IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reported that an entity owned by the CEO is considering an MBO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisamitsu-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17008:1" rel="noopener">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP)</a> at a valuation of around JPY450 billion.</li>
<li>Assuming that the rumoured valuation refers to market cap based on outstanding shares, it suggests an offer around JPY6,000, a 15.4% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer of JPY6,000 is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.  </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported that an entity owned by the CEO is considering an MBO of Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) at a valuation of around JPY450 billion.
Assuming that the rumoured valuation refers to market cap based on outstanding shares, it suggests an offer around JPY6,000, a 15.4% premium to the last close.
Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer of JPY6,000 is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.  


Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor, Itochu, Honda Motor, SoftBank.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor, Itochu, Honda Motor, SoftBank.


TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Dec): Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> is acquiring rare neurodegenerative disease drug Radicava for $2.5B. The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive in FY27, adding ~$700M in annual global sales.</li>
<li>This acquisition will solidify Shionogi’s strategic focus in rare disease and immediately establish a strong rare disease commercial platform in the U.S. market.</li>
<li>Shionogi has received approval in Japan for inlicensed drug Zurzuvae for the indication of depression and depressive state.</li>
</ul>



Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) is acquiring rare neurodegenerative disease drug Radicava for $2.5B. The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive in FY27, adding ~$700M in annual global sales.
This acquisition will solidify Shionogi’s strategic focus in rare disease and immediately establish a strong rare disease commercial platform in the U.S. market.
Shionogi has received approval in Japan for inlicensed drug Zurzuvae for the indication of depression and depressive state.


Shionogi (4507 JP): $2.5B ALS Drug Buyout and New Approval To Accelerate Portfolio Diversification

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-pharma-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1935:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP)</a> will present updated clinical trial data of Enzomenib (for AML) and Nuvisertib (for Meylofibrosis). Both drug candidates hold strong future potential.</li>
<li>The company revised FY26 revenue guidance upward to ¥429B backed by continued strong sales in North America (+56% to ¥163B). Orgovyx witnessed solid patient growth while Gemtesa improved market share.</li>
<li>After largely remaining beaten down in the past few years Sumitomo stock has only begun to gain momentum in recent past. We feel it has still got an upside potential.</li>
</ul>



Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) will present updated clinical trial data of Enzomenib (for AML) and Nuvisertib (for Meylofibrosis). Both drug candidates hold strong future potential.
The company revised FY26 revenue guidance upward to ¥429B backed by continued strong sales in North America (+56% to ¥163B). Orgovyx witnessed solid patient growth while Gemtesa improved market share.
After largely remaining beaten down in the past few years Sumitomo stock has only begun to gain momentum in recent past. We feel it has still got an upside potential.


2026 High Conviction: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) – Enzomenib Progress and Reboot Strategy Hold Key

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

Japan

Daiichi Sankyo Co, Ltd is a holding company established through merger of Sankyo and Daiichi pharmaceutical. The Group manufactures pharmaceuticals for human/veterinary use and medical tools and equipment. It also researches and promotes products through related companies throughout the world. The Group also produces food, food additives, livestock feeds, and agrochemicals.

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Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)

Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer at the rumoured JPY450bn valuation is attractive compared to precedent...

Arun George

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Dec): Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial

We analyzed TOPIX CORE 30's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial, Sumitomo Mitsui...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shionogi (4507 JP): $2.5B ALS Drug Buyout and New Approval To Accelerate Portfolio Diversification

Shionogi acquires rare neurodegenerative drug Radicava for $2.5B, which is expected to boost annual global sales by $700M. The company got...

Tina Banerjee

2026 High Conviction: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) – Enzomenib Progress and Reboot Strategy Hold Key

Sumitomo Pharma is well on track focused on expanding revenue, reducing costs, and securing future business drivers. We feel even after the run up...

Tina Banerjee

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer at the rumoured JPY450bn valuation is attractive compared to precedent...

Arun George

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Dec): Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial

We analyzed TOPIX CORE 30's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Financial, Sumitomo Mitsui...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shionogi (4507 JP): $2.5B ALS Drug Buyout and New Approval To Accelerate Portfolio Diversification

​Shionogi acquires rare neurodegenerative drug Radicava for $2.5B, which is expected to boost annual global sales by $700M. The company got...

Tina Banerjee

2026 High Conviction: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) – Enzomenib Progress and Reboot Strategy Hold Key

​Sumitomo Pharma is well on track focused on expanding revenue, reducing costs, and securing future business drivers. We feel even after the run up...

Tina Banerjee

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shionogi acquires rare neurodegenerative drug Radicava for $2.5B, which is expected to boost annual global sales by $700M. The company got...

Sumitomo Pharma is well on track focused on expanding revenue, reducing costs, and securing future business drivers. We feel even after the run up...