Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023. New products including Mingfule, Yilouda, and Anfulike achieved rapid sales ramp-up due to inclusion in the NRDL.</li>
<li>The company expects to launch 50 innovative drugs in the next five years, which will provide continuous momentum. The company further aims for 17 common generic launches during 2024–2025.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical shares are trading at a P/E of 11.3x, lowest level seen in last five years, and cheaper than peers. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4%+.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023. New products including Mingfule, Yilouda, and Anfulike achieved rapid sales ramp-up due to inclusion in the NRDL.
The company expects to launch 50 innovative drugs in the next five years, which will provide continuous momentum. The company further aims for 17 common generic launches during 2024–2025.
CSPC Pharmaceutical shares are trading at a P/E of 11.3x, lowest level seen in last five years, and cheaper than peers. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4%+.


CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>FY23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported FY23 revenue of RMB31.45bn (+1.7% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB5.87bn (-3.6% YoY), in line with our previous estimates.</li><li>The adjusted attributable net profit (excl. impact from financial assets, share-based compensation and disposal of JV &amp; associates) in FY23 increased 2.8% YoY to RMB6.28bn.</li><li>The turnover days of receivables increased to 63 days in FY23 from 44 days in FY22 due to slower customer settlement, but were still within a normal range.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported FY23 revenue of RMB31.45bn (+1.7% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB5.87bn (-3.6% YoY), in line with our previous estimates.The adjusted attributable net profit (excl. impact from financial assets, share-based compensation and disposal of JV &amp; associates) in FY23 increased 2.8% YoY to RMB6.28bn.The turnover days of receivables increased to 63 days in FY23 from 44 days in FY22 due to slower customer settlement, but were still within a normal range.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) - New Products to Contribute Meaningful Revenue in 2024

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

<ul><li>9M23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported 9M23 revenue of RMB23.87bn (+1.6% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB4.49bn (+0.6% YoY), representing 75% and 74% of our previous FY estimates, respectively.</li><li>The adjusted attributable net profit (excl. impact from fair value change of financial assets and share-based compensation) in 9M23 increased 2.0% YoY to RMB4.72bn.</li><li>Due to the price erosion of Keaili and vitamin C, the GP margin in 9M23 decreased to 70.4% (vs 72.7% in 9M22), while in 3Q23, the GP margin was consistent as 2Q23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

9M23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported 9M23 revenue of RMB23.87bn (+1.6% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB4.49bn (+0.6% YoY), representing 75% and 74% of our previous FY estimates, respectively.The adjusted attributable net profit (excl. impact from fair value change of financial assets and share-based compensation) in 9M23 increased 2.0% YoY to RMB4.72bn.Due to the price erosion of Keaili and vitamin C, the GP margin in 9M23 decreased to 70.4% (vs 72.7% in 9M22), while in 3Q23, the GP margin was consistent as 2Q23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – New Products to Drive Sales Recovery

<ul><li>Sales of legacy products to remain stable. CSPC has nurtured marketleading products in nervous system, oncology, anti-infective and cardiovascular disease, etc. NBP, Duomeisu, Jinyouli, Keaili, and Xuanning contribute to most of the Company’s product sales.</li><li>NBP recorded sales growth of 10.8% YoY in 1Q23, while pressures remain on the future sales of NBP upon the launch of generics and NBP’s inclusion in centralized procurement, which we think will take time.</li><li>We expect the sales of NBP to remain stable over the next two years. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sales of legacy products to remain stable. CSPC has nurtured marketleading products in nervous system, oncology, anti-infective and cardiovascular disease, etc. NBP, Duomeisu, Jinyouli, Keaili, and Xuanning contribute to most of the Company’s product sales.NBP recorded sales growth of 10.8% YoY in 1Q23, while pressures remain on the future sales of NBP upon the launch of generics and NBP’s inclusion in centralized procurement, which we think will take time.We expect the sales of NBP to remain stable over the next two years. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – Innovative Platforms to Drive Future Growth

China

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products.  The Company's products include vitamin C, antibiotics and common generic drugs. The Company is also engages in the development of innovative drugs and antibiotics.

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) - New Products to Contribute Meaningful Revenue in 2024

FY23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported FY23 revenue of RMB31.45bn (+1.7% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB5.87bn (-3.6% YoY),...

CMB International

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – New Products to Drive Sales Recovery

CSPC reported 9M23 revenue of RMB23.87bn (+1.6% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB4.49bn (+0.6% YoY), representing 75% and 74% of our previous...

CMB International

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – Innovative Platforms to Drive Future Growth

NBP recorded sales growth of 10.8% YoY in 1Q23, while pressures remain on the future sales of NBP upon the launch of generics and NBP’s inclusion...

CMB International

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

​CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) - New Products to Contribute Meaningful Revenue in 2024

FY23 results in line with expectation. CSPC reported FY23 revenue of RMB31.45bn (+1.7% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB5.87bn (-3.6% YoY),...

CMB International

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – New Products to Drive Sales Recovery

CSPC reported 9M23 revenue of RMB23.87bn (+1.6% YoY) and attributable net profit of RMB4.49bn (+0.6% YoY), representing 75% and 74% of our previous...

CMB International

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) – Innovative Platforms to Drive Future Growth

NBP recorded sales growth of 10.8% YoY in 1Q23, while pressures remain on the future sales of NBP upon the launch of generics and NBP’s inclusion...

CMB International

CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...