Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

Devyani International  / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)</a> is one of the largest franchisee of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-brands-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:984:1" rel="noopener">Yum! Brands Inc (YUM US)</a>  in India and operates brands like KFC, Pizza Hut and Costa Coffee, etc.</li>
<li>After a turbulent pandemic, the company has reported growth in topline and robust profitability in F22 and F23. But, these have been boosted by several one-off items.</li>
<li>The company also faces difficulty in generating positive FCFs while we also remain caution about the Nigerian Operations and the associated forex losses.</li>
</ul>



Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) is one of the largest franchisee of Yum! Brands Inc (YUM US)  in India and operates brands like KFC, Pizza Hut and Costa Coffee, etc.
After a turbulent pandemic, the company has reported growth in topline and robust profitability in F22 and F23. But, these have been boosted by several one-off items.
The company also faces difficulty in generating positive FCFs while we also remain caution about the Nigerian Operations and the associated forex losses.


Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.
Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barbeque-nation-hospitality-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28868:1" rel="noopener">Barbeque Nation Hospitality (BARBEQUE IN)</a> has a strong operating model, well-regarded management, and a good dining experience, resonating well with non-vegetarian and corporate customers.</li>
<li>Current consumer trends show increased spending in the restaurant business, driven by social pressure to showcase lifestyles on platforms like Instagram.</li>
<li>ONDC has potential as a platform but faces challenges in scaling up due to infrastructure and delivery integration issues.</li>
</ul>



Barbeque Nation Hospitality (BARBEQUE IN) has a strong operating model, well-regarded management, and a good dining experience, resonating well with non-vegetarian and corporate customers.
Current consumer trends show increased spending in the restaurant business, driven by social pressure to showcase lifestyles on platforms like Instagram.
ONDC has potential as a platform but faces challenges in scaling up due to infrastructure and delivery integration issues.


Trends in Casual Dining, Quick Service and Online Food Delivery

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)</a>  has outperformed Jubilant in terms of growth, revenue, and EPS.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)'s</a> focus on KFC and Costa Coffee benefits from the "Dine In" trend, while Jubilant faces increased competition.</li>
<li>DEVYANI's plans to double store count and penetrate underrepresented categories justify its premium over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a> .</li>
</ul>



Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)  has outperformed Jubilant in terms of growth, revenue, and EPS.

Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)'s focus on KFC and Costa Coffee benefits from the "Dine In" trend, while Jubilant faces increased competition.
DEVYANI's plans to double store count and penetrate underrepresented categories justify its premium over Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) .


Jubilant Foodworks Vs Devyani International | When the Going Gets Tough

India

Devyani International Limited distributes groceries and related products. The Company operates franchisee business and chain of quick service restaurants. Devyani International serves customers in India.

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Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)

Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Devyani International, a major franchisee of Yum! Brands in India, has seen growth and profitability but with the help of few one-off items.

Nitin Mangal

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for...

Sumeet Singh

Trends in Casual Dining, Quick Service and Online Food Delivery

Consumer trends: Rising spending, influenced by social pressure and online presence. ONDC: Promising platform, facing scaling challenges with...

Pranav Bhavsar

Jubilant Foodworks Vs Devyani International | When the Going Gets Tough

Devyani Internationa (DEVYANI IN)l's growth potential and diverse offerings make it a better investment than Jubilant Foodwork (JUBI IN)s.

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis

​Devyani International, a major franchisee of Yum! Brands in India, has seen growth and profitability but with the help of few one-off items.

Nitin Mangal

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for...

Sumeet Singh

Trends in Casual Dining, Quick Service and Online Food Delivery

Consumer trends: Rising spending, influenced by social pressure and online presence. ONDC: Promising platform, facing scaling challenges with...

Pranav Bhavsar

Jubilant Foodworks Vs Devyani International | When the Going Gets Tough

Devyani Internationa (DEVYANI IN)l's growth potential and diverse offerings make it a better investment than Jubilant Foodwork (JUBI IN)s.

Pranav Bhavsar

Devyani International, a major franchisee of Yum! Brands in India, has seen growth and profitability but with the help of few one-off items.