Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (DELHIVER IN)</a> faces immediate volume erosion as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (1546271D IN)</a> migrates 65% of orders to Valmo, destabilizing a key client relationship historically contributing ~16% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Valmo’s rise structurally shrinks the addressable 3PL market, creating a permanent headwind that compresses pricing power and intensifies competition for remaining open volumes.</li>
<li>Anchor client insourcing caps Delhivery’s growth trajectory, rendering the Ecom Express acquisition insufficient to offset the structural decay in organic B2C volume velocity.</li>
</ul>



Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) faces immediate volume erosion as Meesho (1546271D IN) migrates 65% of orders to Valmo, destabilizing a key client relationship historically contributing ~16% of total revenue.
Valmo’s rise structurally shrinks the addressable 3PL market, creating a permanent headwind that compresses pricing power and intensifies competition for remaining open volumes.
Anchor client insourcing caps Delhivery’s growth trajectory, rendering the Ecom Express acquisition insufficient to offset the structural decay in organic B2C volume velocity.


Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Meesho has positioned itself as a value-shopping platform catering to rural consumers and small sellers. It charges the seller only for fulfillment and advertising while bringing value deals for consumers</li>
<li>We believe Meesho has a right to win in the value-shopping category ahead of Flipkart/Amazon with its focus on pricing vs quality/convenience. However, it may not attract high-spending aspirational consumers</li>
<li>IPO valuation at $5.6bn(5x FY25 sales) is relatively cheap vs listed e-commerce peers (6-13x). Closest peer Flipkart was most recently valued at $35bn (14x FY25 revenues).</li>
</ul>


Meesho has positioned itself as a value-shopping platform catering to rural consumers and small sellers. It charges the seller only for fulfillment and advertising while bringing value deals for consumers
We believe Meesho has a right to win in the value-shopping category ahead of Flipkart/Amazon with its focus on pricing vs quality/convenience. However, it may not attract high-spending aspirational consumers
IPO valuation at $5.6bn(5x FY25 sales) is relatively cheap vs listed e-commerce peers (6-13x). Closest peer Flipkart was most recently valued at $35bn (14x FY25 revenues).


Meesho - Potential Play on Value E-Commerce

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The four new Labour Codes on Wages, Industrial Relations, Social Security, and OSHWC, replace 29 old laws, creating a unified, simplified, and future-ready framework for India's labour sector.</li>
<li>The Codes expand social security to gig/platform workers, mandate appointment letters, and introduce flexibility measures, directly addressing India's formalization and productivity deficit.</li>
<li>Structural shifts toward formal employment, financial inclusion, and manufacturing flexibility will boost corporate investment, productivity, and inclusive growth, justifying a re-rating of India's formal sector.</li>
</ul>


The four new Labour Codes on Wages, Industrial Relations, Social Security, and OSHWC, replace 29 old laws, creating a unified, simplified, and future-ready framework for India's labour sector.
The Codes expand social security to gig/platform workers, mandate appointment letters, and introduce flexibility measures, directly addressing India's formalization and productivity deficit.
Structural shifts toward formal employment, financial inclusion, and manufacturing flexibility will boost corporate investment, productivity, and inclusive growth, justifying a re-rating of India's formal sector.


India's Labor Code Reform: What Global Investors Should Know?

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asian IPOs' spike in 2025 (21% higher till October) has been driven primarily by HK/China. Indian IPOs are almost at the same level as in a very strong 2024.</li>
<li>Policy thrust for "New Productive Forces" are driving capital raising from industrials, materials, technology and utilities and shall continue to do so. Healthcare should also be a buoyant capital raiser.</li>
<li>India's policy focus on manufacturing and listing of PE-funded companies should drive IPOs from industrials, materials and consumer discretionary. Financials shall also remain a large issuer sector.</li>
</ul>


Asian IPOs' spike in 2025 (21% higher till October) has been driven primarily by HK/China. Indian IPOs are almost at the same level as in a very strong 2024.
Policy thrust for "New Productive Forces" are driving capital raising from industrials, materials, technology and utilities and shall continue to do so. Healthcare should also be a buoyant capital raiser.
India's policy focus on manufacturing and listing of PE-funded companies should drive IPOs from industrials, materials and consumer discretionary. Financials shall also remain a large issuer sector.


Asian Equities: Policy Focus Reflected in Sector-Wise IPO Revival in Leading Markets

<ul>
<li>India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption</li>
<li>The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.</li>
<li>With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.</li>
</ul>


India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption
The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.
With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.


Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India

Delhivery Limited provides logistics solutions to e-commerce companies. The Company offers last-mile delivery, payment collection and processing, third-party and transit warehousing, vendor-to-customer shipping, technology integration, and customized and revers logistics solutions. Delhivery Limited serves customers in India.

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Delhivery (DELHIVER IN)

Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

Pranav Bhavsar

Meesho - Potential Play on Value E-Commerce

Meesho targets rural consumers and small sellers with value shopping, offering deals for consumers and charging sellers for fulfillment and...

Himanshu Dugar

India's Labor Code Reform: What Global Investors Should Know?

India's new Labour Codes consolidate 29 old laws into a unified framework, expanding social security and boosting formal employment, productivity,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: Policy Focus Reflected in Sector-Wise IPO Revival in Leading Markets

HK/CN drives Asian IPO spike in 25. India stable despite 24's high base. CN's policy focus should drive IPOs in industrials, tech, utilities,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

​Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

Pranav Bhavsar

Meesho - Potential Play on Value E-Commerce

​Meesho targets rural consumers and small sellers with value shopping, offering deals for consumers and charging sellers for fulfillment and...

Himanshu Dugar

India's Labor Code Reform: What Global Investors Should Know?

​India's new Labour Codes consolidate 29 old laws into a unified framework, expanding social security and boosting formal employment, productivity,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: Policy Focus Reflected in Sector-Wise IPO Revival in Leading Markets

​HK/CN drives Asian IPO spike in 25. India stable despite 24's high base. CN's policy focus should drive IPOs in industrials, tech, utilities,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

​India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Delhivery faces volume erosion as Meesho migrates orders to Valmo, impacting revenue and creating pricing pressure in the 3PL market.

Meesho targets rural consumers and small sellers with value shopping, offering deals for consumers and charging sellers for fulfillment and...

India's new Labour Codes consolidate 29 old laws into a unified framework, expanding social security and boosting formal employment, productivity,...

HK/CN drives Asian IPO spike in 25. India stable despite 24's high base. CN's policy focus should drive IPOs in industrials, tech, utilities,...

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...