Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, New Economy, IPOs, Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS) announced a block deal sale of 5 million shares. representing 5% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>There are three major reasons why we have a negative view of the block deal sale and on Doosan Bobcat. </li>
<li>Two of these reasons include an overhang associated with remaining shares which could be sold as well as a potential downturn in construction markets in North America and Europe. </li>
</ul>

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Aequitas Research

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-bobcat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23592:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS)</a> aims to sell a US$145m block. Its recent price momentum is strong but past deals have shown mixed results. </li>
<li>The deal doesn’t appear to be well flagged and is a relatively large one to digest, representing 20.9 days of its three month ADV.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the two Japanese IPO set the ball rolling for the year end rush, with a few more lined up in Hong Kong along with Sunshine.</li>
<li>There were a few largish selldowns in Japan and India and given Hong Kong's recent performace, it will see some deals soon as well.</li>
</ul>

After the market close today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a> announced that it plans to complete a rights offering worth 800 billion won, which represents nearly 70% of its current market cap of 1.15 trillion won.This rights offering will lead to a significant share dilution risk. The company has yet to provide full details of this rights offering but it is likely that the rights offering price will be priced at least 20-25% lower than current share price. Given the huge dilution risk, we believe that shares of Doosan Infracore will likely face significant weakness in the next several days. A retrace back to the 11,000 won to 12,000 won level is likely, in our view.

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

Short selling has finally resumed in Korea and it has been a busy couple of days on that front with foreign investors piling into stocks that have run up more than their peers over the last year and are potentially overvalued.Long/short pairs could be implemented in Korea during the short sell ban if you had long inventory or if there were listed single stock futures on the short leg.With short selling permitted on constituents of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>, we take a look at long/short pairs where both stocks are members of the index. These pairs belong to the same GICS sub-industry, are correlated and exhibit mean-reversion. We also use short sale data from the last couple of trading sessions to see which stocks are being targeted by short sellers.

South Korea

Bobcat Company specializes in design, manufacture, marketing and distribution of compact equipment for construction, rental, landscaping, agriculture, grounds maintenance, government, utility, industry and mining.

Doosan Bobcat Inc - 241560 KS

Description