External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediaries</li><li>However, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resets</li><li>With the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-off</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediariesHowever, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resetsWith the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-offContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 82 is premised on (1) recovery in domestic demand for petroleum products, (2) improvement in refining margins for FY23/24, and (3) gradual improvement in marketing margins over FY23-24 vis-à-vis FY22 levels. </li><li>During the quarter, it launched 0.7msf, with 7.6msf in pipeline for FY23 (6msf launched in FY22)</li><li>In value terms, for Q2/Q3/Q4FY22, launches worth INR 20/25/20-25bn are in the pipeline</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 82 is premised on (1) recovery in domestic demand for petroleum products, (2) improvement in refining margins for FY23/24, and (3) gradual improvement in marketing margins over FY23-24 vis-à-vis FY22 levels. During the quarter, it launched 0.7msf, with 7.6msf in pipeline for FY23 (6msf launched in FY22)In value terms, for Q2/Q3/Q4FY22, launches worth INR 20/25/20-25bn are in the pipelineContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, DCB Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><ul><li>Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.</li><li><p>Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).</p></li><li><p><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).</span></p></li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,825/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Tata Power: During Q4FY22, Tata Power completed the merger of Mundra into its standalone business and also secured the extension of mining lease in KPC for 10 years.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Federal Bank: Federal Bank’s (FB) Q4FY22 earnings missed our estimates, largely on account of accelerated absorption of family pension expenses, but these were partly offset by multi-quarter low credit costs (20bps).</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,825/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses.Tata Power: During Q4FY22, Tata Power completed the merger of Mundra into its standalone business and also secured the extension of mining lease in KPC for 10 years.Federal Bank: Federal Bank’s (FB) Q4FY22 earnings missed our estimates, largely on account of accelerated absorption of family pension expenses, but these were partly offset by multi-quarter low credit costs (20bps).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, Tata Power, Federal Bank, DCB Bank

India

DCB Bank Limited is a full service commercial bank. The Bank offers consumer banking, commercial banking, and treasury operations.

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DCB Bank Ltd (DCBB IN)

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial...

HDFC Securities

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, DCB Bank

During Q1FY23, DLF booked robust presales of INR 20.4bn (+101/-25% YoY/QoQ) and maintained FY23 presales guidance of INR 80bn.

HDFC Securities

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

We expect banks to report weak earnings due to treasury losses. We expect operating earnings of coverage banks to decline by 6.5% YoY and 11.2% QoQ...

Nirmal Bang

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, Tata Power, Federal Bank, DCB Bank

RIL reported standalone revenue of INR 1,295bn (+61% YoY; +16% QoQ) and EBITDA of INR 146bn, (+43% YoY; +11% QoQ), 3% below our estimates in Q4.

HDFC Securities

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