Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Coupang's recent performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 illustrates both advancements and challenges within the company.</li>
<li>On the positive side, Coupang's efforts in expanding its logistical and technological capabilities have yielded significant results.</li>
<li>Over the past 12 months, the company reported nearly a $6 billion increase in net revenues, reflecting a 23% growth in constant currency, after excluding the acquisition of Farfetch and the gains from a fulfillment center fire insurance.</li>
</ul>


Coupang's recent performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 illustrates both advancements and challenges within the company.
On the positive side, Coupang's efforts in expanding its logistical and technological capabilities have yielded significant results.
Over the past 12 months, the company reported nearly a $6 billion increase in net revenues, reflecting a 23% growth in constant currency, after excluding the acquisition of Farfetch and the gains from a fulfillment center fire insurance.


Coupang Inc.: Geographic Expansion & Market Penetration Driving Our Optimism!

<ul>
<li>Chevron Corporation's third-quarter 2024 financial results demonstrated a mixture of positive operational achievements and financial headwinds.</li>
<li>The company reported earnings of $4.5 billion or $2.48 per share, with adjusted earnings similarly at $4.5 billion or $2.51 per share.</li>
<li>Despite these substantial earnings, this marked a decrease from the prior year largely due to lower liquids realizations and increased depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&amp;A), particularly at the Tengizchevroil (TCO) project in Kazakhstan.</li>
</ul>


Chevron Corporation's third-quarter 2024 financial results demonstrated a mixture of positive operational achievements and financial headwinds.
The company reported earnings of $4.5 billion or $2.48 per share, with adjusted earnings similarly at $4.5 billion or $2.51 per share.
Despite these substantial earnings, this marked a decrease from the prior year largely due to lower liquids realizations and increased depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&amp;A), particularly at the Tengizchevroil (TCO) project in Kazakhstan.


Coupang Inc.: Its Efforts Towards International Expansion & Market Penetration & Other Major Drivers

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.</li>
<li>The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.</li>
<li>Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.</li>
</ul>


There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.
The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.
Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.


China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We expect Shopee's competitive landscape deteriorated in 2Q23, due to increased pressure from TikTok/Lazada in ASEAN, Coupang in Taiwan, and Shein in Brazil. Temu is a large swing factor.</li>
<li>Shopee has been pushing live streaming and its full-management (or consignment) mode. In our view, these will drag down its profit margins and may not be effective in gaining share.</li>
<li>We estimate 2Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income are 2.5% and (24%) vs cons. We have revised down Shopee's growth expectations for the next 3 years.</li>
</ul>


We expect Shopee's competitive landscape deteriorated in 2Q23, due to increased pressure from TikTok/Lazada in ASEAN, Coupang in Taiwan, and Shein in Brazil. Temu is a large swing factor.
Shopee has been pushing live streaming and its full-management (or consignment) mode. In our view, these will drag down its profit margins and may not be effective in gaining share.
We estimate 2Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income are 2.5% and (24%) vs cons. We have revised down Shopee's growth expectations for the next 3 years.


[Sea (SE US, SELL, TP US$51) TP Change]: Competitive Landscape Intensifying… Cut TP to $51

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in December 2025. There are also multiple live M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.</li>
</ul>


The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in December 2025. There are also multiple live M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.


[Quiddity Index] SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Two ADDs Two DELs and 3 Intra-Review Changes Likely Soon

South Korea

Coupang, Inc. operates as an e-commerce company. The Company offers dynamic end-to-end e-commerce and logistic solutions. Coupang serves customers worldwide.

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Coupang (CPNG US)

Coupang Inc.: Geographic Expansion & Market Penetration Driving Our Optimism!

Coupang's recent performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 illustrates both advancements and challenges within the company.

Baptista Research

Coupang Inc.: Its Efforts Towards International Expansion & Market Penetration & Other Major Drivers

Chevron Corporation's third-quarter 2024 financial results demonstrated a mixture of positive operational achievements and financial headwinds.

Baptista Research

South Korean REITs May Have Bottomed

There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to...

Douglas Kim

[Sea (SE US, SELL, TP US$51) TP Change]: Competitive Landscape Intensifying… Cut TP to $51

We expect Shopee's competitive landscape further deteriorated in 2Q23, due to increased pressure from TikTok and Lazada in ASEAN, Coupang in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Quiddity Index] SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Two ADDs Two DELs and 3 Intra-Review Changes Likely Soon

SP500 could see two changes in Dec25. One has a lot to buy if chosen. There are also a few intra-review actions/changes scheduled for the near...

Travis Lundy

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