Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 30/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 6.9m barrels, surpassing analysts expectations a 600k barrel drawdown. Distillate stocks surprisingly dropped, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 13 bcf for the week ending 30/Aug, missing analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 10.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>ADNOC to acquire a 35% stake in ExxonMobil’s proposed low-carbon hydrogen facility. BPN Paribas raised the target price on Chevron, while Grupo Santander downgraded TotalEnergies.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 30/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 6.9m barrels, surpassing analysts expectations a 600k barrel drawdown. Distillate stocks surprisingly dropped, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.
US natural gas inventories rise 13 bcf for the week ending 30/Aug, missing analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 10.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
ADNOC to acquire a 35% stake in ExxonMobil’s proposed low-carbon hydrogen facility. BPN Paribas raised the target price on Chevron, while Grupo Santander downgraded TotalEnergies.


[ETP 2024/36] Oil Slumps as Supply Fears Fade; Nat-Gas Soars on Rising Demand Outlook

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Correspondent Tom Wilson visited Fujairah, a booming port city in the UAE where oil trading has exploded in recent years</li><li>Western sanctions on Russian oil exports have led to a redirection of global energy flows, with the UAE emerging as a major energy trading hub</li><li>Switzerland has historically been a top location for commodity traders due to its banking secrecy and political neutrality, but the rise of UAE as an oil trading hub is shifting the balance of power in oil markets</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Correspondent Tom Wilson visited Fujairah, a booming port city in the UAE where oil trading has exploded in recent yearsWestern sanctions on Russian oil exports have led to a redirection of global energy flows, with the UAE emerging as a major energy trading hubSwitzerland has historically been a top location for commodity traders due to its banking secrecy and political neutrality, but the rise of UAE as an oil trading hub is shifting the balance of power in oil marketsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Best Of: How Dubai is reshaping the global oil trade

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Price action on SPX is extremely similar to prior major topping patterns in April 2000 and August 2007, which is why we recommended reducing risk near 5670-5783 last week.</li>
<li>Additional similarities to 2000/2007 (other than price action) include the Fed cutting rates, recession indicators such as the Sahm rule and Schannep Recession Indicator (SRI) triggered, and yield curve un-inverting.</li>
<li>SPX resistance is in the 5670-5783 range; if a major top is happening, that is where it would start from (using the 2000 and 2007 tops as comparisons).</li>
</ul>


Price action on SPX is extremely similar to prior major topping patterns in April 2000 and August 2007, which is why we recommended reducing risk near 5670-5783 last week.
Additional similarities to 2000/2007 (other than price action) include the Fed cutting rates, recession indicators such as the Sahm rule and Schannep Recession Indicator (SRI) triggered, and yield curve un-inverting.
SPX resistance is in the 5670-5783 range; if a major top is happening, that is where it would start from (using the 2000 and 2007 tops as comparisons).


Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight

<ul>
<li>Despite a strong start, WTI prices fell 1.7% for the week ending 30/Aug, as demand concerns outweighed the worries of supply disruptions in Libya. </li>
<li>WTI options Put/Call volume ratio increased to 1.72 from 1.13 the week prior as put volume increased 45.6% WoW while call volume declined 4.5%.</li>
<li>WTI OI PCR increased to 0.78 (30/Aug) from 0.75 (23/Aug) as call OI rose 4.5% WoW and put OI increased by 8%. </li>
</ul>


Despite a strong start, WTI prices fell 1.7% for the week ending 30/Aug, as demand concerns outweighed the worries of supply disruptions in Libya. 
WTI options Put/Call volume ratio increased to 1.72 from 1.13 the week prior as put volume increased 45.6% WoW while call volume declined 4.5%.
WTI OI PCR increased to 0.78 (30/Aug) from 0.75 (23/Aug) as call OI rose 4.5% WoW and put OI increased by 8%. 


[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2024/35] WTI Crude Oil on a Downward Trend as Demand Concerns Persist

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Hi all, Beginning this week, we’re merging our weekly coverage of the energy/commodity space and geopolitics.</li><li>This will allow us to be even more actionable and specific when analyzing global events, as the ramifications of war and peace are most often felt in the commodity space.</li><li>Take aways: Increasing crude production in the current environment likely means a &gt;25% drop in crude oil prices. There’s significant open interest in December crude put options. Geopolitically, major players are closely monitoring OPEC’s decisions.</li></ul>

Hi all, Beginning this week, we’re merging our weekly coverage of the energy/commodity space and geopolitics.This will allow us to be even more actionable and specific when analyzing global events, as the ramifications of war and peace are most often felt in the commodity space.Take aways: Increasing crude production in the current environment likely means a &gt;25% drop in crude oil prices. There’s significant open interest in December crude put options. Geopolitically, major players are closely monitoring OPEC’s decisions.

Energy Cable/Great Game: OPEC, things could get ugly!

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

[ETP 2024/36] Oil Slumps as Supply Fears Fade; Nat-Gas Soars on Rising Demand Outlook

WTI hit a 2024 low on Wednesday as Libyan supply crisis eased & weak manufacturing in China and US fuelled demand concerns. Nat-gas surged on...

Mint Finance

Best Of: How Dubai is reshaping the global oil trade

Correspondent Tom Wilson visited Fujairah, a booming port city in the UAE attracting record numbers of oil vessels due to its strategic location...

Behind the Money

Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight

Recessionary Signals as $SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy $XLE to Underweight; WTI Crude Oil Breakdown. Still expecting more downside. $XLB...

Vermilion Research

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2024/35] WTI Crude Oil on a Downward Trend as Demand Concerns Persist

WTI prices closed lower for the third consecutive week as demand concerns outweighed supply disruptions. For the week ending 30/Aug, the Put/Call...

Mint Finance

Energy Cable/Great Game: OPEC, things could get ugly!

Hi all,Beginning this week, we’re merging our weekly coverage of the energy/commodity space and geopolitics. This will allow us to be even more...

Steno Research

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