Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indian equities are pricing durability; over the next few quarters we see earnings risk as pricing power, mix strength, and volume assumptions face incremental deterioration.</li>
<li>Across BRGR, DIXON, INDIGO, VBL, and KALYANKJ, consensus embeds normalization; while leading indicators point to operating leverage turning marginally negative</li>
<li>We present these as tactical earnings-direction basket targeting fragile unit economic and not a collapse call; modest deceleration is sufficient to drive estimate cuts and further de-rating</li>
</ul>


Indian equities are pricing durability; over the next few quarters we see earnings risk as pricing power, mix strength, and volume assumptions face incremental deterioration.
Across BRGR, DIXON, INDIGO, VBL, and KALYANKJ, consensus embeds normalization; while leading indicators point to operating leverage turning marginally negative
We present these as tactical earnings-direction basket targeting fragile unit economic and not a collapse call; modest deceleration is sufficient to drive estimate cuts and further de-rating


India Top Shorts | Pricing Power Illusions in a Slowing Regime

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal, Bharat Petroleum, Infosys, Vedanta, Hindalco Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal, Bharat Petroleum, Infosys, Vedanta, Hindalco Industries.


MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jan): HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aditya Infotech Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-infotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43994:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN)</a> (AIL) raised around US$151m in its IPO in August 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>AIL is a CCTV/video surveillance provider company offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) (AIL) raised around US$151m in its IPO in August 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
AIL is a CCTV/video surveillance provider company offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Aditya Infotech IPO Lockup Expiry- Has Continued Its Good Run, Dixon Tech Could Book Gains

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

<ul>
<li>There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

India

Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. is a major Indian electronics manufacturing services (EMS) provider. It specializes in manufacturing consumer electronics, home appliances, lighting products, and mobile phones, operating as both an Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) and Original Design Manufacturer (ODM). The company is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, and was founded in 1993.

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Dixon Technologies (DIXON IN)

India Top Shorts | Pricing Power Illusions in a Slowing Regime

Indian equities face earnings risk due to deteriorating pricing power, mix strength, and volume assumptions, leading to potential estimate cuts...

Pranav Bhavsar

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jan): HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal, Bharat...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Aditya Infotech IPO Lockup Expiry- Has Continued Its Good Run, Dixon Tech Could Book Gains

Aditya Infotech (AIL) raised around US$151m in its IPO in August 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Akshat Shah

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in February. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close today. On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 2.76% since announcement of the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Top Shorts | Pricing Power Illusions in a Slowing Regime

​Indian equities face earnings risk due to deteriorating pricing power, mix strength, and volume assumptions, leading to potential estimate cuts...

Pranav Bhavsar

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jan): HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, Eternal, Bharat...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Aditya Infotech IPO Lockup Expiry- Has Continued Its Good Run, Dixon Tech Could Book Gains

Aditya Infotech (AIL) raised around US$151m in its IPO in August 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Akshat Shah

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in February. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close today. On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 2.76% since announcement of the...

Brian Freitas

Indian equities face earnings risk due to deteriorating pricing power, mix strength, and volume assumptions, leading to potential estimate cuts...