IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a> will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. </li>
<li>Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. </li>
<li>Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. </li>
</ul>



DiDi Global (DIDI US) will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. 
Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. 
Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. 


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-gojek-tokopedia-ipo-initiation-island-shopping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67047" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping</a>, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



GoTo (1379371D IJ) is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.
In GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. 


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

Research from Tech in Asia, Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia

Research from Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia (YC W15) is the largest English-language technology media company that focuses on Asia. From the latest news to the hottest trends and the boldest startups to the strongest titans, we cover everything tech in the region. Our goal is to build and serve Asia’s tech and startup community.

News from Tech in Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Germany-based Delivery Hero’s saw its third quarter revenue from Asia soar 88% from the same period last year to stand at 854 million euros (US$978 million).</li><li>Foodpanda has become a prized possession for Delivery Hero, with Asia continuing to be the German group’s largest market as the region brings in about half (48%) of its overall revenue.</li><li>Meanwhile, Foodpanda’s quarterly contribution margin – total sales revenue minus variable costs – in Asia broke even for the first time. </li></ul>

Germany-based Delivery Hero’s saw its third quarter revenue from Asia soar 88% from the same period last year to stand at 854 million euros (US$978 million).Foodpanda has become a prized possession for Delivery Hero, with Asia continuing to be the German group’s largest market as the region brings in about half (48%) of its overall revenue.Meanwhile, Foodpanda’s quarterly contribution margin – total sales revenue minus variable costs – in Asia broke even for the first time. 

Delivery Hero Earns Nearly $1b in Revenue from Asia in Q3 2021

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Doordash and Uber have one of the biggest valuation discrepancies in consumer internet.</li>
<li>Doordash's stock is up 22% since earnings over an insanely rich acquisition for a second tier European asset.</li>
<li>Doordash's limited disclosures on its TAM adjacencies, which is part of the bull case are unusual.</li>
</ul>


Doordash and Uber have one of the biggest valuation discrepancies in consumer internet.
Doordash's stock is up 22% since earnings over an insanely rich acquisition for a second tier European asset.
Doordash's limited disclosures on its TAM adjacencies, which is part of the bull case are unusual.


DoorDash: Why Is Doordash 14x Sales and Uber 4x?

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<p>Following the completion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>’ voluntary exchange offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> shares, we are left with management having achieved their goal of meaningfully reducing Naspers’ overweight position on the notable South African equity indices (a key driver of the discount to NAV), and increasing the Prosus free float materially, with a commensurate increase in index weightings. It has also left us with a cross-holding structure which has significantly increased the complexity of trading dynamics, increased currency risk exposures, and a reduced corporate governance perception of the group. </p>
<p>In a detailed insight last year (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/naspers-double-discount-warranted-the-search-for-a-catalyst-continues" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44014" rel="noopener">Naspers: “Double” Discount Warranted? The Search for a Catalyst Continues</a>), I analysed what I believed to be the 6 key drivers of Prosus’ and Naspers’ holding company discounts to find a catalyst for value unlock, and perhaps an interesting, discounted entry point to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. Following the exchange offer, which has just been concluded, I revisit these drivers and update the fundamental sum-of-the-parts valuations for both Prosus and Naspers.</p>

Following the completion of Prosus (PRX NA)’ voluntary exchange offer for Naspers (NPN SJ) shares, we are left with management having achieved their goal of meaningfully reducing Naspers’ overweight position on the notable South African equity indices (a key driver of the discount to NAV), and increasing the Prosus free float materially, with a commensurate increase in index weightings. It has also left us with a cross-holding structure which has significantly increased the complexity of trading dynamics, increased currency risk exposures, and a reduced corporate governance perception of the group. 
In a detailed insight last year (Naspers: “Double” Discount Warranted? The Search for a Catalyst Continues), I analysed what I believed to be the 6 key drivers of Prosus’ and Naspers’ holding company discounts to find a catalyst for value unlock, and perhaps an interesting, discounted entry point to Tencent (700 HK). Following the exchange offer, which has just been concluded, I revisit these drivers and update the fundamental sum-of-the-parts valuations for both Prosus and Naspers.

Prosus/Naspers: Fundamental Drivers of the Discount Revisited Post the Exchange Offer

Germany

Delivery Hero SE offers e-commerce services. The Company provides online food ordering services. Delivery Hero serves customers Germany.

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Delivery Hero SE (DHER GR)

DiDi to Vote on US Delisting on 23 May

DiDi will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS. Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares,...

Arun George

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Books will close on 21 March....

Arun George

Delivery Hero Earns Nearly $1b in Revenue from Asia in Q3 2021

Germany-based Delivery Hero’s saw its third quarter revenue from Asia soar 88% from the same period last year to stand at 854 million euros (US$978...

Tech in Asia

DoorDash: Why Is Doordash 14x Sales and Uber 4x?

While we have certainly been wrong to short DoorDash thus far, we are still sure it is mispriced. The question is… how to profit off of this?...

Aaron Gabin

Prosus/Naspers: Fundamental Drivers of the Discount Revisited Post the Exchange Offer

In this insight, and following the completion of their exchange offer, I revisit what I believe to be the 6 key fundamental drivers of the Naspers...

Wium Malan, CFA

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