Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.


Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> recorded record high revenue, EBITDA, and net profit in Q3FY23, driven by US business. The company generated healthy cash flow of INR20B during the quarter.</li>
<li>Revenue from North America surged 64% INR30.6B, driven by new products launches, increase in volumes, and a favorable forex movement. gRevlimid contributed ~34% of North America revenue.</li>
<li>The company plans to launch ~30 products in the U.S. market in FY24. With the pipeline shifting toward complex products, Dr. Reddy is well-positioned to maintain double-digit revenue growth.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) recorded record high revenue, EBITDA, and net profit in Q3FY23, driven by US business. The company generated healthy cash flow of INR20B during the quarter.
Revenue from North America surged 64% INR30.6B, driven by new products launches, increase in volumes, and a favorable forex movement. gRevlimid contributed ~34% of North America revenue.
The company plans to launch ~30 products in the U.S. market in FY24. With the pipeline shifting toward complex products, Dr. Reddy is well-positioned to maintain double-digit revenue growth.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q3FY23 Results- Sequential Improvement Supported by US

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> in December to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a>.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 2.3x ADV (7.2x delivery volume) on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT)</a> while selling 5x ADV (10.5x delivery volume) on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD)</a>. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger should see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> prior to the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) will be added to the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) in December to replace Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN).
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 2.3x ADV (7.2x delivery volume) on Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT) while selling 5x ADV (10.5x delivery volume) on Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD). 
The HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) / HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger should see Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) added to the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) prior to the June rebalance.


SENSEX Dec 22 Index Rebalance: Tata Motors (TTMT) To Replace Dr Reddy (DRRD)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20568:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)</a> reported record high quarterly revenue in 3Q22, majorly driven by the successful launch of oncology drug Lenalidomide in the US, which is its biggest ever launch.</li>
<li>Gross margin expanded to 67.9% in Q3 2022 from 45.3% in Q3 2021 and 47.4% Q2 2022, driven by increasing contribution from high-margin export business.</li>
<li>Exceeding the expectation, the company reported historic high third quarter EPS of NT$7.97 for Q3 2022, versus NT$1.34 in Q3 2021.</li>
</ul>



Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT) reported record high quarterly revenue in 3Q22, majorly driven by the successful launch of oncology drug Lenalidomide in the US, which is its biggest ever launch.
Gross margin expanded to 67.9% in Q3 2022 from 45.3% in Q3 2021 and 47.4% Q2 2022, driven by increasing contribution from high-margin export business.
Exceeding the expectation, the company reported historic high third quarter EPS of NT$7.97 for Q3 2022, versus NT$1.34 in Q3 2021.


Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): 3Q22 Review- Best-Ever Quarter, Aided by Oncology Drug Launch in US

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.</li>
<li>The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.</li>
<li>Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.
The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.
Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.


2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

India

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that researches, develops, manufactures, and markets a wide array of pharmaceutical products and services. The company produces over 190 medications, 60 active pharmaceutical ingredients, diagnostic kits, critical care, and biotechnology products. It operates globally across multiple regions, offering generic drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), differentiated formulations, biosimilars, and proprietary products. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, Telangana, India.

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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh