Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a> spread peaked earlier this year and has been trending lower for the last few months (but it is volatile!).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> dropped 20% on Friday following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a>'s placement of 0.72% of shares outstanding. The stock last closed 12.7% below the placement price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a> still owns over 63% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> and there could be more downside for the Thailand line over the near term.</li>
</ul>


The Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) / Delta Electronics (2308 TT) spread peaked earlier this year and has been trending lower for the last few months (but it is volatile!).

Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) dropped 20% on Friday following Delta Electronics (2308 TT)'s placement of 0.72% of shares outstanding. The stock last closed 12.7% below the placement price.

Delta Electronics (2308 TT) still owns over 63% of Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) and there could be more downside for the Thailand line over the near term.


Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics</a> finally set the ball rollling for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s restrucuting, by filing for an HK listing</li>
<li>In the placement space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> was back in the market again, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dpc-dash-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36556:1" rel="noopener">DPC Dash (1405 HK)</a> came of lock-ups.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Cainiao Smart Logistics finally set the ball rollling for Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s restrucuting, by filing for an HK listing
In the placement space, Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) was back in the market again, while Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK) and DPC Dash (1405 HK) came of lock-ups.


ECM Weekly (1st Oct 2023) - Cainiao, J&T, Kokusai, Seoul Guarantee, Ecopro, Leapmotor, Bajaj Finance

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Thailand shares crashed over 20% in one day after its Taiwan parent sold a stake in the company.</li>
<li>Given the small size of the stake sale, we believe the share sale by the parent represents an opportunistic sale to crystallize value from Delta Thailand's high share price.</li>
<li>We spoke with Delta Taiwan to update our model. Delta Taiwan continues to offer much better value than Delta Thailand, earning more than double Thailand's net profit with similar growth.</li>
</ul>


Delta Thailand shares crashed over 20% in one day after its Taiwan parent sold a stake in the company.
Given the small size of the stake sale, we believe the share sale by the parent represents an opportunistic sale to crystallize value from Delta Thailand's high share price.
We spoke with Delta Taiwan to update our model. Delta Taiwan continues to offer much better value than Delta Thailand, earning more than double Thailand's net profit with similar growth.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thai Crashes After Parent Share Sale; Still Overvalued

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-TAIL (ITC TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power (SAWAD TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngern-tid-lor-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31103:1" rel="noopener">Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB)</a>. </li>
<li>With no further inclusions on the Market Surveillance Measure list, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> should be safe at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a couple of stocks that are close to passing/failing the liquidity tests and that could result in further changes to the index.</li>
</ul>


There could be two changes for the SET50 INDEX with JMT Network Services (JMT TB) and I-TAIL (ITC TB) replacing Srisawad Power (SAWAD TB) and Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB). 
With no further inclusions on the Market Surveillance Measure list, Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) should be safe at the December rebalance.
There are a couple of stocks that are close to passing/failing the liquidity tests and that could result in further changes to the index.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in December

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in December 2023.</li>
<li>At present, I see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT TB)</a> as an expected ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-plaza-hotel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18213:1" rel="noopener">Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB)</a> as an expected DEL.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> is two trading days away from skipping the MSM list in August 2023 and avoiding deletion in the December 2023 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in December 2023.
At present, I see JMT Network Services (JMT TB) as an expected ADD and Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB) as an expected DEL.
Separately, Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) is two trading days away from skipping the MSM list in August 2023 and avoiding deletion in the December 2023 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 23: JMT Network Addition and Centel Plaza Deletion Likely

Thailand

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

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Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (1st Oct 2023) - Cainiao, J&T, Kokusai, Seoul Guarantee, Ecopro, Leapmotor, Bajaj Finance

Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in December

There could be 2 changes for the SET50 in Dec. With a couple of stocks close to liquidity thresholds, there could be more changes. DELTA should be...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 23: JMT Network Addition and Centel Plaza Deletion Likely

If you believe deletions fears have been factored into DELTA's share price, getting LONG DELTA vs the SET 50 index could be an interesting trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

​Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (1st Oct 2023) - Cainiao, J&T, Kokusai, Seoul Guarantee, Ecopro, Leapmotor, Bajaj Finance

Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thai Crashes After Parent Share Sale; Still Overvalued

We spoke with Delta Taiwan to update our model. Delta Taiwan continues to offer much better value than Delta Thailand, earning more than double...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in December

There could be 2 changes for the SET50 in Dec. With a couple of stocks close to liquidity thresholds, there could be more changes. DELTA should be...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 23: JMT Network Addition and Centel Plaza Deletion Likely

If you believe deletions fears have been factored into DELTA's share price, getting LONG DELTA vs the SET 50 index could be an interesting trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...