Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share Semiconductors &amp; Semiconductor Equipment Index.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that will have flows from passive trackers across the three indices. Multiple stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers across the China universe.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a> will have passive inflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index </a>and CSI A500 Index trackers and outflows from the STAR100 Index and CSI1000 Index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share Semiconductors &amp; Semiconductor Equipment Index.
There are multiple stocks that will have flows from passive trackers across the three indices. Multiple stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers across the China universe.

Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH) will have passive inflows from STAR50 INDEX, CSI 500 Index and CSI A500 Index trackers and outflows from the STAR100 Index and CSI1000 Index trackers.


STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ All Share Semi Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Flows for Some Stocks

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is one constituent change for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in June with AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-maxwell-technologies-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29819:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH)</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 0.15x ADV in AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) and sell 0.4x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-maxwell-technologies-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29819:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) is a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> migration in June, so there will be more buying in the stock.</li>
</ul>


There is one constituent change for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in June with AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) replacing Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH).
Passive trackers will need to buy 0.15x ADV in AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) and sell 0.4x ADV in Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH). 
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) is a CSI 500 Index to CSI 300 Index migration in June, so there will be more buying in the stock.


STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change each for the STAR Chip Index and CNI Semiconductor Chips Index, and 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in June.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, STAR 100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>, CSI 1000 Index and CSI A500 Index. </li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is CNY 2.9bn (US$400m) and will add to the impact across the other China indices that rebalance on the same day.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change each for the STAR Chip Index and CNI Semiconductor Chips Index, and 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in June.
There are a few stocks that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of the STAR50 INDEX, STAR 100 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI 1000 Index and CSI A500 Index. 
The round-trip trade across the indices is CNY 2.9bn (US$400m) and will add to the impact across the other China indices that rebalance on the same day.


STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 50 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a> and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index in June.</li>
<li>There are a lot of migrations expected between the two indices and the impacts for those stocks are lower with much of the flow cancelling out.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months with the profit-taking in March giving way to renewed outperformance in April.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 50 changes for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index in June.
There are a lot of migrations expected between the two indices and the impacts for those stocks are lower with much of the flow cancelling out.
The outright adds have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months with the profit-taking in March giving way to renewed outperformance in April.


CSI 500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Near-Term Outperformance

Kuang-Chi Technologies   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.</li>
</ul>


There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

China

CSI 500 index aims to comprehensively reflect the price fluctuation and performance of the small-cap companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen securities market. The index has a base value of 1000 as of December 31, 2004.

CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX EQUITY)

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

AVIC Chengdu Aircraft replaces Suzhou Maxwell Technologies. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft is also a CSI500 to CSI300 migration (net inflows) while Suzhou...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

There will be multiple changes across the indices with many stocks having same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. Announcement on...

Brian Freitas

CSI 500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Near-Term Outperformance

We forecast 50/100 changes for the CSI500/1000 indices in June. The net passive trade is estimated at US$4.6bn. The outright adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

8 changes forecast for CSI300 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% and round-trip trade is US$4.5bn. A long adds/short deletes trade has done...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ All Share Semi Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Flows for Some Stocks

There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share...

Brian Freitas

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

AVIC Chengdu Aircraft replaces Suzhou Maxwell Technologies. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft is also a CSI500 to CSI300 migration (net inflows) while Suzhou...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

There will be multiple changes across the indices with many stocks having same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. Announcement on...

Brian Freitas

CSI 500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Near-Term Outperformance

We forecast 50/100 changes for the CSI500/1000 indices in June. The net passive trade is estimated at US$4.6bn. The outright adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

8 changes forecast for CSI300 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% and round-trip trade is US$4.5bn. A long adds/short deletes trade has done...

Brian Freitas