Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semi cap names higher with Trump not mentioning export restrictions on his speech to Congress.</li>
<li>Disco -7% yesterday despite no news could see dip buying as oversold SPE gets bought.</li>
<li>Names such as Daikin and Shimano may also catch a bid on the German spending news.</li>
</ul>


Semi cap names higher with Trump not mentioning export restrictions on his speech to Congress.
Disco -7% yesterday despite no news could see dip buying as oversold SPE gets bought.
Names such as Daikin and Shimano may also catch a bid on the German spending news.


Japan Morning Connection: Names with EU Exposure in Focus After Germany Pulls the Stops on Spending

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-general-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2025:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu General (6755 JP)</a> announced a preconditional tender offer from Paloma Rheem Holdings Co at JPY2,808 per share, a 23.5% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The offer, which is preconditional on regulatory approvals and will open in early July, is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and peer multiples.</li>
<li>The process is lacking as Fujitsu declined to conduct an auction. The offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, and the Board requested price.</li>
</ul>



Fujitsu General (6755 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from Paloma Rheem Holdings Co at JPY2,808 per share, a 23.5% premium to the last close.
The offer, which is preconditional on regulatory approvals and will open in early July, is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and peer multiples.
The process is lacking as Fujitsu declined to conduct an auction. The offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, and the Board requested price.


Fujitsu General (6755 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP) Supports a Light Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>A disastrous election outcome for the LDP may be the end for PM Ishiba</li>
<li>Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain, but markets overall to be weak as foreigners de-risk on the political instability</li>
<li>Unwitting TSMC exports to Huawei may put the spotlight back on US export restrictions for allies</li>
</ul>


A disastrous election outcome for the LDP may be the end for PM Ishiba
Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain, but markets overall to be weak as foreigners de-risk on the political instability
Unwitting TSMC exports to Huawei may put the spotlight back on US export restrictions for allies


Japan Morning Connection: Political Bungling Par Excellence

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq led a mixed session on Thursday, rising 0.8%, boosted by Tesla's (TSLA) strong earnings and optimistic sales forecast.</li>
<li>Seven &amp; i Holdings aims to double sales to 30 trillion yen by 2031 and expand to 100,000 stores across 30 countries, up from current 84,652 stores.</li>
<li>Carrier Global’s Q3 results missed expectations, with sales falling short by about 10% and earnings missing by 5%, sending the stock down 9%. Not all bad for Daikin. </li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq led a mixed session on Thursday, rising 0.8%, boosted by Tesla's (TSLA) strong earnings and optimistic sales forecast.
Seven &amp; i Holdings aims to double sales to 30 trillion yen by 2031 and expand to 100,000 stores across 30 countries, up from current 84,652 stores.
Carrier Global’s Q3 results missed expectations, with sales falling short by about 10% and earnings missing by 5%, sending the stock down 9%. Not all bad for Daikin. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.</li>
<li>Following the rally in the stock, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.</li>
<li>The increase in cumulative excess volume in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.</li>
</ul>



Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.
Following the rally in the stock, Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.
The increase in cumulative excess volume in Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.


Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

Japan

DAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. manufactures air conditioning equipment for household and commercial use.  The Company also produces fluorine chemical products such as fluorinated hydrocarbon gas and shells and warheads for defense industry.

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Daikin Industries (6367 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Names with EU Exposure in Focus After Germany Pulls the Stops on Spending

Semi cap stocks rise as Trump's speech to Congress omits export restrictions, while oversold SPE sees potential dip buying and German spending...

Andrew Jackson

Fujitsu General (6755 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP) Supports a Light Tender Offer

Due to the lack of an auction, the offer being below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, and the Board's requested price, a competing bid...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Political Bungling Par Excellence

Potential end for PM Ishiba. Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain but overall market to be weak due to political instability. Unwitting TSMC...

Andrew Jackson

Ohayo Japan | Tesla Soars 22%

Nasdaq rises on Tesla's strong earnings, Seven & i Holdings plans ambitious growth, Carrier Global disappoints in Q3 results.

Mark Chadwick

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

The increased market cap could lead to Fujikura being added to passive portfolios at the end of Nov. Positioning in the stock is larger than in...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Names with EU Exposure in Focus After Germany Pulls the Stops on Spending

​Semi cap stocks rise as Trump's speech to Congress omits export restrictions, while oversold SPE sees potential dip buying and German spending...

Andrew Jackson

Fujitsu General (6755 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP) Supports a Light Tender Offer

Due to the lack of an auction, the offer being below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, and the Board's requested price, a competing bid...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Political Bungling Par Excellence

​Potential end for PM Ishiba. Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain but overall market to be weak due to political instability. Unwitting TSMC...

Andrew Jackson

Ohayo Japan | Tesla Soars 22%

​Nasdaq rises on Tesla's strong earnings, Seven & i Holdings plans ambitious growth, Carrier Global disappoints in Q3 results.

Mark Chadwick

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

The increased market cap could lead to Fujikura being added to passive portfolios at the end of Nov. Positioning in the stock is larger than in...

Brian Freitas

Semi cap stocks rise as Trump's speech to Congress omits export restrictions, while oversold SPE sees potential dip buying and German spending...

Potential end for PM Ishiba. Expect weak yen beneficiaries to gain but overall market to be weak due to political instability. Unwitting TSMC...

Nasdaq rises on Tesla's strong earnings, Seven & i Holdings plans ambitious growth, Carrier Global disappoints in Q3 results.