IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a> has bumped its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> offer from 4.2% from A$1.20 to A$1.25 per share. The offer has been declared unconditional and “<em>best and final</em>”.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)</a>’s offer remains 2.9% above Mixi’s revised offer, with limited options for a response. The priority is to open its offer by assuaging the Takeover Panel.</li>
<li>The shares are trading 1.2% above Mixi’s offer due to the optionality of a bump if Mixi attains a controlling stake. With little upside remaining, head for the exit.   </li>
</ul>



Mixi Inc (2121 JP) has bumped its PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) offer from 4.2% from A$1.20 to A$1.25 per share. The offer has been declared unconditional and “best and final”.

BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)’s offer remains 2.9% above Mixi’s revised offer, with limited options for a response. The priority is to open its offer by assuaging the Takeover Panel.
The shares are trading 1.2% above Mixi’s offer due to the optionality of a bump if Mixi attains a controlling stake. With little upside remaining, head for the exit.   


PointsBet (PBH AU): Call It a Day as Mixi Shows Its Hand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> has bumped its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> offer to 4.219 BBT shares per PBH share. However, the offer's opening is delayed by the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02972624_PS-3A672500&amp;v=4a466cc3f899e00730cfbfcd5ab8940c41f474b6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Panel’s interim orders</a>.</li>
<li>Betr expects that the Board will now recommend its offer. However, the Board has several reasons not to deem Betr’s revised proposal as superior to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Since 3 June, the average gross spread of the revised Betr offer to the Mixi offer is 3.4%. The logical next step is for Mixi to declare its offer unconditional. </li>
</ul>



BETR Entertainment (BBT AU) has bumped its PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) offer to 4.219 BBT shares per PBH share. However, the offer's opening is delayed by the Panel’s interim orders.
Betr expects that the Board will now recommend its offer. However, the Board has several reasons not to deem Betr’s revised proposal as superior to Mixi Inc (2121 JP).
Since 3 June, the average gross spread of the revised Betr offer to the Mixi offer is 3.4%. The logical next step is for Mixi to declare its offer unconditional. 


PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr Bumps Its Offer, but Is It Superior to Mixi?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> has despatched the bidder’s statement for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> takeover offer. The offer is scheduled to run from July 31 to September 8.</li>
<li>BBT continues to clutch at straws by claiming its offer is superior to Mixi’s A$1.20 all-cash offer. The Mixi scheme results suggest that BBT has limited support from PBH shareholders.</li>
<li>BBT will struggle to gain material acceptance, but hints at possible revised terms. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a> will also need to reconsider its offer terms to see off BBT. </li>
</ul>



BETR Entertainment (BBT AU) has despatched the bidder’s statement for PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) takeover offer. The offer is scheduled to run from July 31 to September 8.
BBT continues to clutch at straws by claiming its offer is superior to Mixi’s A$1.20 all-cash offer. The Mixi scheme results suggest that BBT has limited support from PBH shareholders.
BBT will struggle to gain material acceptance, but hints at possible revised terms. Mixi Inc (2121 JP) will also need to reconsider its offer terms to see off BBT. 


PointsBet (PBH AU): The Battle of Takeover Offers Commences

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

IShares Bitcoin Trust ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>Short-Term support on the SPX is at 6100-6150, 6028-6059, and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785.</li>
<li>We view any pullbacks to the these supports as buying opportunities, though we do not expect there to be another test of 5700-5785 any time soon.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
Short-Term support on the SPX is at 6100-6150, 6028-6059, and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785.
We view any pullbacks to the these supports as buying opportunities, though we do not expect there to be another test of 5700-5785 any time soon.


Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming: XLY, XME, KRE ++

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> has switched its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> offer to an all-scrip takeover offer at 3.81 BBT shares per PBH share, with a post-offer buyback option at A$1.22. </li>
<li>Betr’s claim that its offer is superior is debatable. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a>’s offer is 8.6% above Betr’s at last close prices, and minorities accepting the buyback will be prorated.  </li>
<li>Betr’s offer is designed to torpedo Mixi’s scheme and takeover offer. Mixi will need to rethink its terms and likely drop its 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. </li>
</ul>



BETR Entertainment (BBT AU) has switched its PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) offer to an all-scrip takeover offer at 3.81 BBT shares per PBH share, with a post-offer buyback option at A$1.22. 
Betr’s claim that its offer is superior is debatable. Mixi Inc (2121 JP)’s offer is 8.6% above Betr’s at last close prices, and minorities accepting the buyback will be prorated.  
Betr’s offer is designed to torpedo Mixi’s scheme and takeover offer. Mixi will need to rethink its terms and likely drop its 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. 


PointsBet (PBH AU): A Headache for Mixi as Betr Switches to a Takeover Offer

United States

DraftKings Inc. operates as a daily fantasy sports contest and sports betting company. The Company allows users to enter daily and weekly fantasy sports-related contests and win money based on individual player performances in American sports. DraftKings serves customers in the United States.

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DraftKings (DKNG US)

PointsBet (PBH AU): Call It a Day as Mixi Shows Its Hand

Mixi has shown its hand by declaring its offer best and final (with a caveat), and Betr has limited options to respond. With little or no upside...

Arun George

PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr Bumps Its Offer, but Is It Superior to Mixi?

The Board continue to have several reasons not to deem Betr’s revised proposal as superior. The logical next step is for Mixi to declare its offer...

Arun George

PointsBet (PBH AU): The Battle of Takeover Offers Commences

BBT will struggle to gain material acceptance, but hints at possible revised terms. Mixi will also need to reconsider its offer terms to see off BBT.

Arun George

Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming: XLY, XME, KRE ++

Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming $XLY $XME $KRE $KBE $JETS $ITB $XBI $TAN...

Vermilion Research

PointsBet (PBH AU): A Headache for Mixi as Betr Switches to a Takeover Offer

Betr’s claim that its offer is superior is debatable. Betr’s offer is designed to torpedo Mixi’s scheme and takeover offer. Mixi will need to...

Arun George

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