Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Thailand has underperformed Delta Taiwan since our last Delta Monitor piece. Delta Thailand's market cap has fallen to become nearly equal to Delta Taiwan.</li>
<li>Both have the same growth profile yet Delta Thailand is more expensive and will continue to suffer from a potential share sale overhang and risk of SET 50 Index changes.</li>
<li>EVENT: Taiwan's earnings release is imminent. Results could further highlight to the market that Delta Taiwan is the better stock to own.</li>
</ul>


Delta Thailand has underperformed Delta Taiwan since our last Delta Monitor piece. Delta Thailand's market cap has fallen to become nearly equal to Delta Taiwan.
Both have the same growth profile yet Delta Thailand is more expensive and will continue to suffer from a potential share sale overhang and risk of SET 50 Index changes.
EVENT: Taiwan's earnings release is imminent. Results could further highlight to the market that Delta Taiwan is the better stock to own.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: EVENT: Imminent Earnings Release, Thailand Still Overvalued

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on Indonesia's election, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-dusit-medical-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:875:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights on Indonesia and Singapore, a sector view on the EV ecosystem in Southeast Asia, a sector view on Indonesian banks, and ASEAN's EV Ecosystem.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Indonesia's election, Grab Holdings (GRAB US), Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB), Delta Electronics Thailand, Singapore Airlines (SIA SP), and Sea Ltd (SE US).
There were also insights on Indonesia and Singapore, a sector view on the EV ecosystem in Southeast Asia, a sector view on Indonesian banks, and ASEAN's EV Ecosystem.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Bangkok Dusit, Grab Results, and Indonesia's Election

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> still trades at a higher market cap than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a> though the gap has been narrowing over the last few months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a>'s real float is around 18% and foreign investors hold 94.07% of the shares outstanding.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> has traded weak following the placement in October and there could be further downside versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) still trades at a higher market cap than Delta Electronics (2308 TT) though the gap has been narrowing over the last few months.

Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)'s real float is around 18% and foreign investors hold 94.07% of the shares outstanding.

Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) has traded weak following the placement in October and there could be further downside versus Delta Electronics (2308 TT). 


Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): More Downside from Here

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting</li>
<li>Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March</li>
<li>TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home</li>
</ul>


Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting
Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March
TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Thailand vs. Taiwan valuation differential has returned to an historically extreme level.</li>
<li>For 2024E &amp; 2025E growth expectations continue to be similar for the two companies, yet Delta Thailand's FY2024E PER is 50x while Delta Taiwan's is 20x.</li>
<li>We see substantial relative value in Delta Taiwan and expect likely reversion of relative valuation due to latest return to historically extreme mismatch.</li>
</ul>


Delta Thailand vs. Taiwan valuation differential has returned to an historically extreme level.
For 2024E &amp; 2025E growth expectations continue to be similar for the two companies, yet Delta Thailand's FY2024E PER is 50x while Delta Taiwan's is 20x.
We see substantial relative value in Delta Taiwan and expect likely reversion of relative valuation due to latest return to historically extreme mismatch.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Parent Could Sell More of Its Stake; Thai 50x PER Vs. Taiwan 20x

Thailand

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

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Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: EVENT: Imminent Earnings Release, Thailand Still Overvalued

Delta Thailand has underperformed Delta Taiwan but still remains overvalued. Taiwan's imminent earnings release could further highlight to the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Bangkok Dusit, Grab Results, and Indonesia's Election

The past week saw insights on Indonesia's election, Grab Holdings (GRAB US), Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB), Delta Electronics Thailand,...

Angus Mackintosh

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): More Downside from Here

DELTA TB has underperformed 2308 TT over the last few months but still trades richer on all valuation metrics. There could be further...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Parent Could Sell More of Its Stake; Thai 50x PER Vs. Taiwan 20x

We see substantial relative value in Delta Taiwan and expect a likely reversion of valuation due to 1) the return of an historically extreme...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

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Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: EVENT: Imminent Earnings Release, Thailand Still Overvalued

​Delta Thailand has underperformed Delta Taiwan but still remains overvalued. Taiwan's imminent earnings release could further highlight to the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Bangkok Dusit, Grab Results, and Indonesia's Election

The past week saw insights on Indonesia's election, Grab Holdings (GRAB US), Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB), Delta Electronics Thailand,...

Angus Mackintosh

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): More Downside from Here

DELTA TB has underperformed 2308 TT over the last few months but still trades richer on all valuation metrics. There could be further...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

​Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Parent Could Sell More of Its Stake; Thai 50x PER Vs. Taiwan 20x

We see substantial relative value in Delta Taiwan and expect a likely reversion of valuation due to 1) the return of an historically extreme...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Thailand has underperformed Delta Taiwan but still remains overvalued. Taiwan's imminent earnings release could further highlight to the...

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...