External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The sector has seen various challenges over the last few quarters due to (1) unseasonal rains in peak summer months; (2) weak consumer sentiment, given the inflationary environment; and (3) delayed liquidation of non-rated fan inventory</li><li>However, with most of these headwinds now appearing to be behind, and with the ‘housing’ theme still in good shape, we believe categories like fan, lighting, RAC, and KEA will see benefits in H2FY24 and FY25 (back-ended cycle categories). Besides, we believe fan category volume will bounce back in H2FY24 along with the benefits of a price increase of high single-digit (rating change)</li><li>It should recover the ECD segment for Crompton, Havells, Orient, and V-Guard.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The sector has seen various challenges over the last few quarters due to (1) unseasonal rains in peak summer months; (2) weak consumer sentiment, given the inflationary environment; and (3) delayed liquidation of non-rated fan inventoryHowever, with most of these headwinds now appearing to be behind, and with the ‘housing’ theme still in good shape, we believe categories like fan, lighting, RAC, and KEA will see benefits in H2FY24 and FY25 (back-ended cycle categories). Besides, we believe fan category volume will bounce back in H2FY24 along with the benefits of a price increase of high single-digit (rating change)It should recover the ECD segment for Crompton, Havells, Orient, and V-Guard.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables - Likely Similar Print, Festive Season Delays to Impact

<ul><li>With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor any sign of further deceleration.</li><li>On the other hand, demand momentum in B2B portfolio has sustained.</li><li>However, challenges witnessed in the past 12 months is expected to near its end (inflation, fan rating change). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor any sign of further deceleration.On the other hand, demand momentum in B2B portfolio has sustained.However, challenges witnessed in the past 12 months is expected to near its end (inflation, fan rating change). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables: Unchanged demand trend, margin likely bottoming out

<ul><li>ITC: ITC’s Q1 print was operationally in line, with EBITDA/APAT growing by 11/18% vs the expectation of 11/16%</li><li>Cigarette net revenue/EBIT growth was at 11% each, with volume growth at c.8% (4% four-year CAGR)</li><li>The relative stability in taxes backed by deterrent action by agencies on illicit trade continued to support cigarette recovery</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC: ITC’s Q1 print was operationally in line, with EBITDA/APAT growing by 11/18% vs the expectation of 11/16%Cigarette net revenue/EBIT growth was at 11% each, with volume growth at c.8% (4% four-year CAGR)The relative stability in taxes backed by deterrent action by agencies on illicit trade continued to support cigarette recoveryContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, ONGC, Crompton Consumer, TTK Prestige, Galaxy Surfactants

<ul><li>Unseasonal rains disrupt sale of summer products, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 6/8%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly/Sunflame acquisition) of 6/8% in Q1FY24 (vs 63/10% in Q1FY23 and 5/11% in Q4FY23)</li><li>The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the pyramid), and pricing actions</li><li>In addition to this, unseasonal rains during peak summer months disrupted sales of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Unseasonal rains disrupt sale of summer products, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 6/8%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly/Sunflame acquisition) of 6/8% in Q1FY24 (vs 63/10% in Q1FY23 and 5/11% in Q4FY23)The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the pyramid), and pricing actionsIn addition to this, unseasonal rains during peak summer months disrupted sales of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables - Unseasonal Rains Add to a Volatile Demand Environment

<ul><li>Bharat Petroleum Corporation: Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated debt, owing to a rise in working capital requirement and capex</li><li>Q4FY23 EBITDA stood at INR 112bn, while APAT was at INR 65bn, coming in well above our estimates, supported by a better-than-expected performance from the marketing segment</li><li>Reported GRMs were at USD 20.6/bbl (+USD 5.3/bbl YoY, +USD 4.7/bbl QoQ, HSIE: USD 19.8/bbl). Gail (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 125 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 123mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Petroleum Corporation: Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated debt, owing to a rise in working capital requirement and capexQ4FY23 EBITDA stood at INR 112bn, while APAT was at INR 65bn, coming in well above our estimates, supported by a better-than-expected performance from the marketing segmentReported GRMs were at USD 20.6/bbl (+USD 5.3/bbl YoY, +USD 4.7/bbl QoQ, HSIE: USD 19.8/bbl). Gail (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 125 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 123mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Petroleum Corporation, Gail (India), Vinati Organics

India

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited manufactures consumer electrical products. The Company offers fans, lamps, luminaires, and pumps, as well as a variety of other household appliances.

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

Consumer Durables - Likely Similar Print, Festive Season Delays to Impact

The sector has seen various challenges over the last few quarters due to (1) unseasonal rains in peak summer months; (2) weak consumer sentiment,...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables: Unchanged demand trend, margin likely bottoming out

With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, ONGC, Crompton Consumer, TTK Prestige, Galaxy Surfactants

ITC’s Q1 print was operationally in line, with EBITDA/APAT growing by 11/18% vs the expectation of 11/16%C. igarette net revenue/EBIT growth was at...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables - Unseasonal Rains Add to a Volatile Demand Environment

The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Petroleum Corporation, Gail (India), Vinati Organics

Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated...

HDFC Securities