Garden Services (6098 HK). HSCEI added Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) deleted Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) 
HSTECH had no changes, but lots of flow. The index team sets capping levels, then resets them a three days before the actual rebalancing. There were some capping/recapping changes.
Below we offer tables showing all the changes and flows across the indices for each stock, ranked by Flows, ADV, and Ticker. And a spreadsheet with all the relevant data.


HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH June 2024 Rebal Final Re-Capping (Or Re-Re-Capping) Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics</a> are the largest buys while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings</a> are the largest sells.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.
The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).

Li Auto, Alibaba, NetEase, Zijin Mining, SenseTime and BYD Electronics are the largest buys while Tencent, Meituan, JD.com, Kuaishou Technology, Xiaomi and HSBC Holdings are the largest sells.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

Country Garden Services / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in June 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the June 2024 index rebal will be announced on 17th May 2024.</li>
<li>The HSI selection process is highly subjective and does not follow clear-cut rules. This insight is simply an attempt to provide readers with an overall understanding of the possible scenarios.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in June 2024.
The index changes for the June 2024 index rebal will be announced on 17th May 2024.
The HSI selection process is highly subjective and does not follow clear-cut rules. This insight is simply an attempt to provide readers with an overall understanding of the possible scenarios.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While historically many new inclusions to the HSI have performed disappointingly after their addition, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronic (285 HK)</a> looks unlikely to follow such a pattern.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boyd-gaming-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18556:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>Its share price has underperformed YTD, absolute PER valuations are not stretched and forward P/B multiple is only at the historical average level. These provide a good buffer.</li>
<li>Its industry and business are not at structural and cyclical peaks, with further growth prospects from AI-enhanced products and solutions. A 33% surge in 1Q24 earnings also adds comfort.</li>
</ul>


While historically many new inclusions to the HSI have performed disappointingly after their addition, BYD Electronic (285 HK) looks unlikely to follow such a pattern.  

Its share price has underperformed YTD, absolute PER valuations are not stretched and forward P/B multiple is only at the historical average level. These provide a good buffer.
Its industry and business are not at structural and cyclical peaks, with further growth prospects from AI-enhanced products and solutions. A 33% surge in 1Q24 earnings also adds comfort.


BYD Electronic (285 HK): Will HSI Inclusion Be a Kiss of Death?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> after market close on 7 June while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$8.46bn (US$1.08bn) with over 1x ADV to trade in the add and delete.</li>
<li>We remain at 82 index constituents and the road to 100 index members looks to be a long and winding one.</li>
</ul>



BYD Electronics (285 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) after market close on 7 June while Country Garden Services (6098 HK) will be deleted.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$8.46bn (US$1.08bn) with over 1x ADV to trade in the add and delete.
We remain at 82 index constituents and the road to 100 index members looks to be a long and winding one.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: BYD Electronics Added; Country Garden Services Deleted

China

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited provides real estate development services. The Company develops residential apartments, multi-functional complex buildings, government and public facilities, industrial parks, highway service stations, and schools. Country Garden Services Holdings serves clients in China.

Price Gauge
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Country Garden Services (6098 HK)

HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH June 2024 Rebal Final Re-Capping (Or Re-Re-Capping) Flows

The Hang Seng Index team provides initial expected changes 2wks before the rebalance, then we review/recap/re-recap 3 days before. That's done....

Travis Lundy

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

Country Garden Services (6098 HK) will be deleted from the Hang Seng Index and BYD Electronics (285 HK) will be added to the index in June 2024....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BYD Electronic (285 HK): Will HSI Inclusion Be a Kiss of Death?

BYD Electronic's HSI inclusion is not expected to put pressure on its share price similar to its precedents due to underperformance, reasonable...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: BYD Electronics Added; Country Garden Services Deleted

BYD Electronics is an add and CG Services is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$8.46bn...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH June 2024 Rebal Final Re-Capping (Or Re-Re-Capping) Flows

The Hang Seng Index team provides initial expected changes 2wks before the rebalance, then we review/recap/re-recap 3 days before. That's done....

Travis Lundy

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

Country Garden Services (6098 HK) will be deleted from the Hang Seng Index and BYD Electronics (285 HK) will be added to the index in June 2024....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BYD Electronic (285 HK): Will HSI Inclusion Be a Kiss of Death?

​BYD Electronic's HSI inclusion is not expected to put pressure on its share price similar to its precedents due to underperformance, reasonable...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: BYD Electronics Added; Country Garden Services Deleted

BYD Electronics is an add and CG Services is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$8.46bn...

Brian Freitas

BYD Electronic's HSI inclusion is not expected to put pressure on its share price similar to its precedents due to underperformance, reasonable...