Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing Legislative elections. </li>
<li>The objective is to know the on-ground narrative about business and elections and is not aimed at forecasting the outcome of the event. </li>
<li>Business sentiment is not very encouraging, however, most of them seem to be hinting at the ruling party BJP remaining in power. </li>
</ul>


The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing Legislative elections. 
The objective is to know the on-ground narrative about business and elections and is not aimed at forecasting the outcome of the event. 
Business sentiment is not very encouraging, however, most of them seem to be hinting at the ruling party BJP remaining in power. 


India Channel Insight # 27 | Postcard from Uttar Pradesh (UP) | BJP Likely to Remain in Power

<h3>About The Narrative</h3>
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symphony-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17047:1" rel="noopener">Symphony Ltd (SYML IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crompton-greaves-consumer-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24046:1" rel="noopener">Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ttk-prestige-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9779:1" rel="noopener">TTK Prestige (TTKPT IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-electricals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9615:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN)</a> 
We have separated the quotes to highlight Demand Environment &amp; Business Performance,  Pricing, Volume and Margins, Market Shares, E-Commerce Business, Inventory and Outlook.

About The Narrative
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Havells India (HAVL IN) / Symphony Ltd (SYML IN) / Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN) / TTK Prestige (TTKPT IN) / Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN) 
We have separated the quotes to highlight Demand Environment &amp; Business Performance,  Pricing, Volume and Margins, Market Shares, E-Commerce Business, Inventory and Outlook. 

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Household Durables - Havells, Symphony, Crompton Cons, TTK, Bajaj

Inspired by <a href="https://thetranscript.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">"The Transcript"</a>, We build our very own version of the same called "The Narrative".
The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks, aiding us in identifying key catalysts that could be potential drivers of stock returns. 
For the narrative, we will be covering commentary on Demand environment and overall Industry, Consumer behaviour and premiumisation, Commodity costs, Pricing action, new product launches, Capex, PLI, Inventory, Competition and market share, Exports, E-commerce, Competitiveness with China and Future outlook.   
Companies covered include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amber-enterprises-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32202:1" rel="noopener">Amber Enterprises India (AMBER IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-electricals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9615:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crompton-greaves-consumer-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24046:1" rel="noopener">Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symphony-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17047:1" rel="noopener">Symphony Ltd (SYML IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ttk-prestige-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9779:1" rel="noopener">TTK Prestige (TTKPT IN)</a>

Inspired by "The Transcript", We build our very own version of the same called "The Narrative".
The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks, aiding us in identifying key catalysts that could be potential drivers of stock returns. 
For the narrative, we will be covering commentary on Demand environment and overall Industry, Consumer behaviour and premiumisation, Commodity costs, Pricing action, new product launches, Capex, PLI, Inventory, Competition and market share, Exports, E-commerce, Competitiveness with China and Future outlook.   
Companies covered include Amber Enterprises India (AMBER IN), Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN) , Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN) , Symphony Ltd (SYML IN) , TTK Prestige (TTKPT IN)

The Narrative | Q1 FY22 | India Household Durables - AMBER, BJE, CROMPTON, SYML, TTKPT

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Eureka Forbes, a water and cleaning solutions leader, delivered its second straight year of double-digit revenue growth and record Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.2%.</li>
<li>The growth appears structural, supported by a 14-million-customer service base, faster robotics and air purifier adoption, and a debt-free balance sheet.</li>
<li>The key benchmark is FY30: management targets 2x revenue to INR 5,400-5,600 crore and 3x adjusted EBITDA to INR 800-850 crore.</li>
</ul>


Eureka Forbes, a water and cleaning solutions leader, delivered its second straight year of double-digit revenue growth and record Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.2%.
The growth appears structural, supported by a 14-million-customer service base, faster robotics and air purifier adoption, and a debt-free balance sheet.
The key benchmark is FY30: management targets 2x revenue to INR 5,400-5,600 crore and 3x adjusted EBITDA to INR 800-850 crore.


