Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This domestic sector has been  outperforming the Topix and should continue</li>
<li>Fits the current investment zeitgeist for Japan amidst the market turbulence</li>
<li>The Japanese Yen will continue to strengthen against the USD </li>
</ul>


This domestic sector has been  outperforming the Topix and should continue
Fits the current investment zeitgeist for Japan amidst the market turbulence
The Japanese Yen will continue to strengthen against the USD 


Japanese Railway Companies – Back on Track

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>The number of new mall developments in 2024 in Japan held steady but will collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand and a lack of labour.</li>
<li>At the same time, for existing malls, sales were robust through 2023 and 2024 and look set to continue at higher levels despite consumer restraint.</li>
<li>Both locals and tourists alike use malls for leisure, entertainment and shopping and, as the number of malls falls, and upgrades continue, efficiency is improving.</li>
</ul>


The number of new mall developments in 2024 in Japan held steady but will collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand and a lack of labour.
At the same time, for existing malls, sales were robust through 2023 and 2024 and look set to continue at higher levels despite consumer restraint.
Both locals and tourists alike use malls for leisure, entertainment and shopping and, as the number of malls falls, and upgrades continue, efficiency is improving.


Japan Shopping Mall Sector in 2025: Robust Sales, Fewer Doors

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.</li>
<li>The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. </li>
<li>Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.</li>
</ul>



AEON Mall (8905 JP) and Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.
The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. 
Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.


Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> IPO is one of the largest IPOs of recent years, well-flagged, and it is hot hot hot!  A super stable, well-known, well-respected, service provider.</li>
<li>There are numerous attractions but I expect people have not thought too deeply about the demand and supply dynamics of different holder types. It's worth thinking about. </li>
<li>This was priced "cheap" but everyone knows that so there may be flippers. This is probably more Japan Post Bank than Japan Post Insurance.</li>
</ul>


The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO is one of the largest IPOs of recent years, well-flagged, and it is hot hot hot!  A super stable, well-known, well-respected, service provider.
There are numerous attractions but I expect people have not thought too deeply about the demand and supply dynamics of different holder types. It's worth thinking about. 
This was priced "cheap" but everyone knows that so there may be flippers. This is probably more Japan Post Bank than Japan Post Insurance.


The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO And Aftermarket - What To Look For

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. </li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. 
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Tokyo Metro IPO Trading - Robust Demand for Quality Asset

Japan

East Japan Railway Company provides rail transportation services in the Kanto and Tohoku regions, including Tokyo.  The Company's services include the shinkansen (bullet train) network and the Tokyo metropolitan network.  East Japan Railway also leases real estate and operates hotel, travel, and restaurant businesses.

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East Japan Railway Co (9020 JP)

Japanese Railway Companies – Back on Track

Domestic sector in Japan outperforming the broad market amid continued turbulence. Supported by the strengthening of the JPY against USD.

Rikki Malik

Japan Shopping Mall Sector in 2025: Robust Sales, Fewer Doors

New mall developments in Japan to collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand, and lack of labor, while existing malls see robust sales and...

Michael Causton

The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO And Aftermarket - What To Look For

The Tokyo Metro IPO is 23 October. There is substantial index buying demand at month end of both Oct/Nov, then a lull. Flippers will flip, the...

Travis Lundy

Tokyo Metro IPO Trading - Robust Demand for Quality Asset

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japanese Railway Companies – Back on Track

​Domestic sector in Japan outperforming the broad market amid continued turbulence. Supported by the strengthening of the JPY against USD.

Rikki Malik

Japan Shopping Mall Sector in 2025: Robust Sales, Fewer Doors

​New mall developments in Japan to collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand, and lack of labor, while existing malls see robust sales and...

Michael Causton

Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. My analysis suggests a potential share...

Arun George

The Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO And Aftermarket - What To Look For

The Tokyo Metro IPO is 23 October. There is substantial index buying demand at month end of both Oct/Nov, then a lull. Flippers will flip, the...

Travis Lundy

Tokyo Metro IPO Trading - Robust Demand for Quality Asset

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Domestic sector in Japan outperforming the broad market amid continued turbulence. Supported by the strengthening of the JPY against USD.

New mall developments in Japan to collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand, and lack of labor, while existing malls see robust sales and...