Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Chinese people are actively choosing not to have further children and this will lead inexorably to a population collapse during the balance of this century – a situation not helped by the fact that the state is still damaging its own overdue initiatives with retrogressive “family planning” strategies.

Chinese people are actively choosing not to have further children and this will lead inexorably to a population collapse during the balance of this century – a situation not helped by the fact that the state is still damaging its own overdue initiatives with retrogressive “family planning” strategies. 

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The high revenue growth in 2025 was mainly driven by one-time upfront payment in licensing deals, which is unsustainable. If future external cooperation weakens, the revenue scale will shrink significantly.</li>
<li>Compared with the peak sales forecast in the 2022 prospectus of Mabwell in SSE Star Market, the actual revenue from Mabwell's sales of drugs in 2025 was significantly below expectations. </li>
<li>Therefore, we prefer a conservative IPO pricing. For example, we think valuation of Mabwell would be lower than peers such as Remegen, Junshi, Kelun Bio, CSPC.</li>
</ul>


The high revenue growth in 2025 was mainly driven by one-time upfront payment in licensing deals, which is unsustainable. If future external cooperation weakens, the revenue scale will shrink significantly.
Compared with the peak sales forecast in the 2022 prospectus of Mabwell in SSE Star Market, the actual revenue from Mabwell's sales of drugs in 2025 was significantly below expectations. 
Therefore, we prefer a conservative IPO pricing. For example, we think valuation of Mabwell would be lower than peers such as Remegen, Junshi, Kelun Bio, CSPC.


Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical Co., / Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical Co., (002020 CH)

<ul>
<li>Jingxin isn’t a purely innovative drug company. Instead, it adopts a "generic + innovative" approach.Its competitive advantage doesn’t lie in disruptive technologies, but deep market penetration in specific therapeutic areas.</li>
<li>Due to VBP, profit margin is not satisfactory, but as Dimdazenil has been included in the NRDL, this product is expected to become an important growth point in the future.</li>
<li>Peers include CSPC, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcere-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29186:1" rel="noopener">Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Hengrui (1276 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)</a>. Based on our analysis, we think valuation of Jingxin would be lower than these four companies.</li>
</ul>


Jingxin isn’t a purely innovative drug company. Instead, it adopts a "generic + innovative" approach.Its competitive advantage doesn’t lie in disruptive technologies, but deep market penetration in specific therapeutic areas.
Due to VBP, profit margin is not satisfactory, but as Dimdazenil has been included in the NRDL, this product is expected to become an important growth point in the future.
Peers include CSPC, Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK), Hengrui (1276 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK). Based on our analysis, we think valuation of Jingxin would be lower than these four companies.


Pre-IPO Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical (A/H Listing) - Growth Path Returns as VBP Will Subside

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Bloomberg has published a story (that others have cited) that WuXi Pharmatech has picked bankers for an HK listing of its biologics manufacturing subsidiary later this year. The offering reportedly would value the business at US$1.5 billion, which approximates its implied value when the company listed a minority stake on the NEEQ last year <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-pharmatech-how-to-argue-for-a-few-dollars-more" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:1061">WuXi PharmaTech: How to Argue for a Few Dollars More</a> .We have two conclusions for people interested in this name:<ol><li>Keep a copy of the above-referenced Insight…</li></ol>

Bloomberg has published a story (that others have cited) that WuXi Pharmatech has picked bankers for an HK listing of its biologics manufacturing subsidiary later this year. The offering reportedly would value the business at US$1.5 billion, which approximates its implied value when the company listed a minority stake on the NEEQ last year WuXi PharmaTech: How to Argue for a Few Dollars More .We have two conclusions for people interested in this name:Keep a copy of the above-referenced Insight…

Coming to the HKEX Soon....................

The decline in equity markets has created opportunities to buy a variety of healthcare stocks at attractive valuations. Insider purchases have increased significantly recently. In addition, some margin calls involving controlling shareholders highlight the degree of dislocation and opportunity in the market. Names we find particularly intriguing are China TCM (570 HK), UMP Healthcare (722 HK), and Modern Dental Group (3600 HK).

The decline in equity markets has created opportunities to buy a variety of healthcare stocks at attractive valuations. Insider purchases have increased significantly recently. In addition, some margin calls involving controlling shareholders highlight the degree of dislocation and opportunity in the market. Names we find particularly intriguing are China TCM (570 HK), UMP Healthcare (722 HK), and Modern Dental Group (3600 HK). 

China

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited is a prominent Chinese pharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products, including innovative drugs and bulk drugs. Its key products include innovative drugs for nervous system diseases, oncology, anti-infectives, and cardiovascular diseases, as well as bulk products like vitamin C, antibiotics, and caffeine. The company was formally established in 1997 and is headquartered in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China.

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CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK)

Chinese Choose Not to Have More Children

Chinese people are actively choosing not to have further children and this will lead inexorably to a population collapse during the balance of this...

Bixmoor

Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Mabwell's commercialization progress is significantly below expectations. If future external cooperation weakens, revenue scale will shrink...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical (A/H Listing) - Growth Path Returns as VBP Will Subside

Jingxin's "generic + innovative" approach focus on market penetration rather than disruptive technology. Dimdazenil's inclusion in NRDL will drive...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Coming to the HKEX Soon....................

Bloomberg has published a story (that others have cited) that WuXi Pharmatech has picked bankers for an HK listing of its biologics manufacturing...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Time to Go Shopping for Healthcare

The decline in equity markets has created opportunities to buy a variety of healthcare stocks at attractive valuations. Insider purchases have...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chinese Choose Not to Have More Children

Chinese people are actively choosing not to have further children and this will lead inexorably to a population collapse during the balance of this...

Bixmoor

Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Mabwell's commercialization progress is significantly below expectations. If future external cooperation weakens, revenue scale will shrink...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical (A/H Listing) - Growth Path Returns as VBP Will Subside

​Jingxin's "generic + innovative" approach focus on market penetration rather than disruptive technology. Dimdazenil's inclusion in NRDL will drive...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Coming to the HKEX Soon....................

Bloomberg has published a story (that others have cited) that WuXi Pharmatech has picked bankers for an HK listing of its biologics manufacturing...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Time to Go Shopping for Healthcare

The decline in equity markets has created opportunities to buy a variety of healthcare stocks at attractive valuations. Insider purchases have...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Jingxin's "generic + innovative" approach focus on market penetration rather than disruptive technology. Dimdazenil's inclusion in NRDL will drive...