Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the September rebalance, there could be three changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27092:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6986:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji Innolight</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd-1c8ba4ff-edc5-43c3-b3fe-c3e4230f1c53" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40395:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nari-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4364:1" rel="noopener">NARI Technology</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-nuclear-power-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25348:1" rel="noopener">China National Nuclear Power</a> in the ETF at the close on 19 September.</li>
<li>Passives will need to trade 0.1-0.7x ADV in the forecast changes. The forecast adds have massively outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 4 months.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the September rebalance, there could be three changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK).

WuXi AppTec, Zhongji Innolight and BeiGene could replace China United Network, NARI Technology and China National Nuclear Power in the ETF at the close on 19 September.
Passives will need to trade 0.1-0.7x ADV in the forecast changes. The forecast adds have massively outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 4 months.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.8% as of Jul 18th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.1ppt week-on-week, led by health care, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Livzon Pharmaceutical, Cosco Shipping Development, Beigene, China Railway Construction, CIMC, Innocare Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.8% as of Jul 18th.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.1ppt week-on-week, led by health care, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Livzon Pharmaceutical, Cosco Shipping Development, Beigene, China Railway Construction, CIMC, Innocare Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 18th): Livzon Pharmaceutical, Cosco Shipping Development, Beigene

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.</li>
<li>For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.</li>
<li>I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.
For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.
I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025):  Sharp AH Premia Widening

China

CRRC Corporation Limited manufactures rolling stock products. The Company produces locomotives, passenger carriages, freight wagons, vehicles key components, and other products. CRRC also provides vehicle repairing, investment management, and other services.

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CRRC Corp Ltd A (601766 CH)

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in September

There could be 3 changes for the ETF in Sep. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a huge margin over the last 4 months....

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 18th): Livzon Pharmaceutical, Cosco Shipping Development, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Livzon Pharmaceutical, Cosco Shipping Development, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025): Sharp AH Premia Widening

Significant widening this week, even after a big rebound by Hs on Friday. Some of this may reverse next week, but I think the trade is still to see...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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