Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Apple misses in China but its iPhone is nonetheless on track for its best quarter ever.</li>
<li>Western Digital highlights AI's insatiable demand for memory. Disco down but not out, while Lasertec looks too much.</li>
<li>Renesas closes -4% yesterday but comments that AI/data center demand is on the rise should help this re-bucket.</li>
</ul>


Apple misses in China but its iPhone is nonetheless on track for its best quarter ever.
Western Digital highlights AI's insatiable demand for memory. Disco down but not out, while Lasertec looks too much.
Renesas closes -4% yesterday but comments that AI/data center demand is on the rise should help this re-bucket.


Japan Morning Connection: Strong Mega-Tech Numbers AH Will Boost the Mood After Meta and MSFT Drag

<ul>
<li>Mega caps announcing bigger capex sends Microsoft and Meta down AH, but is another positive for semi-cap plays.</li>
<li>Disco numbers miss, but memory related shipment miss may be a matter of timing and expect management to say as much on call today</li>
<li>Blackwell for China will mean more upside for Ibiden, not that it needs any help after +25% in 2-days thanks to Nidec (and Nagamori's) demise.</li>
</ul>


Mega caps announcing bigger capex sends Microsoft and Meta down AH, but is another positive for semi-cap plays.
Disco numbers miss, but memory related shipment miss may be a matter of timing and expect management to say as much on call today
Blackwell for China will mean more upside for Ibiden, not that it needs any help after +25% in 2-days thanks to Nidec (and Nagamori's) demise.


Japan Morning Connection: Big Gains for Semi-Testers and Memory Sets Strong Tone (Again)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>'s weight in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has crossed 10% and staying there will lead to capping at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>A lot of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>'s float is held by passive trackers, and the real float is much lower. The capping will increase that float significantly.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a> has outperformed its peers significantly and trades at higher valuation metrics compared to its peers.</li>
</ul>



Advantest Corp (6857 JP)'s weight in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has crossed 10% and staying there will lead to capping at the March rebalance.
A lot of Advantest Corp (6857 JP)'s float is held by passive trackers, and the real float is much lower. The capping will increase that float significantly.

Advantest Corp (6857 JP) has outperformed its peers significantly and trades at higher valuation metrics compared to its peers.


Advantest (6857 JP): Rally Leads to Potential NKY Capping

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,881m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kobe Bussan, Sanrio, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ihi, Kawasaki Heavy Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,881m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kobe Bussan, Sanrio, SoftBank, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ihi, Kawasaki Heavy Industries.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 24th): IHI, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Fujikura

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD18,404m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Recruit, Furukawa Electric, Ihi, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD18,404m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Recruit, Furukawa Electric, Ihi, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 17th): IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco

Japan

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

Price Gauge
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DISCO Corp (6146 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Strong Mega-Tech Numbers AH Will Boost the Mood After Meta and MSFT Drag

Ibiden will start higher after numbers easily beat yesterday. Lasertec limit up but expected to fade today. Amazon numbers help quell concerns of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Big Gains for Semi-Testers and Memory Sets Strong Tone (Again)

Smaller tester names may have room for further upside after Teradyne and Advantest surged. Any excessive weakness for Disco should be an oportunity...

Andrew Jackson

Advantest (6857 JP): Rally Leads to Potential NKY Capping

Following today's rally, Advantest's weight in the Nikkei225 is ~11.2%. At that level, the stock will be capped in March and then again in...

Brian Freitas

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 24th): IHI, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Fujikura

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Kawasaki Heavy Industries (7012 JP), Lasertec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 17th): IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Kobe Bussan (3038 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Disco...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)