Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> is over-exposed to rural India where the recovery is uncertain and slow. </li>
<li>Channel feedback with regards to relationships with distributors and the company's strategic direction has been poor. </li>
<li>A weak operating environment coupled with a weak on-ground execution suggests underperformance may continue. </li>
</ul>



Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) is over-exposed to rural India where the recovery is uncertain and slow. 
Channel feedback with regards to relationships with distributors and the company's strategic direction has been poor. 
A weak operating environment coupled with a weak on-ground execution suggests underperformance may continue. 


Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) | Some Things Never Change

<ul>
<li>Our checks primary done over North of India suggest a stable to improving rural environment </li>
<li>There is a sense of aggression in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> is well placed to grow volumes &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is expected to be a steady performer. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)'</a> s image at the distributor level is quite shocking and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16903:1" rel="noopener">Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)</a>'s products are more prone to volatility. </li>
</ul>


Our checks primary done over North of India suggest a stable to improving rural environment 
There is a sense of aggression in ITC Ltd (ITC IN), Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) is well placed to grow volumes &amp; Nestle India (NEST IN) is expected to be a steady performer. 

Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)' s image at the distributor level is quite shocking and Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)'s products are more prone to volatility. 


India Channel Insight #35 | ITC, Britannia, Nestle India, Dabur, Marico

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

AWL Agri Business / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN)</a> raised around US$500m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Anchor quality wasn't the greatest, in our view, and were the firm to trade towards its peers' trailing average, it would imply a 21.8% downside potential. </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) raised around US$500m in its India IPO.
Anchor quality wasn't the greatest, in our view, and were the firm to trade towards its peers' trailing average, it would imply a 21.8% downside potential. 
In this note we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.


Adani Wilmar IPO Trading - Listing Sentiment Isn’t the Greatest

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$482m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>In our view, we doubt that the firm would be able to trade close to its blue chip FMCG peers, given its small FMCG component combined with overall weaker margins.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at updates since our last note, undertake a peer comparison, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$482m in its upcoming India IPO.
In our view, we doubt that the firm would be able to trade close to its blue chip FMCG peers, given its small FMCG component combined with overall weaker margins.
In this note, we will look at updates since our last note, undertake a peer comparison, and share our thoughts on valuation.


Adani Wilmar IPO - Has the Capabilities to Thrive but Needs to Prove Itself to Trade Higher

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN)</a> is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/adani-wilmar-ipo-initiation-cooking-up-a-business" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:64105" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business</a>, we noted that the business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth and creditable margin performance.  </li>
<li>In this note, we present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January.</li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.
In Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business, we noted that the business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth and creditable margin performance.  
In this note, we present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January.


India

Dabur India Limited is a leading Indian multinational consumer goods company specializing in Ayurvedic and natural healthcare products. The company operates in key consumer product categories, including healthcare, hair care, oral care, skin care, home care, and food and beverages, offering over 250 herbal and Ayurvedic products. Dabur was founded in 1884 by S. K. Burman in Kolkata, India, and is currently headquartered in Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh, India.

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Dabur (DABUR IN)

Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) | Some Things Never Change

With the COVID tailwind no longer available, a tough operating environment, and strengthening competition, Dabur's lack of strategic focus is...

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight #35 | ITC, Britannia, Nestle India, Dabur, Marico

This channel insight shares key takeaways from speaking to channels across north India that are associated with ITC, Britannia, Nestle India,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Adani Wilmar IPO Trading - Listing Sentiment Isn’t the Greatest

Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) raised around US$500m in its India IPO. In this note we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

Adani Wilmar IPO - Has the Capabilities to Thrive but Needs to Prove Itself to Trade Higher

Adani Wilmar is looking to raise up to US$482m in its India IPO. In this note, we will look at updates since our last note, undertake a peer...

Clarence Chu

Adani Wilmar IPO: Valuation Insights

Adani Wilmar is set to launch an IPO to raise $483m at a price of Rs218-230. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

Arun George

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