HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Dingdang Health Technology Gro / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.</li>
<li>Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.</li>
<li>It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.</li>
</ul>


Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.
Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.
It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.


Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

Alibaba Health Information Tec / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba Health’s core pharmaceutical direct sales business is facing challenges in terms of increasing competition as well as lower revenue growth and margins, dragging down the overall performance.</li>
<li>The recent new policies about online drug sales on third-party digital healthcare platforms and online diagnosis and treatment would add more uncertainties on Alibaba Health’s business and outlook.</li>
<li>If such unfavorable trend continues, the gap between Alibaba Health and JD Health would be wider. It’s not easy to break the deadlock. Investors may need to take heed.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba Health’s core pharmaceutical direct sales business is facing challenges in terms of increasing competition as well as lower revenue growth and margins, dragging down the overall performance.
The recent new policies about online drug sales on third-party digital healthcare platforms and online diagnosis and treatment would add more uncertainties on Alibaba Health’s business and outlook.
If such unfavorable trend continues, the gap between Alibaba Health and JD Health would be wider. It’s not easy to break the deadlock. Investors may need to take heed.


Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) - It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock

JD Health International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The exposure draft about online drug sales activities on third-party digital healthcare platforms would add uncertainties on JD Health’s business. We analyzed the potential impact and the logic behind.</li>
<li>Keeping both self-run and third-party business is the optimal option because JD Health cannot afford losing either one. The exact impact will have to wait until policy details are released.</li>
<li>As main revenue contributor, there are concerns on JD Pharmacy in terms of profitability and policy risks. Before second growth point emerges, expectation on long-term valuation expansion would be discounted.</li>
</ul>


The exposure draft about online drug sales activities on third-party digital healthcare platforms would add uncertainties on JD Health’s business. We analyzed the potential impact and the logic behind.
Keeping both self-run and third-party business is the optimal option because JD Health cannot afford losing either one. The exact impact will have to wait until policy details are released.
As main revenue contributor, there are concerns on JD Pharmacy in terms of profitability and policy risks. Before second growth point emerges, expectation on long-term valuation expansion would be discounted.


JD Health (6618.HK) - Logic Change Due to the New Policy?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Dingdang Health Technology Gro / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dingdang-health-technology-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33528:1" rel="noopener">Dingdang Health Technology Group (DDH HK)</a>, China’s largest product and service provider in the on-demand digital pharmacy industry has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. According to news media outlets, the company plans to raise about US$250-300m through the IPO.The ongoing regulatory overhaul in the Chinese tech sector and NMPA’s draft measures to increase supervision and regulate the country’s online pharmaceutical sales have impacted JD Health and other players in the market. WeDoctor who also offers online healthcare services in China filed for a HKEx listing in April this year and the company has not been able to progress yet with its planned IPO.In this insight, we take a look at DingDang Health’s business model, segments, revenues, margins and the outlook on the company.

Dingdang Health Technology Group (DDH HK), China’s largest product and service provider in the on-demand digital pharmacy industry has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. According to news media outlets, the company plans to raise about US$250-300m through the IPO.The ongoing regulatory overhaul in the Chinese tech sector and NMPA’s draft measures to increase supervision and regulate the country’s online pharmaceutical sales have impacted JD Health and other players in the market. WeDoctor who also offers online healthcare services in China filed for a HKEx listing in April this year and the company has not been able to progress yet with its planned IPO.In this insight, we take a look at DingDang Health’s business model, segments, revenues, margins and the outlook on the company.  

DingDang Health IPO: Solid Business Model and Strong Financials; Regulatory Environment Concerning

China

Dingdang Health Technology Group Ltd. offers health care services. The Company provides drug express, online medical consultation, chronic Disease and healthcare management, and other services. Dingdang Health Technology Group provides its services throughout China.

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Dingdang Health Technology Gro (9886 HK)

Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Dingdang's "heavy asset model" leads to large liabilities/negative equity balance/cash flow pressure/poor profitability. Dingdang is hard to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) - It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock

Alibaba Health is facing challenges in both business and policy sides,with declining performance.The gap with JD Health becomes wider.It’s not easy...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

JD Health (6618.HK) - Logic Change Due to the New Policy?

The policy about online drug sales on third-party digital platforms will add uncertainties on JD Health.Before new growth point emerges,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

DingDang Health IPO: Solid Business Model and Strong Financials; Regulatory Environment Concerning

Though the on-demand digital pharmacy market is forecasted to see robust growth, the ongoing development in the Chinese online pharmaceutical...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

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