Eureka Forbes: A Service-Led Compounder With a 2x Revenue, 3x EBITDA Roadmap

Value investor- India mid & small caps

Bhaskar Chakraborty

<ul>
<li>While many NBFCs pulled back on disbursements in 3QFY19, the sharpest declines were in SME/MSME, LAP and Loan Against Shares (LAS) segments</li>
<li>The pullback in SME/MSME financing has reduced working capital financing in some supply chains. This has impacted stocking in some discretionary items.</li>
<li>A number of players alluded to weakness in discretionary consumption post Diwali owing to the NBFC liquidity squeeze</li>
<li>With supply chains selectively impacted by liquidity tightness and weakness in demand, consumer discretionary players could not pass on input cost increases during the quarter</li>
</ul>


While many NBFCs pulled back on disbursements in 3QFY19, the sharpest declines were in SME/MSME, LAP and Loan Against Shares (LAS) segments
The pullback in SME/MSME financing has reduced working capital financing in some supply chains. This has impacted stocking in some discretionary items.
A number of players alluded to weakness in discretionary consumption post Diwali owing to the NBFC liquidity squeeze
With supply chains selectively impacted by liquidity tightness and weakness in demand, consumer discretionary players could not pass on input cost increases during the quarter


India Consumer Discretionary: Growth Slowing on NBFC Liquidity Tightness, Demand Softness

India

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited is an Indian electrical equipment company that manufactures and markets consumer electrical products. The company's product portfolio includes fans, lighting (LED and non-LED), pumps, and various household appliances like water heaters, air coolers, and kitchen appliances. Crompton is based in Mumbai, India, and was established as Crompton Parkinson Works Limited in 1937, though the current entity, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited, was established in 2016 following a demerger.

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Crompton (CROMPTON IN)

India Channel Insight # 27 | Postcard from Uttar Pradesh (UP) | BJP Likely to Remain in Power

The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Household Durables - Havells, Symphony, Crompton Cons, TTK, Bajaj

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Havells / Symphony / Crompton Consumer / TTK Prestige / Bajaj Electricals

Pranav Bhavsar

The Narrative | Q1 FY22 | India Household Durables - AMBER, BJE, CROMPTON, SYML, TTKPT

The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks.

Pranav Bhavsar

Eureka Forbes: A Service-Led Compounder With a 2x Revenue, 3x EBITDA Roadmap

Eureka Forbes achieves double-digit revenue growth, record Q4 margin, targets 2x revenue and 3x EBITDA by FY30 with strong customer base and debt...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Consumer Discretionary: Growth Slowing on NBFC Liquidity Tightness, Demand Softness

While many NBFCs pulled back on disbursements in 3QFY19, the sharpest declines were in SME/MSME, LAP and Loan Against Shares (LAS) segments The...

Bhaskar Chakraborty

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Channel Insight # 27 | Postcard from Uttar Pradesh (UP) | BJP Likely to Remain in Power

The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Household Durables - Havells, Symphony, Crompton Cons, TTK, Bajaj

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Havells / Symphony / Crompton Consumer / TTK Prestige / Bajaj Electricals

Pranav Bhavsar

The Narrative | Q1 FY22 | India Household Durables - AMBER, BJE, CROMPTON, SYML, TTKPT

The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks.

Pranav Bhavsar

Eureka Forbes: A Service-Led Compounder With a 2x Revenue, 3x EBITDA Roadmap

​Eureka Forbes achieves double-digit revenue growth, record Q4 margin, targets 2x revenue and 3x EBITDA by FY30 with strong customer base and debt...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Consumer Discretionary: Growth Slowing on NBFC Liquidity Tightness, Demand Softness

While many NBFCs pulled back on disbursements in 3QFY19, the sharpest declines were in SME/MSME, LAP and Loan Against Shares (LAS) segments The...

Bhaskar Chakraborty

Eureka Forbes achieves double-digit revenue growth, record Q4 margin, targets 2x revenue and 3x EBITDA by FY30 with strong customer base and debt...