Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Quick (Q)-commerce continues to grow, with rapid home delivery providing a new level of convenience to meet demand from busy, urban consumers.  </li>
<li>Z Holdings’ team of Yahoo, Askul and Demae-can have run what is now called Yahoo Mart since 2020 which has opened its first three retail stores, a new omnichannel model.</li>
<li>Given the data analysis and supply chain power of its backers, these stores could quickly become a thorn in the side of the big convenience store chains.</li>
</ul>


Quick (Q)-commerce continues to grow, with rapid home delivery providing a new level of convenience to meet demand from busy, urban consumers.  
Z Holdings’ team of Yahoo, Askul and Demae-can have run what is now called Yahoo Mart since 2020 which has opened its first three retail stores, a new omnichannel model.
Given the data analysis and supply chain power of its backers, these stores could quickly become a thorn in the side of the big convenience store chains.


Yahoo Mart's Q-Conbini Stores: A Potential Competitor to the Big 3 CVS?

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>The E-Commerce Model, which is a source of revenue, is seeing a decline in profit margins while marketing costs remain high.</li>
<li>In the Delivery Model, the profitability of Outsourced Delivery is improving, but it has yet to break even. Demae-Can intends to seek opportunities in retail delivery to accelerate break-even process.</li>
<li>Demae-Can plans to achieve the operating loss for FY8/2022 to 50 billion yen, but hasn't indicated when it returns to black-ink due to the competitive environment in food delivery business.</li>
</ul>


The E-Commerce Model, which is a source of revenue, is seeing a decline in profit margins while marketing costs remain high.
In the Delivery Model, the profitability of Outsourced Delivery is improving, but it has yet to break even. Demae-Can intends to seek opportunities in retail delivery to accelerate break-even process.
Demae-Can plans to achieve the operating loss for FY8/2022 to 50 billion yen, but hasn't indicated when it returns to black-ink due to the competitive environment in food delivery business.


Japan's Governance: Demae-Can (2484) 2QFY8/2022 Briefing

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Q3 21 in-line for revenue but well ahead for EBITDA on solid advertising growth leading to an upgrade in management's full-year EBITDA target.</li>
<li>Operational results were encouraging with double-digit gains in ad sales and 7% eCommerce growth despite strong year-ago comps.</li>
<li>Impairment losses for equity associate Demae-Can sting but the overall story is positive.</li>
</ul>


Q3 21 in-line for revenue but well ahead for EBITDA on solid advertising growth leading to an upgrade in management's full-year EBITDA target.
Operational results were encouraging with double-digit gains in ad sales and 7% eCommerce growth despite strong year-ago comps.
Impairment losses for equity associate Demae-Can sting but the overall story is positive.


Z Holdings (Buy) Q3 21 Results Reaction: Mostly Positive as Ad Sales Continues to Impress

<ul>
<li>On January 14 (Fri.), I attended the 1QFY8/2022 earnings presentation of Demae-Can (2484), followed by the recent accounting scandal and update the profitability of the Company.</li>
<li>GMV in 1QFY8/2022 slows to grow in QoQ. Also, the take rate in QoQ was flat from 4QFY8/2021, which seems to have risen as much as GMV slightly decreased.</li>
<li>The focus will still be on when the end of competition will bring promotional expenses to an equilibrium level and allow the E-Commerce Model to return to profitability.</li>
</ul>


On January 14 (Fri.), I attended the 1QFY8/2022 earnings presentation of Demae-Can (2484), followed by the recent accounting scandal and update the profitability of the Company.
GMV in 1QFY8/2022 slows to grow in QoQ. Also, the take rate in QoQ was flat from 4QFY8/2021, which seems to have risen as much as GMV slightly decreased.
The focus will still be on when the end of competition will bring promotional expenses to an equilibrium level and allow the E-Commerce Model to return to profitability.


Japan's Governance: Demae-Can (2484) 1QFY8/2022 Briefing

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The new market structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) consisting of Prime and Standard Sections is about to become functional in a few months.</li>
<li>Some companies have already announced their desired Market Sections under this new structure. However, some companies are yet to make such announcements.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at those who are yet to make such announcements to identify attractive TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event candidates. </li>
</ul>


The new market structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) consisting of Prime and Standard Sections is about to become functional in a few months.
Some companies have already announced their desired Market Sections under this new structure. However, some companies are yet to make such announcements.
In this insight, we take a look at those who are yet to make such announcements to identify attractive TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event candidates. 


Japan

Demae-can Co., Ltd. operates websites offering comprehensive delivery services.  The Company's websites allow users to order food, dry cleaning, and repair and recycling services through the Internet.

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Demae-Can Co., Ltd. (2484 JP)

Yahoo Mart's Q-Conbini Stores: A Potential Competitor to the Big 3 CVS?

All big 3 e-commerce firms in Japan now have an omnichannel model to win out in the next big fight for share: FMCG. Z Holdings' has been slower...

Michael Causton

Japan's Governance: Demae-Can (2484) 2QFY8/2022 Briefing

As for the progress in 2Q, the expansion of retail delivery partners seems to be a good news. However, there is still significant problems in...

Metrical Inc

Z Holdings (Buy) Q3 21 Results Reaction: Mostly Positive as Ad Sales Continues to Impress

This was a good quarter with better-than-expected growth in eCommerce, ad sales and cashless payments and an upgrade to the full-year EBITDA target...

Kirk Boodry

Japan's Governance: Demae-Can (2484) 1QFY8/2022 Briefing

The focus is on when the end of competition will bring promotional expenses to an equilibrium level and allow E-Commerce Model to return to profit....

Metrical Inc

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.0

In this insight, we take a look at potential pre-event candidates who could move to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the next few...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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