Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Broadex Technologies Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in 2 stocks that are forecast adds for both indices. There are 14 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June to August, but there has been significant underperformance since then. Outperformance could resume as positioning kicks in prior to announcement.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 10 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.
The largest flows will be in 2 stocks that are forecast adds for both indices. There are 14 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June to August, but there has been significant underperformance since then. Outperformance could resume as positioning kicks in prior to announcement.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd. / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 7 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 7 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.


CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

Jiangsu Hoperun Software / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

China

DBG Technology Co., Ltd. operates as an electronics manufacturing service (EMS) provider. The Company provides assembly, testing, product logistics, fabrication, and engineering development services. DBG Technology serves customers in China.

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Dbg Technology (300735 CH)

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/Chinext50 indices in Dec. Largest flows in the 2 stocks that are adds for both indices. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

There are some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs lists for both ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices. These are our final expectations for the December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

We expect US$989mn and US$276mn one-way flows, respectively, from the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events in December 2025. There are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

We estimate US$851mn and US$191mn one-way flows for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 December 2024 index rebal events respectively.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes

There could be 10/5 changes for the Chinext/Chinext50 indices in Dec. Largest flows in the 2 stocks that are adds for both indices. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

There are some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs lists for both ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices. These are our final expectations for the December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Multiple Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

We expect US$989mn and US$276mn one-way flows, respectively, from the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events in December 2025. There are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

We estimate US$851mn and US$191mn one-way flows for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 December 2024 index rebal events respectively.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Changes