Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 38 adds and 29 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>We expect 33 of the 38 HSCI inclusions to be added to Stock Connect while we expect 27 of the 29 HSCI deletions to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Since the start of the calendar year, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased in 22 of the 27 HSCI deletions that will also be removed from Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 38 adds and 29 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
We expect 33 of the 38 HSCI inclusions to be added to Stock Connect while we expect 27 of the 29 HSCI deletions to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Since the start of the calendar year, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased in 22 of the 27 HSCI deletions that will also be removed from Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 38 Adds, 29 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 9th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC

<ul>
<li>We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.</li>
<li>We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Fangzhou cannot get around the decreasing unit-price of drugs and the increasing role of medical insurance in chronic-disease treatment.It’s challenging to find patients willing to pay out of own pockets.</li>
<li>The internal dispute between the Founder and shareholders hasn’t ended, and related litigation is still pending. This makes us concerned about the stability of future business development and corporate governance. </li>
<li>Fangzhou has significant cash flow pressure. In the case of increasingly fierce competition in the industry, without successful business diversification/transformation, growth prospects is gloomy, Valuation should be lower than peers. </li>
</ul>


Fangzhou cannot get around the decreasing unit-price of drugs and the increasing role of medical insurance in chronic-disease treatment.It’s challenging to find patients willing to pay out of own pockets.
The internal dispute between the Founder and shareholders hasn’t ended, and related litigation is still pending. This makes us concerned about the stability of future business development and corporate governance. 
Fangzhou has significant cash flow pressure. In the case of increasingly fierce competition in the industry, without successful business diversification/transformation, growth prospects is gloomy, Valuation should be lower than peers. 


Pre-IPO Fangzhou Inc. (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Dingdang Health Technology Gro / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Dingdang Health (Dingdang) reported healthy post-pandemic earnings growth for 2023.</li><li>Revenue reached RMB4,857mn, up 12.2% YoY, while the adjusted non-IFRS net loss was further narrowed by 17.2% YoY to RMB107mn, indicating continuous economies of scale.</li><li>Looking forward, we expect Dingdang to deliver steady revenue growth of 11.1%/ 12.2%/ 13.2% YoY in 2024E/ 25E/ 26E, considering its enhanced network scale and service capabilities as well as the growing penetration of online medicine purchasing supported by the promotion of online medical insurance payment by government. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Dingdang Health (Dingdang) reported healthy post-pandemic earnings growth for 2023.Revenue reached RMB4,857mn, up 12.2% YoY, while the adjusted non-IFRS net loss was further narrowed by 17.2% YoY to RMB107mn, indicating continuous economies of scale.Looking forward, we expect Dingdang to deliver steady revenue growth of 11.1%/ 12.2%/ 13.2% YoY in 2024E/ 25E/ 26E, considering its enhanced network scale and service capabilities as well as the growing penetration of online medicine purchasing supported by the promotion of online medical insurance payment by government. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dingdang Health (9886 HK) - Expect Steady Growth with Policy Tailwinds

China

Dingdang Health Technology Group Ltd. offers health care services. The Company provides drug express, online medical consultation, chronic Disease and healthcare management, and other services. Dingdang Health Technology Group provides its services throughout China.

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Dingdang Health Technology Gro (9886 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance: 38 Adds, 29 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 38 adds and 29 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518. There will be a lot of...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 9th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Fangzhou Inc. (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Fangzhou faces challenges with decreasing drug price due to VBP/NRDL negotiation. The internal disputes, litigation, cash flow pressure will lead...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Dingdang Health (9886 HK) - Expect Steady Growth with Policy Tailwinds

Revenue reached RMB4,857mn, up 12.2% YoY, while the adjusted non-IFRS net loss was further narrowed by 17.2% YoY to RMB107mn, indicating continuous...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCI Index Rebalance: 38 Adds, 29 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 38 adds and 29 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518. There will be a lot of...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 9th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation, CCB, CNOOC, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Fangzhou Inc. (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​Fangzhou faces challenges with decreasing drug price due to VBP/NRDL negotiation. The internal disputes, litigation, cash flow pressure will lead...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Dingdang Health (9886 HK) - Expect Steady Growth with Policy Tailwinds

Revenue reached RMB4,857mn, up 12.2% YoY, while the adjusted non-IFRS net loss was further narrowed by 17.2% YoY to RMB107mn, indicating continuous...

CMB International

Fangzhou faces challenges with decreasing drug price due to VBP/NRDL negotiation. The internal disputes, litigation, cash flow pressure will lead...