Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.</li>
<li>Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.</li>
<li>Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.</li>
</ul>


Disco, Kokusai and Softbank among the biggest tech laggards set to scramble higher on ceasefire news.
Intel joining Musk's Terafab and generating interest from Google and Amazon a positive for the main Intel suppliers such as Lasertec and Ibiden.
Defensive outperformers set to lose their recent upside momentum on the risk-on shift.


Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

<ul>
<li>Japan saw a deep fade off the open for AI related plays but a more sustained bid expected today with US pushing higher.</li>
<li>Micron begins mass production of HBM4 for Rubin chips, positive for Micronics which is -20% off its recent highs.</li>
<li>News from NVDA’s GTC event drove optical interconnect name Lumentum as much as +16.8% off its opening lows.</li>
</ul>


Japan saw a deep fade off the open for AI related plays but a more sustained bid expected today with US pushing higher.
Micron begins mass production of HBM4 for Rubin chips, positive for Micronics which is -20% off its recent highs.
News from NVDA’s GTC event drove optical interconnect name Lumentum as much as +16.8% off its opening lows.


Japan Morning Connection: Optical Names Plunged Then Swung Back on News from NVDA’s GTC Event

<ul>
<li>Brent dropping as much as -25% off the intraday highs sending refiners, shippers and defense lower and sparking a rebound in airlines and AI/Tech.</li>
<li>HPE numbers were inline but the stock is holding up AH, and management expects a memory shortage well into next year.</li>
<li>Expect a rotation out of software and defensive havens into momentum favorites such as Kioxia and Kokusai Elec.</li>
</ul>


Brent dropping as much as -25% off the intraday highs sending refiners, shippers and defense lower and sparking a rebound in airlines and AI/Tech.
HPE numbers were inline but the stock is holding up AH, and management expects a memory shortage well into next year.
Expect a rotation out of software and defensive havens into momentum favorites such as Kioxia and Kokusai Elec.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Snap Back Sharply with on Trump's Comments on the War Ending

<ul>
<li>News that chipmakers plan to relax the standard that determines the thickness of next-gen 20-layer HBM4 memory chips sent hybrid-bonding play BESI -17%.</li>
<li>This sent Teradyne -10.6%, Lam Research -7.2%, and AMAT -6.3%, and while the impact is more nuanced in Japan it will be indiscriminate risk-off across SPE to start.</li>
<li>Software bounced so this may see a defense bid, and I would be looking to be long JP utilities with nuclear restarts vs those still dependent on oil/gas fired plants.</li>
</ul>


News that chipmakers plan to relax the standard that determines the thickness of next-gen 20-layer HBM4 memory chips sent hybrid-bonding play BESI -17%.
This sent Teradyne -10.6%, Lam Research -7.2%, and AMAT -6.3%, and while the impact is more nuanced in Japan it will be indiscriminate risk-off across SPE to start.
Software bounced so this may see a defense bid, and I would be looking to be long JP utilities with nuclear restarts vs those still dependent on oil/gas fired plants.


Japan Morning Connection: Brent Surges as Mojtaba Khamenei Is Voted in as Iran's Next Supreme Leader

Japan

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

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DISCO Corp (6146 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Fujikura...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Ceasefire Set to Send Tech and AI Laggards Surging Higher

A 2-week ceasefire has been agreed, subject to the straits being reopened, sending oil sharply lower and futures sharply higher. Will be a more...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Optical Names Plunged Then Swung Back on News from NVDA’s GTC Event

NVDA's mixed messages sent optical names see-sawing. Memory roars to record highs. Kokusai still fails to catch a bid despite good positioning.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Snap Back Sharply with on Trump's Comments on the War Ending

Markets snap back sharply with Trump commenting the war with Iran is “very complete, pretty much”. It was a mad scramble back into tech and AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Brent Surges as Mojtaba Khamenei Is Voted in as Iran's Next Supreme Leader

Brent surges as high as $111 this morning as hardliner Mojtaba Khamenei in voted in as Iran's next supreme leader. After the dust settles SPE will...

Andrew Jackson

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