Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CGSI maintains 'add' but lowers TP; JPMorgan downgrades SCI to 'neutral' post-Alinta deal.</li><li>RHB keeps 'buy' rating and targets 85 cents for HRnetGroup.</li><li>Analysts are optimistic as SGX begins its new growth phase.</li></ul>

CGSI maintains 'add' but lowers TP; JPMorgan downgrades SCI to 'neutral' post-Alinta deal.RHB keeps 'buy' rating and targets 85 cents for HRnetGroup.Analysts are optimistic as SGX begins its new growth phase.

Singapore Market Roundup (12-Dec-2025): CGSI keeps 'add' but cuts TP; JPMorgan downgrades SCI to

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6.</li><li>DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 700,000 shares at S$46.15 each, totaling S$39,960,047 across 23 companies.</li><li>Hong Leong Asia's Executive Chairman increased his stake to 1.29% by acquiring 767,000 shares at S$0.989 each.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6.DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 700,000 shares at S$46.15 each, totaling S$39,960,047 across 23 companies.Hong Leong Asia's Executive Chairman increased his stake to 1.29% by acquiring 767,000 shares at S$0.989 each.

HLA Chair Kwek Leng Peck Increases Stake After 35% Rise in FY24 Net Profit

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025.</li><li>DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 350,000 shares at S$46.73 each; total buybacks amounted to S$31,062,634.</li><li>Wilmar International's FY24 core net profit declined 26% to US$1.16 billion, with sales volume growth in most divisions.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025.DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 350,000 shares at S$46.73 each; total buybacks amounted to S$31,062,634.Wilmar International's FY24 core net profit declined 26% to US$1.16 billion, with sales volume growth in most divisions.

Buybacks Surge as Earnings Season Nears End

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>HKMA data shows the loss loan ratio in HK is up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25. These are the worst of the worst bad loans </li>
<li>Substandard loan ratio in HK is up 4.7x over the same period, and this bucket can gradually migrate to worse buckets, requiring more credit costs</li>
<li>Overdue loan ratio and rescheduled loan ratio in HK is up 5.4x over this period, and these are not technically NPLs</li>
</ul>


HKMA data shows the loss loan ratio in HK is up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25. These are the worst of the worst bad loans 
Substandard loan ratio in HK is up 4.7x over the same period, and this bucket can gradually migrate to worse buckets, requiring more credit costs
Overdue loan ratio and rescheduled loan ratio in HK is up 5.4x over this period, and these are not technically NPLs


HSBC - Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?

<ul>
<li>Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.</li>
<li>The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24</li>
</ul>


Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. 
We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.
The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24


DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS Group Holdings (DBSDY US)

Singapore Market Roundup (12-Dec-2025): CGSI keeps 'add' but cuts TP; JPMorgan downgrades SCI to

CGSI keeps 'add' but lowers TP; JPMorgan downgrades SCI to 'neutral' after Alinta deal. RHB maintains 'buy' for HRnetGroup, targeting 85 cents....

Singapore Market Roundup

HLA Chair Kwek Leng Peck Increases Stake After 35% Rise in FY24 Net Profit

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Buybacks Surge as Earnings Season Nears End

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

HSBC - Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?

HSBC interview with Bloomberg shows another set of cost-cutting efforts. For anybody following this bank for ~20 years, a pattern is clear. It's...

Daniel Tabbush

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

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