Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li> FY25 oil production is expected to be 1,000-1,200 bbl/d with 8-12 work-overs costing US$0.04-0.07 mm per well (total of US$0.32-US$0.84 mm).</li>
<li>This in line with our expectations (1,150 bbl/d production and ~US$1 mm capex).</li>
<li>The capex requirement to reach first gas in 1Q26 at SE MGH based on modular LNG is now estimated at US$3-5 mm (we assumed US$5 mm).</li>
</ul>


 FY25 oil production is expected to be 1,000-1,200 bbl/d with 8-12 work-overs costing US$0.04-0.07 mm per well (total of US$0.32-US$0.84 mm).
This in line with our expectations (1,150 bbl/d production and ~US$1 mm capex).
The capex requirement to reach first gas in 1Q26 at SE MGH based on modular LNG is now estimated at US$3-5 mm (we assumed US$5 mm).


Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Gas development capex only US$3-5 mm. FY25 debt repayment reduced by US$2 mm.

<ul>
<li>4Q24 production was 957 bbld (880 bbl/d in 3Q24).</li>
<li>January's production so far is 1,020 bbl/d.</li>
<li>This excludes the impact of the last four workovers of the 2024 programme.</li>
</ul>


4Q24 production was 957 bbld (880 bbl/d in 3Q24).
January's production so far is 1,020 bbl/d.
This excludes the impact of the last four workovers of the 2024 programme.


Criterium Energy Ltd: Onshore Gas Development Takes Centre Stage with Potentially Much Lower Capex

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90% complete.</li>
<li>– 3Q25 production averaged 9,978 mboe/d, broadly in line with expectations. In Uzbekistan, drilling of a 1,000‑meter lateral section at the first horizontal well is underway, with numerous mud gas shows recorded.</li>
<li>The lateral may be extended, and the well is expected to be brought onstream in December, potentially adding more than 10 mmcf/d of production. </li>
</ul>


Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90% complete.
– 3Q25 production averaged 9,978 mboe/d, broadly in line with expectations. In Uzbekistan, drilling of a 1,000‑meter lateral section at the first horizontal well is underway, with numerous mud gas shows recorded.
The lateral may be extended, and the well is expected to be brought onstream in December, potentially adding more than 10 mmcf/d of production. 


<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells.</li>
<li>Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4.</li>
<li>While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells.
Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4.
While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal.


<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Operating update – Net production in Austria was 303 boe/d.</li><li>The company held A$4.8 mm in cash at the end of June.</li><li> Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: Successful flow test at North-MGH boosts expected 2H26 gas production to 7-10 mmcf/d – The MGH-20 well in the North Mengoepeh (MGH) field tested 2.8 mmcf/d with associated oil.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Operating update – Net production in Austria was 303 boe/d.The company held A$4.8 mm in cash at the end of June. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: Successful flow test at North-MGH boosts expected 2H26 gas production to 7-10 mmcf/d – The MGH-20 well in the North Mengoepeh (MGH) field tested 2.8 mmcf/d with associated oil.

Canada

Criterium Energy Ltd. is a mineral exploration and mining company. The Company mines for oil and gas in southern Turkey. Criterium Energy also mines for diamonds, gold, and base metals in Greenland.

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Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Gas development capex only US$3-5 mm. FY25 debt repayment reduced by US$2 mm.

FY25 oil production is expected to be 1,000-1,200 bbl/d with 8-12 work-overs costing US$0.04-0.07 mm per well (total of US$0.32-US$0.84 mm).

Auctus Advisors

Criterium Energy Ltd: Onshore Gas Development Takes Centre Stage with Potentially Much Lower Capex

4Q24 production was 957 bbld (880 bbl/d in 3Q24). January's production so far is 1,020 bbl/d. This excludes the impact of the last four workovers...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/11/2025

Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90%...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025

Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Operating update – Net...

Auctus Advisors

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