External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

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<ul><li>India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer credit</li><li>Our discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket size</li><li>The RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth deceleration</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer creditOur discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket sizeThe RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth decelerationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

<ul><li>Marico: Marico’s consolidated revenue fell by 3% YoY, given a one-off channel inventory adjustment leading to a 5% decline in domestic revenues as four-year volume CAGR was flat (+3% YoY)</li><li>However, healthy offtake along with market share gains indicate an uptick in volume growth in the coming quarter</li><li>The overall demand recovery trend has sustained led by urban markets while rural recovery has been slower than expected</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Marico: Marico’s consolidated revenue fell by 3% YoY, given a one-off channel inventory adjustment leading to a 5% decline in domestic revenues as four-year volume CAGR was flat (+3% YoY)However, healthy offtake along with market share gains indicate an uptick in volume growth in the coming quarterThe overall demand recovery trend has sustained led by urban markets while rural recovery has been slower than expectedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Marico, Macrotech Developers, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services

<ul><li>Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%</li><li>Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)</li><li>BRIT continued to strengthen its market leadership, led by (1) distribution and marketing initiatives (2) portfolio innovation and (3) cost efficiencies</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)BRIT continued to strengthen its market leadership, led by (1) distribution and marketing initiatives (2) portfolio innovation and (3) cost efficienciesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Marico, Bharat Forge, DCB Bank

<ul><li>Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.</li><li>On a segmental basis at a systemic level, consumer durables/personal loans/credit card outstanding have shown a robust growth of 39/21/30% YoY respectively.</li><li>Banks that have so far reported their provisional numbers for the quarter have witnessed a pick-up deposit growth, led by TD growth outpacing CASA deposit growth. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.On a segmental basis at a systemic level, consumer durables/personal loans/credit card outstanding have shown a robust growth of 39/21/30% YoY respectively.Banks that have so far reported their provisional numbers for the quarter have witnessed a pick-up deposit growth, led by TD growth outpacing CASA deposit growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bfsi Q4fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

India

DCB Bank Limited is a full service commercial bank. The Bank offers consumer banking, commercial banking, and treasury operations.

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DCB Bank Ltd (DCBB IN)

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Marico, Macrotech Developers, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services

Marico: Marico’s consolidated revenue fell by 3% YoY, given a one-off channel inventory adjustment leading to a 5% decline in domestic revenues as...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Marico, Bharat Forge, DCB Bank

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%. Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations

HDFC Securities

Bfsi Q4fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

We expect the banks under our coverage to mirror the strong systemic credit growth, thereby delivering a robust ~17% YoY credit growth in Q4FY23.

Axis Direct

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